Who is the favourite in Udvardy P vs Mertens E?

By the PropickAI model, Mertens E is favoured — about 74% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Udvardy P vs Mertens E?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mertens E. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Mertens E win probability ~74% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mertens E. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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WTA. Monterrey International

2nd round

26.08.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction

Udvardy P - Mertens E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis WTA. Monterrey

WTA. Monterrey 2nd round hard 26.08.2026 23:30 UTC Finished

26.08.2026 23:30 UTC 2nd round Finished

Udvardy P Hungary

Rank #24 Elo 1870

58Average Form

L L W L W W W L

Mertens E Belgium

Rank #76 Elo 941

49Struggling Form

L W W W W L W W

1:2 1:6 6:4 3:6

1 2 3 GP

Udvardy P 1 6 3 1

Mertens E 6 4 6 2

1 2 3

Stadium: Sonoma Klab. Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Udvardy P	Mertens E
Win %	54.1%	61.2%
Hard %	49.5%	61.5%
Clay %	56.3%	63.9%
Grass %	44.4%	54.8%
Deciding set %	46.7%	52.4%
Tie-breaks %	58.3%	49.2%
Titles (total)	4	10
Last 10	LWLLWLWLWW	LLWLWWWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Hungary Country Belgium

#24 Rating #76

27 Age 30

170 Height (cm) 179 -

- Weight (kg) -

Right Hand Right

L Seed 2

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 2

Serve and return stats

	Udvardy P	Mertens E
Aces per match	3.97	2.82
Double faults per match	4.21	2.96
Breaks per match	4.32	3.46

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Udvardy P

53% 19 / 36

53% 19 / 36

Sintetika

no data

clay

12 iz 20

grass

2 iz 5

hard

5 iz 11

Mertens E

56% 27 / 48

56% 27 / 48

Sintetika

no data

clay

5 iz 9

grass

7 iz 11

hard

15 iz 28

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Elise Mertens

Rank:24 Elo: 1870

L L W L W W W L

Panna Udvardy

Rank:76 Elo: 941

L W W W W L W W

Elo favourite:Mertens E (edge +929 Elo)

Hard

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	56.3% 9 / 16 Matches	36.4% 4 / 11 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	55.6% 15 / 27 Matches	52.6% 10 / 19 Matches
Aces Per Match	3.88	3.00
Most Aces in a match	75 %	27 %

Clay

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	55.6% 5 / 9 Matches	57.1% 16 / 28 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	55.6% 5 / 9 Matches	60.4% 29 / 48 Matches
Aces Per Match	3.88	2.11
Most Aces in a match	88 %	39 %

Grass

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	66.7% 6 / 9 Matches	33.3% 2 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	66.7% 6 / 9 Matches	33.3% 2 / 6 Matches
Aces Per Match	4.22	5.83
Most Aces in a match	67 %	50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy
H2H wins	2 (100.0%)	0 (0.0%)
Sets	4 (80.0%)	1 (20.0%)
Wins this year	58.3% 21 / 36 Matches	48.9% 22 / 45 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	57.5% 27 / 47 Matches	56.2% 41 / 73 Matches
Current rank	24	76

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy
Prize money (career)	$15,475,371 USD	$1,236,615 USD
Rating	24	76
Age	30	27
Height	1.79m	1.70m
Playing hand	Right-handed	Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy
Match Wins	58 %	49 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	59 %	49 %
Wins in Straight Sets	47 %	31 %
Wins From Behind	21 %	12 %
Won At Least 1 Set	69 %	67 %
Set 1 Win	56 %	53 %
Set 2 Win	61 %	44 %
Set 3 Win	50 %	50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date	Tournament	Results
May 7 2026	Rome WTA (Clay)	Elise Mertens 2 – 0 Panna Udvardy
Jun 30 2022	Wimbledon WTA (Grass)	Elise Mertens 2 – 1 Panna Udvardy

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy	Match total
Average Games in a Set	8.78	9.71	9.25
Over 6.5	97 %	91 %	94 %
Over 7.5	85 %	82 %	84 %
Over 8.5	53 %	69 %	61 %
Over 9.5	26 %	56 %	41 %
Over 10.5	12 %	29 %	21 %
Over 11.5	12 %	29 %	21 %

Aces

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy	Match total
Aces Per Match	3.97	2.82	6.79
Most Aces in a match	76 %	38 %	N/A
1+	100 %	87 %	100 %
2+	91 %	60 %	95 %
3+	67 %	49 %	85 %
4+	45 %	31 %	67 %
5+	30 %	22 %	54 %

Breaks

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy	Match total
Breaks Per Match	4.32	3.46	7.78
Over 0.5	97 %	47 %	100 %
Over 1.5	97 %	42 %	100 %
Over 2.5	94 %	42 %	100 %
Over 3.5	94 %	42 %	100 %
Over 4.5	55 %	7 %	79 %
Over 5.5	45 %	7 %	50 %

Tie-breaks

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.12	0.31	0.21
Over 0.5	12 %	29 %	20 %
Over 1.5	0 %	2 %	1 %
Under 0.5	88 %	71 %	20 %
Under 1.5	100 %	98 %	1 %

Double faults

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	4.21	2.96	7.17
Over 0.5 (1+)	100 %	96 %	99 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	91 %	84 %	99 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	73 %	49 %	94 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	58 %	33 %	92 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	42 %	20 %	81 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	21 %	7 %	67 %

Net points

	Elise Mertens	Panna Udvardy	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	9.64	5.17	14.81
Over 4.5 (5+)	91 %	33 %	62 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	73 %	33 %	53 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	64 %	33 %	49 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	36 %	33 %	35 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	36 %	33 %	35 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	36 %	0 %	18 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 4.40 22.1% BetBoom

P2 1.25 77.9% BetBoom

Udvardy P face Mertens E on August 26, 2026 in the WTA. Monterrey, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Udvardy P 2-0-3, Mertens E 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 26% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mertens E — 74%

1 · Udvardy P26.5%

market 23%

2 · Mertens E ✓ Pick73.5%

market 77%

Model estimate: win Udvardy P 26.5%, win Mertens E 73.5%. Model favourite — Mertens E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — Mertens E

Model confidence 81% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udvardy P - Mertens E August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mertens E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mertens E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / 2 1.01
Glicko: Udvardy P 26.5% / Mertens E 73.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 6 books · best price +2.9%

1 22.8%

2 ✓ Pick 77.2%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 4.00 ↑ 4.40

Winner 2 1.25 ↓ 1.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Udvardy P

23%

16.00

Mertens E

77%

1.25

Total

Over 15.5

49%

1.90

Under 15.5

51%

2.80

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Qualification round 1

Joint, Maya2

Hinojosa Gomez, Jessica0

Rodriguez, Victoria0

Putintseva, Yulia2

Bondar, Anna2

Jacquemot, Elsa0

Liang, En-Shuo2

Kraus, Sinja1

Udvardy, Panna2

Arango, Emiliana1

Werner, Caroline0

Vidmanova, Darja2

Tararudee, Lanlana1

Timofeeva, Maria2

Jeanjean, Leolia1

Rakhimova, Kamilla2

Qualification Final

Joint, Maya2

Putintseva, Yulia1

Bondar, Anna2

Liang, En-Shuo1

Udvardy, Panna1

Vidmanova, Darja2

Timofeeva, Maria2

Rakhimova, Kamilla1

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium Sonoma Klab. Tsentralnyy kort

Start 26.08.2026 23:30 UTC

Market 1 19.4% @ 4.20 / 2 80.6% @ 1.01

Stage 2-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 2

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Mertens E 74%

💹 Market Mertens E 77%

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Match center

Udvardy P - Mertens E

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Panna Udvardi - Elise Mertens. Monterrey. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 20

Set Udvardy P Mertens E Result

Set 1 1 6 1:6

Set 2 6 4 6:4

Set 3 3 6 3:6

Metric Udvardy P Mertens E SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final

Points na prieme 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final

Eysy 0 0 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final

Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final

Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final

Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final

Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 73.5% fact: away hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.140 / LogLoss 0.307

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.8% fact: away hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.445 / LogLoss 0.638

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Udvardy P 22.8% 33.0%

Mertens E 77.2% 67.0% model more cautious than market

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko26.5% · +Elo prior (weight0.46).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 26.5% / 73.5% probabilities

Rating 1,688 / 1,461 Udvardy P / Mertens E

RD 143 / 253 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,403-1,973 / 955-1,966 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 73.5%

1 4.06 market consensus · no value · model 26.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 0.5 3.60 market consensus · line only

Over 10.5 4.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	—
1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%	—
—	—	1.19 84.0%
—	—	1.42 70.4%
—	—	1.02 98.0%
—	—	1.30 76.9%
—	—	1.02 98.0%
—	—	1.01 99.0%
—	—	3.60 27.8%
—	—	3.20 31.3%
—	—	4.05 24.7%
—	—	1.18 84.8%
1.72 58.1%	1.78 56.2%	—
2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	—

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	11.00 9.1%
	1.01 99.0%
	12.50 8.0%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 15.5	—	—	1.38 72.5%
Over 16.5	—	—	1.45 69.0%
Over 17.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 18.5	—	—	2.55 39.2%
Over 19.5	1.79 55.9%	1.82 55.0%	1.75 57.1%
Over 20.5	1.92 52.1%	2.00 50.0%	1.90 52.6%
Over 21.5	—	—	1.53 65.4%
Over 22.5	—	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 23.5	—	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 24.5	—	—	1.22 82.0%
Under 19.5	1.96 51.0%	1.98 50.5%	—
Under 20.5	1.82 55.0%	1.81 55.3%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5	12.50 8.0%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1

2026-05-07 · Panna Udvardi 0:2 Elize Mertens

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.3 (Betcity) · 2 1.26 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	3.85	1.25
Winline	3.9	1.26
Fonbet	3.9	1.25
Betcity	4.3	1.22

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Udvardy P

W L W L L

2026-08-25 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

Udvardy P Udvardy P 2:0 Joint M

2026-08-23 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Udvardy P Udvardy P 1:2 Vidmanova D

2026-08-22 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Udvardy P Udvardy P 2:1 Arango E

2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA

Udvardy P Bucsa C 2:1 Udvardy P

2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada

Udvardy P Udvardy P 0:2 Osaka N

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.4 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Mertens E

L L W L W

2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA

Mertens E 1:2 Parry D Mertens E

2026-08-07 2026 Toronto, Canada

Mertens E 0:2 Osaka N Mertens E

2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada

Mertens E 2:1 Bondar A Mertens E

2026-07-08 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Noskova L 2:0 Mertens E Mertens E

2026-07-06 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Bouzkova M 0:2 Mertens E Mertens E

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.4 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Udvardy P - Mertens E

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

Form over the last year

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Head-to-Head Record

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Udvardy P - Mertens E August 26, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Tournament bracket 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Unlock the full AI analysis

Udvardy P - Mertens E

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Recent form

Match facts

Frequently asked questions

Udvardy P - Mertens E

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

Form over the last year

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Head-to-Head Record

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Udvardy P - Mertens E August 26, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Tournament bracket 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Unlock the full AI analysis

Udvardy P - Mertens E

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Recent form

Match facts

More predictions

Frequently asked questions