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WTA - Singles: Memphis 🇺🇸, hard

1 round 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Gibson T. 🇦🇺 - Maria T

Tennis WTA - Singles: Memphis 🇺🇸, hard

WTA - Singles: Memphis 🇺🇸, hard 1-y krug hard 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished

27.07.2026 20:00 UTC 1-y krug Finished

Gibson T. 🇦🇺 Australia Seed 72

Maria T Germany Seed 79

0:2 0:6 3:6

1 2 GP

Gibson T. 🇦🇺 0 3 0

Maria T 6 6 2

1 2

Odds

P1 14.00 13.9% BetBoom

P2 2.25 86.2% BetBoom

Stadium: Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1 Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Australia Country Germany

- Rating -

22 Age 38

176 Height (cm) 172 -

- Weight (kg) -

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

72 Seed 79

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Gibson T. 🇦🇺

44% 12 / 27

44% 12 / 27

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 5

grass

2 iz 5

hard

9 iz 17

Maria T

40% 19 / 47

40% 19 / 47

Sintetika

no data

clay

6 iz 13

grass

8 iz 12

hard

5 iz 22

Head-to-head history

2023

WTA - Singles: Memphis 🇺🇸, hard

T. Tatyana Mariya 1 6

T. Taliya Gibson 0 3

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gibson T. 🇦🇺 — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Gibson T. 🇦🇺): model 38% · market 7% Δ +31 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Gibson T. 🇦🇺55.5%

2 · Maria T44.5%

Model estimate: win Gibson T. 🇦🇺 55.5%, win Maria T 44.5%. Model favourite — Gibson T. 🇦🇺.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gibson T. 🇦🇺 (odds1.34) Score 2:1 confidence 67% ✗ outcome missed

• Gibson T
• 🇦🇺 — Mariya T
• 🇩🇪 (tennis)
• Gibson T
• 🇦🇺: forma PPPPP (0-5)
• Mariya T
• 🇩🇪: forma VVVVP (4-1)
• Model backs Gibson T
• 🇦🇺: probability 67% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.34)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gibson T. 🇦🇺 - Maria T July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Maria T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Maria T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / 2 1.02
Glicko: Gibson T. 🇦🇺 55.5% / Maria T 44.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 6.8%

2 93.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.35 ↑ 14.00

Winner 2 3.15 ↓ 1.02

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Gibson T. 🇦🇺

3-7LWLLWWLLLL

scored 1.0conceded 1.6

Maria T

5-5LWLLWLWWWL

scored 1.1conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated27.07.2026 20:39 UTC

1 45%

2 55% ✓ favourite

Score0:2 Total games: TM 22.5 Bet:Pobeda Tatyany Marii (P2)

Per AI data Form:L-L-L-L-W / W-W-W-W-W H2H: 1:0 Injuries:net

Claude updated27.07.2026 20:52 UTC

1 62% ✓ favourite

2 38%

Score2:0 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:1 (win Gibson) at 1.67

Qwen updated27.07.2026 20:47 UTC

1 78% ✓ favourite

2 7%

Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda

Per AI data H2H: 0-0

Kimi updated27.07.2026 21:10 UTC

1 58% ✓ favourite

2 42%

Score... Total games: ... Bet:...

Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...

GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 21:12 UTC

1 58% ✓ favourite

2 42%

Score2:1 Total games: Over 20.5 Bet:2

Per AI data H2H: 0-1

AI consensus:1

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	45%	55%	0:2	TM 22.5	Pobeda Tatyany Marii (P2)
Claude	62%	38%	2:0	Over 21.5
Qwen	78%	7%	2:0	Under 2.5	Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi	58%	42%	...	...	...
GLM 5.2	58%	42%	2:1	Over 20.5

Match center

Stadium Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1

Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 1

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Gibson T. 🇦🇺 60%

📐 Math model Gibson T. 🇦🇺 55%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Gibson T. 🇦🇺 - Maria T

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Taliya Gibson - Tatyana Mariya, 28 iyulya 2026. Memfis. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Taliya Gibson - Tatyana Mariya, kto pobedil.

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Gibson T. 🇦🇺 Maria T Result

Set 0 0 6 0:6

Set 1 3 6 3:6

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 55.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.615 / LogLoss 0.809

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 50.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.513 / LogLoss 0.706

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Gibson T. 🇦🇺 57.4% 55.5% market and model agree

Maria T 42.6% 44.5%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 55.5% / 44.5% probabilities

Rating 1,107 / 1,814 Gibson T. 🇦🇺 / Maria T

RD 204 / 130 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 699-1,514 / 1,553-2,074 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 44.5%

1 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 55.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 15.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Over 16.5 7.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	—
1.89 52.9%	1.95 51.3%	—
1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%	—
—	—	1.70 58.8%
1.92 52.1%	1.95 51.3%	—
1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%	—
1.77 56.5%	1.80 55.6%	—
—	—	1.95 51.3%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.70 58.8%
—	—	1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 15.5	—	—	2.65 37.7%
Over 16.5	—	—	7.30 13.7%
Over 17.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 18.5	—	—	8.50 11.8%
Over 19.5	—	—	3.00 33.3%
Over 20.5	1.77 56.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%
Over 21.5	1.97 50.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.07 48.3%
Over 22.5	—	—	2.10 47.6%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5	—	—	2.07 48.3%
Under 20.5	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%	—
Under 21.5	1.78 56.2%	1.81 55.3%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.64 61.0%	1.65 60.6%	14.00 7.1%	1.64 61.0%
	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	1.02 98.0%	2.22 45.1%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

Gibson T. 🇦🇺LLLLWWLLLW

Maria TWLWLWWWWLW

H2H 0-0-2

2026-07-27 · Taliya Gibson 0:2 Tatyana Mariya

2023-01-09 · Taliya Gibson 0:2 Tatyana Mariya

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.54 (Winline) · 2 3.2 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	1.35	3.2
Winline	1.54	2.37
Fonbet	1.35	3.2
Betcity	1.35	3.2

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

0 Eysy 10

5 Dvoynye oshibki 2

1 Vsego breyk-poyntov 9

0 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 5

37 Vyigrannye Points 59

24 Points na podache 32

27 Poteryannye Points na podache 13

27 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 28

19 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 15

15 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 23

9 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 9

3 Maks. ochkov podryad 7

3 Geymy na podache 7

3 Vyigrannye geymy 12

1 Maks. geymov podryad 6

0 Tay-breyk 0

Source: ruscore

Gibson T. 🇦🇺

28.07.2026 Championat

Gibson T. 🇦🇺 Q K. Ketrin Sebov (Canada) 0 1 6 — E. Elvina Kalieva Elvina Kalieva 🇺🇸 2 6 7 1-y krug

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Maria T

D D

28.07.2026 Championat

5 K. Kamila Osorio (Colombia) 2 7 Q S. Storm Khanter (Australia) 0 5 1-y krug Maria T

28.07.2026 Championat

S. Solana Serra (Argentina) 1 7 2 Q T. Tatyana Prozorova Maria T

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGibson T. 🇦🇺 - Maria T

Gibson T. 🇦🇺

0 matches total

Maria T

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2023 Khobart hard 1-y krug LD T. Tatyana Mariya Tatyana Mariya (Germany) 2 6 WC T. Taliya Gibson Taliya Gibson (Australia) 0 3 2 Taymlayn Tatyana Mariya 0:1 Tatyana Mariya 0:2 Tatyana Mariya 0:3 Tatyana Mariya 0:4 Tatyana Mariya 0:5 Tatyana Mariya 0:6 Taliya Gibson 1