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AI verdict

AI pick Bondar A win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.73

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Bondar A. Full breakdown below.

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WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico), Hard
WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico), Hard
1st round 25.08.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction

Bucsa C vs Bondar A — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico), Hard
WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico), Hard 1st round hard 25.08.2026 21:00 UTC Finished
25.08.2026 21:00 UTC 1st round Finished
Bucsa C
Bucsa C Spain
Rank #40 Elo 1224
36Bad Form
L L L W W W L W
Bondar A
Bondar A Hungary
Rank #70 Elo 961
51Average Form
W W W W L W W L
2:0
Stadium: Sonoma Klab, Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Bucsa C Bondar A
Win % 52.1% 55.1%
Hard % 55.6% 44.8%
Clay % 44.4% 66.3%
Grass % 50% 16.7%
Deciding set % 54.7% 47.4%
Tie-breaks % 45.8% 50%
Titles (total) 2 6
Last 10 LWLLLLLLLL WWLLWLWWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Spain Country Hungary
#40 Rating #70
28 Age 29
1.76m Height (cm) 1.75m
- Weight (kg) -
Right Hand Right
8 Seed Q
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Bucsa C Bondar A
Aces per match 0.91 3.87
Double faults per match 3.27 2.26
Breaks per match 4.55 1.79

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Bucsa C
47% 18 / 38
47% 18 / 38
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 4
grass
no data
hard
18 iz 34
Bondar A
50% 24 / 48
50% 24 / 48
Sintetika
no data
clay
14 iz 22
grass
0 iz 3
hard
10 iz 23

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Cristina Bucsa
Rank:40 Elo: 1224
L L L W W W L W
Anna Bondar
Rank:70 Elo: 961
W W W W L W W L
Elo favourite:Bucsa C (edge +263 Elo)

Hard

Cristina BucsaAnna Bondar
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 44.4% 8 / 18 Matches 50.0% 10 / 20 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 57.1% 24 / 42 Matches 55.6% 20 / 36 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.78 4.85
Most Aces in a match 11 % 85 %

Clay

Cristina BucsaAnna Bondar
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 4 Matches 59.1% 13 / 22 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 4 Matches 59.1% 13 / 22 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.50 2.86
Most Aces in a match 50 % 55 %

Grass

Cristina BucsaAnna Bondar
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 20.0% 1 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 20.0% 1 / 5 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A 4.40
Most Aces in a match N/A 40 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (66.7%) 1 (33.3%)
Wins this year 36.4% 8 / 22 Matches 51.1% 24 / 47 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 52.2% 24 / 46 Matches 54.0% 34 / 63 Matches
Current rank 40 70

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar
Prize money (career) $2,604,441 USD $1,900,530 USD
Rating 40 70
Age 28 29
Height 1.76m 1.75m
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar
Match Wins 36 % 51 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 36 % 51 %
Wins in Straight Sets 23 % 34 %
Wins From Behind 7 % 4 %
Won At Least 1 Set 59 % 72 %
Set 1 Win 41 % 66 %
Set 2 Win 41 % 41 %
Set 3 Win 38 % 44 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jan 5 2026 Brisbane WTA (Hard) Cristina Bucsa 2 – 1 Anna Bondar

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.23 9.85 9.54
Over 6.5 95 % 91 % 93 %
Over 7.5 82 % 85 % 84 %
Over 8.5 59 % 74 % 67 %
Over 9.5 41 % 49 % 45 %
Over 10.5 18 % 36 % 27 %
Over 11.5 18 % 36 % 27 %

Aces

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar Match total
Aces Per Match 0.91 3.87 4.78
Most Aces in a match 18 % 66 % N/A
1+ 55 % 91 % 89 %
2+ 32 % 79 % 85 %
3+ 5 % 66 % 71 %
4+ 0 % 55 % 59 %
5+ 0 % 40 % 52 %

Breaks

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar Match total
Breaks Per Match 4.55 1.79 6.34
Over 0.5 95 % 15 % 100 %
Over 1.5 91 % 11 % 100 %
Over 2.5 86 % 11 % 81 %
Over 3.5 77 % 11 % 81 %
Over 4.5 77 % 4 % 57 %
Over 5.5 41 % 0 % 53 %

Tie-breaks

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.36 0.4 0.38
Over 0.5 36 % 34 % 35 %
Over 1.5 0 % 6 % 3 %
Under 0.5 64 % 66 % 35 %
Under 1.5 100 % 94 % 3 %

Double faults

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.27 2.26 5.53
Over 0.5 (1+) 86 % 77 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 68 % 64 % 95 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 55 % 40 % 87 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 32 % 26 % 81 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 27 % 11 % 60 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 23 % 6 % 50 %

Net points

Cristina Bucsa Anna Bondar Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.5 5.75 14.25
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % 50 % 75 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % 25 % 63 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 100 % 25 % 63 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 50 % 25 % 38 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 50 % 25 % 38 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 50 % 25 % 38 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.25 43.5% BetBoom
P2 1.73 56.5% BetBoom

Bucsa C meet Bondar A on August 25, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico), Hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bucsa C 1-0-4, Bondar A 3-0-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Bondar A — 56%

1 · Bucsa C43.6%
2 · Bondar A ✓ Pick56.4%

Model estimate: win Bucsa C 43.6%, win Bondar A 56.4%. Model favourite — Bondar A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bucsa C - Bondar A August 25, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bucsa C.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bucsa C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 1.73
  • Glicko: Bucsa C 43.6% / Bondar A 56.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 7 books · best price +827.5%
1 44.6%
2 ✓ Pick 55.4%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.02 ↑ 2.25
Winner 2 1.80 ↓ 1.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Bucsa C
44%
2.22
Bondar A
56%
16.00
Total
Over 9.5
49%
1.89
Under 9.5
51%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Stadium Sonoma Klab, Tsentralnyy kort
Start 25.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 63.1% @ 1.01 / 2 36.9% @ 1.73
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 10 matches
H2H 8
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Bondar A 56%
💹 Market Bondar A 55%
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Match center

Bucsa C - Bondar A

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Kristina Buksha - Anna Bondar, 26 avgusta 2026. Monterrey. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Kristina Buksha - Anna Bondar, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Bucsa C Bondar A SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 56.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.637 / LogLoss 0.831
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 50.8% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.516 / LogLoss 0.709
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bucsa C 43.8% 47.5% market and model agree
Bondar A 56.2% 52.5% market and model agree
1X2: 7 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko43.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.43).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 43.6% / 56.4% probabilities
Rating 1,297 / 1,655 Bucsa C / Bondar A
RD 196 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 904-1,689 / 1,292-2,018 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.69 market consensus · no value · model 56.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 43.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% — —
1.92 52.1% 1.94 51.6% —
1.82 55.0% — —
— 2.00 50.0% —
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% — 2.20 45.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% 2.85 35.1%
1.92 52.1% — 11.00 9.1%
— — 10.50 9.5%
— — 3.05 32.8%
— — 1.10 90.9%
— 1.80 55.6% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
13.00 7.7%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.28 78.1%
Over 19.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Over 20.5 — — 8.50 11.8%
Over 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4% 1.67 59.9%
Over 22.5 1.92 52.1% 1.94 51.6% 9.50 10.5%
Over 23.5 — — 3.95 25.3%
Over 24.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 25.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
Over 26.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 18.5 — — 3.30 30.3%
Under 21.5 1.92 52.1% 1.97 50.8% —
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 13.00 7.7%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0
2026-08-25 · Kristina Bucha 2:0 Anna Bondar
2026-01-05 · Kristina Bucha 2:1 Anna Bondar
Source: ruscore

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.2 (Pari) · 2 1.81 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.2 1.67
Fonbet 2 1.8
Betcity 2 1.81
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

5 Eysy 3
3 Dvoynye oshibki 4
8 Vsego breyk-poyntov 1
3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0
63 Vyigrannye Points 53
37 Points na podache 40
13 Poteryannye Points na podache 26
27 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 28
20 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 34
22 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 20
15 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 20
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
9 Geymy na podache 7
12 Vyigrannye geymy 7
3 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Bucsa C
L W L L L
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Bucsa C Bucsa C 0:2 Chwalinska M
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Bucsa C Bucsa C 2:1 Udvardy P
2026-08-02 2026 Toronto, Canada
Bucsa C Uchijima M 2:0 Bucsa C
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Bucsa C Bucsa C 1:2 Kudermetova P
2026-05-25 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Bucsa C Bandecchi S 2:1 Bucsa C
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Bondar A
W W L L W
2026-08-23 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying
Bondar A 2:1 Liang En Shuo Bondar A
2026-08-23 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying
Bondar A 2:0 Jacquemot E Bondar A
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Bouzas Maneiro J 2:0 Bondar A Bondar A
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Mertens E 2:1 Bondar A Bondar A
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Kalinina A 0:2 Bondar A Bondar A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

More predictions

Bejlek S – Bucsa C 30.08 Yuan Yue – Stoiana M 28.08 Jones F – Garlend Dzh. (Tvn) 28.08 Kalieva E – Valdmannova, Vendula 28.08 Bonzi B – Van de Zandschulp B 28.08 Frantzen C / Haase R – Miedler L / Polmans M 28.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bucsa C vs Bondar A?

By the PropickAI model, Bucsa C is favoured — about 56% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Bucsa C vs Bondar A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Bucsa C. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Bucsa C vs Bondar A?

Live odds for Bucsa C vs Bondar A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Bucsa C vs Bondar A start?

August 25, 2026.