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AI verdict

AI pick Arango E win probability ~55% best odds 3.10

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Arango E. Full breakdown below.

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WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico) - Qualification, Hard
WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico) - Qualification, Hard
22.08.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

Udvardy P - Arango E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico) - Qualification, Hard
WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico) - Qualification, Hard hard 22.08.2026 19:00 UTC Finished
22.08.2026 19:00 UTC Finished
Udvardy P
Udvardy P
Rank #95 Elo 813
38Bad Form
L W W W L L L W
Arango E
Arango E
Rank #77 Elo 961
48Struggling Form
W L L L L W W L
2:1
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Udvardy P Arango E
Win % 54.1% 48.3%
Hard % 49.5% 48.7%
Clay % 56.3% 49.2%
Grass % 44.4% 41.7%
Deciding set % 46.7% 50.7%
Tie-breaks % 57.8% 43.4%
Titles (total) 4 1
Last 10 LLWLWLWWLL LWWWLLLWLL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#95 Rating #77
25 Age 27
1.72m Height (cm) 1.70m
- Weight (kg) -
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Udvardy P Arango E
Aces per match 0.90 2.67
Double faults per match 2.65 2.79
Breaks per match 4.85 3.52

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Emiliana Arango
Rank:95 Elo: 813
L W W W L L L W
Panna Udvardy
Rank:77 Elo: 961
W L L L L W W L
Elo favourite:Udvardy P (edge +148 Elo)

Hard

Emiliana ArangoPanna Udvardy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 30.8% 4 / 13 Matches 25.0% 2 / 8 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 39.4% 13 / 33 Matches 52.6% 10 / 19 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.54 2.25
Most Aces in a match 23 % 25 %

Clay

Emiliana ArangoPanna Udvardy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 41.7% 5 / 12 Matches 57.1% 16 / 28 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 41.7% 5 / 12 Matches 60.4% 29 / 48 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.00 2.11
Most Aces in a match 33 % 39 %

Grass

Emiliana ArangoPanna Udvardy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.50 5.83
Most Aces in a match 50 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy
H2H wins 1 (25.0%) 3 (75.0%)
Sets 3 (30.0%) 7 (70.0%)
Wins this year 37.5% 12 / 32 Matches 47.6% 20 / 42 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 40.4% 21 / 52 Matches 56.2% 41 / 73 Matches
Current rank 95 77

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy
Prize money (career) $546,240 USD $1,236,615 USD
Rating 95 77
Age 25 27
Height 1.72m 1.70m
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy
Match Wins 38 % 48 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 39 % 48 %
Wins in Straight Sets 22 % 31 %
Wins From Behind 17 % 12 %
Won At Least 1 Set 59 % 64 %
Set 1 Win 38 % 52 %
Set 2 Win 44 % 43 %
Set 3 Win 42 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy
Aces 0 4
Double Faults 4 5
1st serve percentage 57% 60%
1st serve points won 67% (32/48) 75% (30/40)
2nd serve points won 42% (15/36) 52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved 8/13 6/9
1st return points won 25% (10/40) 42% (20/48)
2nd return points won 48% (13/27) 58% (21/36)
Break Points Converted 3/9 4/13
Service Points Won 55% (47/86) 65% (45/69)
Return Points Won 35% (24/69) 45% (39/86)
Total Points Won 46% (71/155) 54% (84/155)
Last 10 balls 5 5
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 64% (7/11) 75% (9/12)
Return games won 25% (3/12) 36% (4/11)
Total games won 43% (10/23) 57% (13/23)

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Apr 4 2026 Bogota WTA (Clay) Emiliana Arango 1 – 2 Panna Udvardy
Nov 2 2024 Santa Cruz Chall. Women (Clay) Emiliana Arango 2 – 1 Panna Udvardy
Nov 4 2022 W60 Barranquilla ITF Women (Hard) Emiliana Arango 0 – 2 Panna Udvardy
May 21 2021 W25 Pelham, AL ITF Women (Clay) Emiliana Arango 0 – 2 Panna Udvardy

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.53 9.67 9.6
Over 6.5 100 % 90 % 95 %
Over 7.5 87 % 81 % 84 %
Over 8.5 77 % 67 % 72 %
Over 9.5 35 % 57 % 46 %
Over 10.5 23 % 29 % 26 %
Over 11.5 23 % 29 % 26 %

Aces

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy Match total
Aces Per Match 0.90 2.67 3.57
Most Aces in a match 32 % 38 % N/A
1+ 52 % 86 % 92 %
2+ 29 % 57 % 74 %
3+ 6 % 45 % 64 %
4+ 3 % 29 % 45 %
5+ 0 % 19 % 32 %

Breaks

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy Match total
Breaks Per Match 4.85 3.52 8.37
Over 0.5 100 % 50 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 45 % 100 %
Over 2.5 90 % 45 % 100 %
Over 3.5 55 % 45 % 100 %
Over 4.5 55 % 7 % 100 %
Over 5.5 55 % 7 % 74 %

Tie-breaks

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.23 0.29 0.26
Over 0.5 19 % 26 % 23 %
Over 1.5 3 % 2 % 3 %
Under 0.5 81 % 74 % 23 %
Under 1.5 97 % 98 % 3 %

Double faults

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.65 2.79 5.44
Over 0.5 (1+) 90 % 95 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 74 % 83 % 99 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 52 % 45 % 90 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 23 % 31 % 83 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 13 % 17 % 70 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 13 % 5 % 61 %

Net points

Emiliana Arango Panna Udvardy Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 5.83 5.17 11
Over 4.5 (5+) 33 % 33 % 33 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 33 % 17 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 0 % 33 % 17 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % 33 % 17 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 33 % 17 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 0 % 0 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.15 59.1% BetBoom
P2 3.10 41.0% BetBoom

Udvardy P take on Arango E on August 22, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Monterrey (Mexico) - Qualification, Hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Udvardy P 1-1-3, Arango E 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Arango E — 55%

1 · Udvardy P45.4%
2 · Arango E54.6%

Model estimate: win Udvardy P 45.4%, win Arango E 54.6%. Model favourite — Arango E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Udvardy P

Model confidence 70% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udvardy P - Arango E August 22, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udvardy P.

Line favourite Fonbet: Udvardy P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.10
  • Glicko: Udvardy P 45.4% / Arango E 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8% 6 books · best price +87.9%
1 43.8%
2 56.2%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.55 ↓ 1.30
Winner 2 1.52 ↑ 3.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Udvardy P
44%
2.15
Arango E
56%
3.10
Total
Over 21.5
51%
1.84
Under 21.5
49%
2.08

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated22.08.2026 06:11 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Total Games Over 21.5
Per AI data Form:LLWLW / LWLLW H2H: Udvardy leads 3-1 overall including a three-set win in April 2026 Injuries:none Key:Udvardy's superior hard-court serve efficiency and flatter groundstrokes
Details

The upcoming WTA Monterrey qualification match on hard court presents a fascinating strategic breakdown between Panna Udvardy and Emiliana Arango. Both players are looking to find consistency on hard courts, making this qualification phase critical for building confidence ahead of major commitments.
Current Form Analysis
Panna Udvardy (LLWLW): The Hungarian is trying to snap out of a rough patch after recent early exits in Cincinnati against Cristina Bucsa (2-1) and Toronto against Naomi Osaka (2-0). Her hard-court movement has been slightly exposed against aggressive baseliners, but her first serve velocity remains a viable weapon when finding the lines.
Emiliana Arango (LWLLW): The Colombian player mirrors a similar erratic patch of form. While she is naturally more comfortable sliding on clay, her aggressive returning style has allowed her to stay competitive on quicker surfaces, though her high double-fault rate remains a persistent vulnerability under pressure.
Head-to-Head and Key Factors
The historical head-to-head record stands at 3-1 in favor of Panna Udvardy across all professional meetings. Notably, their most recent major showdown in April 2026 at the Copa Colsanitas in Bogota saw Udvardy stage a dramatic comeback from a 5-2 deficit in the final set to win 6-7, 6-3, 7-6. There are no fresh injury reports or physical suspensions hindering either player for this qualifying match.
The primary tactical factor is how their styles translate to the Monterrey hard courts. Udvardy's flatter strokes and superior ace production (such as hitting 10 aces against Bucsa in Cincinnati) give her a slight structural edge over Arango's heavy-topspin baseline game, which loses some efficiency on hard surfaces.
Probability and Market Estimation
Our Probability Assessment: P1 (Udvardy) 60% / P2 (Arango) 40%
Market Alignment: Our Glicko and market-calibrated model sets the baseline precisely at 60% to 40%. There is no reason to diverge from this baseline estimation. The historical matchup dominance (75% win rate for Udvardy over Arango) combined with Udvardy's higher serving ceiling perfectly validates her standing as the 60% favorite on this specific surface.
Additional Markets & Set Score Forecast
Given that their recent encounters have been prolonged, grueling affairs—headlined by their 35-game epic in April—this match projects to follow a highly competitive trajectory. Arango's fighting spirit routinely forces deep sets, making the Total Games market highly attractive.
Total Games: Over 21.5 Games
Exact Set Score: 2:1 in favor of Panna Udvardy
Conclusion
The optimal betting angle is to back a highly competitive match that highlights the structural edges of both players, resulting in a three-set battle where Udvardy's serve ultimately tips the scale. The main bet is Total Games Over 21.5.

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 60% 40% 2:1 Over 21.5 Total Games Over 21.5

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Match center
Start 22.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 70.5% @ 1.30 / 2 29.5% @ 3.10
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Udvardy P 60%
📐 Math model Arango E 55%
💹 Market Arango E 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Udvardy P - Arango E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Udvardy P Arango E SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 4/13 3/9 final
Points na prieme 45% (39/86) 35% (24/69) final
Eysy 4 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 6/9 8/13 final
Dvoynye oshibki 5 4 final
Pervaya podacha, % 60% 57% final
Points na pervoy podache 75% (30/40) 67% (32/48) final
Points na vtoroy podache 52% (14/27) 42% (15/36) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 54.6% fact: home missed / Brier 0.597 / LogLoss 0.791
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 50.6% fact: home missed / Brier 0.511 / LogLoss 0.704
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Udvardy P 43.8% 46.9% market and model agree
Arango E 56.2% 53.1% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko45.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.25).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 45.4% / 54.6% probabilities
Rating 1,636 / 1,434 Udvardy P / Arango E
RD 120 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,395-1,877 / 1,133-1,736 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 Fonbet · weak value +69.4% · model 54.6%
1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 45.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— 1.90 52.6% —
1.81 55.3% 2.00 50.0% —
1.83 54.6% — —
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 3.10 32.3%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 8.00 12.5%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.60 38.5%
— — 1.92 52.1%
— 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.91 52.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.88 53.2%
1.89 52.9% — 1.68 59.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.10 90.9%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
5.50 18.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 21.5 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.67 59.9%
Over 22.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 23.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
Over 24.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 25.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 26.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 27.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Over 28.5 — — 1.04 96.2%
Under 20.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.93 51.8% 2.08 48.1%
Under 22.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Under 23.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Under 24.5 — — 2.60 38.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0
2026-08-22 · Panna Udvardi 2:1 Emiliana Arango
2026-04-04 · Panna Udvardi 2:1 Emiliana Arango
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.55 (Pari) · 2 1.67 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.55 1.48
Winline 2.4 1.57
Fonbet 2.55 1.48
Betcity 2.12 1.67
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

3 Eysy 4
5 Dvoynye oshibki 5
9 Vsego breyk-poyntov 13
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 5
90 Vyigrannye Points 97
59 Points na podache 52
45 Poteryannye Points na podache 31
59 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 54
39 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 25
39 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 36
20 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 16
8 Maks. ochkov podryad 10
9 Geymy na podache 10
14 Vyigrannye geymy 15
3 Maks. geymov podryad 7
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Udvardy P
L L D L W
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Udvardy P Bucsa C 2:1 Udvardy P
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Udvardy P Udvardy P 0:2 Osaka N
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Udvardy P Udvardy P 1:1 Lys E
2026-07-23 2026 Hamburg, Germany
Udvardy P Badosa P 2:0 Udvardy P
2026-07-21 2026 Hamburg, Germany
Udvardy P Pridankina E 0:2 Udvardy P
1 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Arango E
L W W W L
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Swiatek I 2:0 Arango E Arango E
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Arango E 2:0 Williams V Arango E
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Arango E 2:1 Podoroska N Arango E
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Arango E 2:1 Sasnovich A Arango E
2026-08-01 2026 Toronto, Canada, Qualifying
Arango E 0:2 Boisson L Arango E
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udvardy P vs Arango E?

By the PropickAI model, Udvardy P is favoured — about 55% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Udvardy P vs Arango E?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Udvardy P. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Udvardy P vs Arango E start?

August 22, 2026.