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WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
3rd round 06.08.2026 15:05 UTC Match prediction

Gibson T - Alexandrova E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles 3rd round hard 06.08.2026 15:05 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 15:05 UTC 3rd round Finished
Gibson T
Gibson T Australia
Rank #74 Elo 958
60Average Form
L W W L L L L W
Alexandrova E
Alexandrova E Russia
Rank #19 Elo 2301
40Struggling Form
L L L L W W L W
1:2 7:5 1:6 3:6
1 2 3 GP
Gibson T 7 1 3 1
Alexandrova E 5 6 6 2
1 2 3
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Rodzhers 5G Grandstend Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Gibson T Alexandrova E
Win % 63.7% 56.7%
Hard % 67.2% 57.2%
Clay % 35.7% 49.5%
Grass % 46.9% 65.7%
Deciding set % 49% 48.3%
Tie-breaks % 60.5% 42.7%
Titles (total) 11 6
Last 10 WWLLLLWWLL WLLWWLWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Australia Country Russia
#74 Rating #19
22 Age 31
176 Height (cm) 175 -
- Weight (kg) 66kg
Right Hand Right
74 Seed 19
hard Coverage hard
Posev 16 1 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Gibson T Alexandrova E
Aces per match 5.37 4.54
Double faults per match 4.63 4.92
Breaks per match 3.79 3.77

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Gibson T
47% 14 / 30
47% 14 / 30
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 5
grass
2 iz 5
hard
11 iz 20
Alexandrova E
52% 29 / 56
52% 29 / 56
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 6
grass
5 iz 9
hard
23 iz 41

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Talia Gibson
Rank:74 Elo: 958
L W W L L L L W
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Rank:19 Elo: 2301
L L L L W W L W
Elo favourite:Alexandrova E (edge +1343 Elo)

Hard

Talia GibsonEkaterina Alexandrova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 73.3% 22 / 30 Matches 40.0% 6 / 15 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 67.9% 38 / 56 Matches 53.7% 22 / 41 Matches
Aces Per Match 5.90 4.47
Most Aces in a match 55 % 67 %

Clay

Talia GibsonEkaterina Alexandrova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 37.5% 3 / 8 Matches 16.7% 1 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 37.5% 3 / 8 Matches 16.7% 1 / 6 Matches
Aces Per Match 3.75 4.60
Most Aces in a match 50 % 60 %

Grass

Talia GibsonEkaterina Alexandrova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 28.6% 2 / 7 Matches 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 28.6% 2 / 7 Matches 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches
Aces Per Match 5.71 4.67
Most Aces in a match 29 % 17 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 60.4% 29 / 48 Matches 40.0% 12 / 30 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 60.8% 45 / 74 Matches 50.0% 28 / 56 Matches
Current rank 74 19

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova
Prize money (career) $388,800 USD $6,986,407 USD
Rating 74 19
Age 22 31
Height — 1.75m
Weight — 66kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova
Match Wins 60 % 40 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 60 % 39 %
Wins in Straight Sets 48 % 33 %
Wins From Behind 5 % 5 %
Won At Least 1 Set 79 % 63 %
Set 1 Win 71 % 40 %
Set 2 Win 56 % 55 %
Set 3 Win 40 % 22 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova
Aces 8 6
Double Faults 7 4
1st serve percentage 49% 65%
1st serve points won 74% (28/38) 69% (34/49)
2nd serve points won 41% (16/39) 65% (17/26)
Break Points Saved 4/8 4/6
1st return points won 33% (16/49) 29% (11/38)
2nd return points won 35% (9/26) 59% (23/39)
Break Points Converted 2/6 4/8
Service Points Won 57% (44/77) 68% (53/78)
Return Points Won 32% (25/78) 43% (33/77)
Total Points Won 45% (69/155) 55% (86/155)
Last 10 balls 5 5
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 69% (9/13) 85% (11/13)
Return games won 15% (2/13) 31% (4/13)
Total games won 42% (11/26) 58% (15/26)

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Mar 6 2026 Indian Wells WTA (Hard) Talia Gibson 2 – 0 Ekaterina Alexandrova

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.31 9.47 9.39
Over 6.5 96 % 100 % 98 %
Over 7.5 84 % 89 % 87 %
Over 8.5 64 % 75 % 70 %
Over 9.5 38 % 43 % 41 %
Over 10.5 24 % 18 % 21 %
Over 11.5 24 % 18 % 21 %

Aces

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova Match total
Aces Per Match 5.37 4.54 9.91
Most Aces in a match 49 % 54 % N/A
1+ 97 % 92 % 100 %
2+ 83 % 85 % 100 %
3+ 77 % 69 % 99 %
4+ 66 % 58 % 91 %
5+ 54 % 50 % 85 %

Breaks

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.79 3.77 7.56
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 69 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 69 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 12 % 100 %
Over 4.5 100 % 12 % 98 %
Over 5.5 0 % 8 % 83 %

Tie-breaks

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.24 0.32 0.28
Over 0.5 22 % 32 % 27 %
Over 1.5 2 % 0 % 1 %
Under 0.5 78 % 68 % 27 %
Under 1.5 98 % 100 % 1 %

Double faults

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.63 4.92 9.55
Over 0.5 (1+) 97 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 89 % 88 % 99 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 77 % 73 % 95 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 69 % 58 % 94 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 57 % 38 % 81 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 37 % 38 % 66 %

Net points

Talia Gibson Ekaterina Alexandrova Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.88 6.83 13.71
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % 67 % 84 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % 67 % 84 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 75 % 67 % 71 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 50 % 67 % 59 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 50 % 33 % 42 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 50 % 0 % 25 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 16.00 10.2% BetBoom
P2 1.81 89.8% BetBoom

Gibson T take on Alexandrova E on August 6, 2026 in the WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gibson T 2-0-3, Alexandrova E 3-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Alexandrova E — 53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Alexandrova E): model 55% · market 53% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Gibson T47.0%
2 · Alexandrova E53.0%

Model estimate: win Gibson T 47.0%, win Alexandrova E 53.0%. Model favourite — Alexandrova E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Alexandrova E (odds1.55) Score 1:2 confidence 60% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Gibson T
  • • 🇦🇺 — Aleksandrova E
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Gibson T
  • • 🇦🇺: forma VPPPP (1-4)
  • • Aleksandrova E
  • • (World): forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Aleksandrova E
  • • (World): probability 60% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gibson T - Alexandrova E August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alexandrova E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alexandrova E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.32 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Gibson T 47.0% / Alexandrova E 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 5 books · best price +1.7%
1 47.1%
2 52.9%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.40 ↑ 16.00
Winner 2 1.57 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Gibson T
46%
16.00
Alexandrova E
54%
1.81
Total
Over 16.5
51%
1.82
Under 16.5
49%
1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
2.0Average score0.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 2.0 (goals)

Team form

Gibson T
3-7LLLWWLLLLW
scored 0.9conceded 1.5
Alexandrova E
5-5LLLWWLWWLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 04:44 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
2 45%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:1
Claude updated06.08.2026 04:47 UTC
1 44%
2 56% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 55% 45% 2:0 Under 21.5
Claude 44% 56% 1:2 Over 21.5 Over 21.5 games
Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter. Rodzhers 5G Grandstend
Start 06.08.2026 15:05 UTC
Market 1 30.3% @ 2.32 / 2 69.7% @ 1.01
Stage 3-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Alexandrova E 51%
📐 Math model Alexandrova E 53%
💹 Market Alexandrova E 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Gibson T - Alexandrova E

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Taliya Gibson - Ekaterina Aleksandrova, 06 avgusta 2026. Toronto. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Taliya Gibson - Ekaterina Aleksandrova, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Gibson T Alexandrova E Result
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Set 2 1 6 1:6
Set 3 3 6 3:6
Metric Gibson T Alexandrova E SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 2/6 4/8 final
Points na prieme 32% (25/78) 43% (33/77) final
Eysy 8 6 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 4/8 4/6 final
Dvoynye oshibki 7 4 final
Pervaya podacha, % 49% 65% final
Points na pervoy podache 74% (28/38) 69% (34/49) final
Points na vtoroy podache 41% (16/39) 65% (17/26) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 53.0% fact: away hit / ROI 81.0% / Brier 0.443 / LogLoss 0.636
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 50.4% fact: away hit / ROI 81.0% / Brier 0.493 / LogLoss 0.686
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gibson T 47.3% 42.7% market and model agree
Alexandrova E 52.7% 57.3% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko47.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.41).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 47.0% / 53.0% probabilities
Rating 1,397 / 1,621 Gibson T / Alexandrova E
RD 201 / 166 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 994-1,799 / 1,288-1,954 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 53.0%
1 2.08 market consensus · no value · model 47.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.10 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% —
— 2.10 47.6%
— 1.67 59.9%
— 1.82 55.0%
— 1.57 63.7%
— 1.25 80.0%
— 1.02 98.0%
— 1.45 69.0%
— 1.02 98.0%
— 1.08 92.6%
— 2.40 41.7%
— 4.00 25.0%
— 1.65 60.6%
— 2.08 48.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.55 64.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
3.70 27.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — 1.32 75.8%
Over 19.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Over 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.67 59.9%
Over 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
Over 22.5 — 1.73 57.8%
Over 23.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 24.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 25.5 — 1.98 50.5%
Over 26.5 — 1.20 83.3%
Over 27.5 — 1.53 65.4%
Over 28.5 — 6.50 15.4%
Over 29.5 — 8.50 11.8%
Over 30.5 — 3.40 29.4%
Over 31.5 — 11.00 9.1%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3% —
Under 21.5 1.92 52.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1
2026-08-06 · Taliya Gibson 1:2 Ekaterina Aleksandrova
2026-03-06 · Taliya Gibson 2:0 Ekaterina Aleksandrova
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.35 (Betcity) · 2 1.63 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.3 1.6
Winline 2.27 1.63
Fonbet 2.3 1.6
Betcity 2.35 1.59
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

8 Eysy 7
7 Dvoynye oshibki 4
6 Vsego breyk-poyntov 9
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 5
70 Vyigrannye Points 93
45 Points na podache 57
36 Poteryannye Points na podache 25
38 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 56
29 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 22
31 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 41
14 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 16
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 8
9 Geymy na podache 12
11 Vyigrannye geymy 17
3 Maks. geymov podryad 9
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Gibson T
W W L L L
2026-08-04 2026 Toronto, Canada
Gibson T Chwalinska M 0:2 Gibson T
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Gibson T Gibson T 1:0 Cocciaretto E
2026-07-27 2026 Memphis, USA
Gibson T Gibson T 0:2 Maria T
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Gibson T Gibson T 1:2 Bouzkova M
2026-06-23 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Gibson T Gibson T 0:2 Keys M
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Alexandrova E
W D L W W
2026-08-04 2026 Toronto, Canada
Osorio C 0:2 Alexandrova E Alexandrova E
2026-07-28 2026 Memphis, USA
Alexandrova E 1:1 Liutova K Alexandrova E
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Alexandrova E 1:2 Jovic I Alexandrova E
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Alexandrova E 2:0 Tararudee L Alexandrova E
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Alexandrova E 2:0 Udvardy P Alexandrova E
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGibson T - Alexandrova E

Gibson T
0 matches total
Alexandrova E
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Indian-Uells (zh) hard 2-y krug 11 E. Ekaterina Aleksandrova Ekaterina Aleksandrova (Russia) 0 3 5 Q T. Taliya Gibson Taliya Gibson (Australia) 2 6 7 Taymlayn Taliya Gibson 1:0 Ekaterina Aleksandrova 1 Taliya Gibson 2:1 Ekaterina Aleksandrova 2 Taliya Gib