PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Kasatkina D - Rybakina E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles hard 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Kasatkina D
Kasatkina D
Rank #2 Elo 8056
76Good Form
W L W W L L W W
Rybakina E
Rybakina E
Rank #61 Elo 1033
56Average Form
W L L W L W L L
1:2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Kasatkina D Rybakina E
Win % 59.1% 70.1%
Hard % 57.8% 69.5%
Clay % 61.9% 71.9%
Grass % 60% 69.8%
Deciding set % 59% 57.6%
Tie-breaks % 47.7% 54%
Titles (total) 9 13
Last 10 LWLWWLWWLL WLWWLLWLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#2 Rating #61
27 Age 29
1.84m Height (cm) 1.70m
72kg Weight (kg) 62kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Kasatkina D Rybakina E
Aces per match 6.42 2.00
Double faults per match 2.72 6.63
Breaks per match 3.74 4.4

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Elena Rybakina
Rank:2 Elo: 8056
W L W W L L W W
Daria Kasatkina
Rank:61 Elo: 1033
W L L W L W L L
Elo favourite:Rybakina E (edge +7023 Elo)

Hard

Elena RybakinaDaria Kasatkina
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 84.6% 22 / 26 Matches 50.0% 7 / 14 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 82.7% 43 / 52 Matches 45.0% 9 / 20 Matches
Aces Per Match 7.23 2.00
Most Aces in a match 73 % 29 %

Clay

Elena RybakinaDaria Kasatkina
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 76.9% 10 / 13 Matches 68.8% 11 / 16 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 76.9% 10 / 13 Matches 68.8% 11 / 16 Matches
Aces Per Match 5.17 2.07
Most Aces in a match 83 % 60 %

Grass

Elena RybakinaDaria Kasatkina
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches
Aces Per Match 5.20 1.83
Most Aces in a match 60 % 17 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina
H2H wins 4 (66.7%) 2 (33.3%)
Sets 10 (62.5%) 6 (37.5%)
Wins this year 76.1% 35 / 46 Matches 55.6% 20 / 36 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 77.8% 56 / 72 Matches 52.4% 22 / 42 Matches
Current rank 2 61

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina
Prize money (career) $15,049,990 USD $12,478,241 USD
Rating 2 61
Age 27 29
Height 1.84m 1.70m
Weight 72kg 62kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina
Match Wins 76 % 56 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 80 % 56 %
Wins in Straight Sets 54 % 31 %
Wins From Behind 35 % 30 %
Won At Least 1 Set 91 % 81 %
Set 1 Win 72 % 44 %
Set 2 Win 74 % 67 %
Set 3 Win 59 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina
Aces 3 15
Double Faults 6 16
1st serve percentage 65% 44%
1st serve points won 59% (40/68) 80% (43/54)
2nd serve points won 57% (21/37) 44% (31/70)
Break Points Saved 9/13 9/12
1st return points won 20% (11/54) 41% (28/68)
2nd return points won 56% (39/70) 43% (16/37)
Break Points Converted 3/12 4/13
Service Points Won 58% (61/105) 60% (75/126)
Return Points Won 40% (51/126) 42% (44/105)
Total Points Won 48% (112/231) 52% (119/231)
Last 10 balls 4 6
Match points saved 1 0
Service games won 73% (11/15) 81% (13/16)
Return games won 19% (3/16) 27% (4/15)
Total games won 45% (14/31) 55% (17/31)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.87 9.97 9.92
Over 6.5 98 % 97 % 98 %
Over 7.5 89 % 89 % 89 %
Over 8.5 73 % 69 % 71 %
Over 9.5 52 % 56 % 54 %
Over 10.5 27 % 33 % 30 %
Over 11.5 27 % 33 % 30 %

Aces

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina Match total
Aces Per Match 6.42 2.00 8.42
Most Aces in a match 74 % 40 % N/A
1+ 100 % 77 % 96 %
2+ 91 % 57 % 91 %
3+ 81 % 37 % 81 %
4+ 74 % 14 % 73 %
5+ 70 % 6 % 65 %

Breaks

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.74 4.4 8.14
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 95 % 100 % 99 %
Over 3.5 93 % 100 % 99 %
Over 4.5 51 % 94 % 84 %
Over 5.5 0 % 91 % 79 %

Tie-breaks

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.23 0.33 0.28
Over 0.5 20 % 33 % 27 %
Over 1.5 2 % 0 % 1 %
Under 0.5 80 % 67 % 27 %
Under 1.5 98 % 100 % 1 %

Double faults

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.72 6.63 9.35
Over 0.5 (1+) 81 % 100 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 56 % 97 % 94 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 42 % 89 % 87 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 28 % 83 % 85 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 21 % 74 % 82 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 14 % 60 % 73 %

Net points

Elena Rybakina Daria Kasatkina Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.75 9 15.75
Over 4.5 (5+) 92 % 57 % 75 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 92 % 43 % 68 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 67 % 29 % 48 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 58 % 29 % 44 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 42 % 29 % 36 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 42 % 29 % 36 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 6.20 15.4% BetBoom
P2 1.13 84.6% BetBoom

Kasatkina D go head-to-head with Rybakina E on August 6, 2026 in the WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 19% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Rybakina E — 81%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rybakina E): model 55% · market 84% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kasatkina D18.8%
market16%
2 · Rybakina E ✓ Pick81.2%
market84%

Model estimate: win Kasatkina D 18.8%, win Rybakina E 81.2%. Model favourite — Rybakina E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kasatkina D - Rybakina E August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rybakina E.

Line favourite market consensus: Rybakina E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.20 / 2 1.13
  • Glicko: Kasatkina D 18.8% / Rybakina E 81.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 3 books
1 15.9%
2 ✓ Pick 84.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Kasatkina D
16%
6.20
Rybakina E
84%
1.13
Total
Over 19.5
48%
2.00
Under 19.5
52%
1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins4
1.0Average score1.7

Head-to-head matches: 6 · average total 2.7 (goals)

Team form

Kasatkina D
5-5LLWWLWWLWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.5
Rybakina E
5-5LWLWLLWWLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 03:51 UTC
1 15%
2 85% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Correct score 0:2
Per AI data H2H: 2-4
Claude updated06.08.2026 03:54 UTC
1 0%
2 100% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 (fakt 31 game) Bet:match zavershen — stavka nevozmozhna; retrospektivno edinstvennyy value byl Over 22.5 games (proshel), Result 2 bez tsennosti pri kefe ~1.13, Handicap Rybakina -5.5 NE proshla

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 15% 85% 0:2 Under 22.5 Correct score 0:2
Claude 0% 100% 1:2 Over 22.5 (fakt 31 game) match zavershen — stavka nevozmozhna; retrospektivno edinstvennyy value byl Over 22.5 games (proshel), Result 2 bez tsennosti pri kefe ~1.13, Handicap Rybakina -5.5 NE proshla
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 15.4% @ 6.20 / 2 84.6% @ 1.13
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Rybakina E 93%
📐 Math model Rybakina E 81%
💹 Market Rybakina E 84%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

My virtual bank & leaderboard →
Match center

Kasatkina D - Rybakina E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Kasatkina D Rybakina E SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 4/13 3/12 final
Points na prieme 42% (44/105) 40% (51/126) final
Eysy 15 3 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 9/12 9/13 final
Dvoynye oshibki 16 6 final
Pervaya podacha, % 44% 65% final
Points na pervoy podache 80% (43/54) 59% (40/68) final
Points na vtoroy podache 44% (31/70) 57% (21/37) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 81.2% fact: away hit / ROI 13.0% / Brier 0.070 / LogLoss 0.208
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.7% fact: away hit / ROI 13.0% / Brier 0.428 / LogLoss 0.621
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kasatkina D 15.9% 17.7% market and model agree
Rybakina E 84.2% 82.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko18.8% · +Elo prior (weight0.29).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 18.8% / 81.2% probabilities
Rating 1,521 / 1,727 Kasatkina D / Rybakina E
RD 143 / 149 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,234-1,807 / 1,430-2,024 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 81.2%
1 5.93 market consensus · no value · model 18.8%
Total
Over 18.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% 2.01 49.8%
— 1.67 59.9% —
— 2.08 48.1% —
1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 9.5 — 1.82 55.0% —
Over 18.5 — — 1.76 56.8%
Over 19.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3%
Under 9.5 — 1.88 53.2% —
Under 18.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 19.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
6.00 16.7% 6.20 16.1% 5.60 17.9%
1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Kasatkina D
W
04.08 00:30 UTC WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
Kasatkina D 2:1 Van S. 🇨🇳Van S. 🇨🇳
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Rybakina E
W L W W L
05.08 16:35 UTC+0 WTA. Toronto
Rybakina E 2:1 Kasatkina DKasatkina D
04.07 10:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 0:2 Mertens E. 🇧🇪Mertens E. 🇧🇪
02.07 14:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 2:0 Maknalli K. 🇺🇸Maknalli K. 🇺🇸
30.06 12:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 2:1 Boisson L. 🇫🇷Boisson L. 🇫🇷
12.06 14:45 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: London (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 1:2 Bulter K. 🇬🇧Bulter K. 🇬🇧
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKasatkina D - Rybakina E

Kasatkina D
0 matches total
Rybakina E
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history