Osorio C meet Alexandrova E on August 4, 2026 in the WTA. Toronto, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Osorio C 3-0-2, Alexandrova E 2-1-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 33% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Alexandrova E — 67%
Pure model vs market (2 · Alexandrova E): model 37% · market 70%Δ −33 ppmodel estimates below the market
67%2
1 · Osorio C33.4%
market30%
2 · Alexandrova E ✓ Pick66.6%
market70%
Model estimate: win Osorio C 33.4%, win Alexandrova E 66.6%. Model favourite — Alexandrova E.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Osorio C (odds1.95)Score 2:1confidence 63%✗ outcome missed
•Osorio K: forma VPV (2-1)
•Aleksandrova E: forma P (0-1)
•liniya na pik P1 2.25→1.85 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Osorio K: probability 63% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
•edge over the line +12 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Osorio C - Alexandrova E August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alexandrova E.
Line favourite Fonbet: Alexandrova E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / 2 1.03
Glicko: Osorio C 33.4% / Alexandrova E 66.6%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.7%
2 books · best price +31.6%
130.1%
2 ✓ Pick69.9%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 12.25↑ 12.00
Winner 21.65↓ 1.03
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Osorio C
53%
12.00
Alexandrova E
47%
1.98
Total
Over 21.5
51%
1.78
Under 21.5
49%
2.30
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:1/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 13:42 UTC
163%✓ favourite
237%
Score2:0Total games: Under 22.5Bet:1
Per AI dataH2H: 3-0
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
63%
37%
2:0
Under 22.5
Match center
StadiumAviva Senter. Pervyy kort
Start04.08.2026 16:35 UTC
Market1 7.9% @ 12.00 / 2 92.1% @ 1.03
Stage2-y krug
Coveragehard
Form9 matches
H2H2
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsOsorio C 63%
📐 Math modelAlexandrova E 67%
💹 MarketAlexandrova E 70%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
away - 66.6% fact: away
hit / ROI 98.0% / Brier 0.224 / LogLoss 0.407
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
away - 52.0% fact: away
hit / ROI 98.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.654
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Osorio C30.1%33.4%
Alexandrova E69.9%66.6%market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P233.4% / 66.6%
probabilities
Rating1,874 / 1,445
Osorio C / Alexandrova E
RD226 / 283
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,422-2,325 / 879-2,011
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.03
Fonbet · no value · model 66.6%
11.80
market consensus · no value · model 33.4%
Handicap
2 -0.51.02
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.01
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.510.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.51.40
Fonbet · line only
Over 17.51.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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