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WTA. Toronto International

05.08.2026 16:51 UTC Match prediction

Pegula J - Frech M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis WTA. Toronto

WTA. Toronto 05.08.2026 16:51 UTC Finished

05.08.2026 16:51 UTC Finished

Pegula J

L W W W L

Frech M

W L W L L

2:1 3:6 6:3 6:2

1 2 3 GP

Pegula J 3 6 6 2

Frech M 6 3 2 1

1 2 3

Preview

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

- Coverage -

1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

WTA. Vashington

Pegula Dzh 1 2

Frekh M 0 1

Odds

P1 1.11 85.6% BetBoom

P2 6.60 14.4% BetBoom

Pegula J face Frech M on August 5, 2026 in the WTA. Toronto, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pegula J 3-0-2, Frech M 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 83% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Pegula J — 83%

Pure model vs market (1 · Pegula J): model 63% · market 87% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Pegula J ✓ Pick83.4%

market87%

2 · Frech M16.6%

market13%

Model estimate: win Pegula J 83.4%, win Frech M 16.6%. Model favourite — Pegula J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pegula J - Frech M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pegula J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pegula J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 7.40
Glicko: Pegula J 83.4% / Frech M 16.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 4 books

1 ✓ Pick 86.8%

2 13.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.11 → 1.11

Winner 2 6.60 → 6.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Pegula J

87%

1.10

Frech M

13%

17.00

Total

Over 18.5

52%

1.88

Under 18.5

48%

2.30

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pegula J

8-2WWWWLWWWLW

scored 1.8conceded 0.7

Frech M

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Start 05.08.2026 16:51 UTC

Market 1 88.0% @ 1.01 / 2 12.0% @ 7.40

Form 5 matches

H2H 1

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Pegula J 83%

💹 Market Pegula J 87%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Pegula J - Frech M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 20

Set Pegula J Frech M Result

Set 1 3 6 3:6

Set 2 6 3 6:3

Set 3 6 2 6:2

Metric Pegula J Frech M SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final

Points na prieme 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final

Eysy 0 0 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final

Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final

Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final

Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final

Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, H2H home - 83.4% fact: home hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.055 / LogLoss 0.182

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, H2H home - 54.0% fact: home hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.423 / LogLoss 0.616

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Pegula J 85.6% 83.4% market and model agree

Frech M 14.4% 16.6%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 83.4% / 16.6% probabilities

Rating 1,937 / 1,530 Pegula J / Frech M

RD 174 / 256 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,589-2,285 / 1,018-2,043 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.13 market consensus · no value · model 16.6%

1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 83.4%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 16.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Over 17.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.67 59.9%	1.69 59.2%	—
2.20 45.5%	2.08 48.1%	—
—	—	2.15 46.5%
2.20 45.5%	2.17 46.1%	—
1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	—
—	—	2.65 37.7%
—	—	10.50 9.5%
—	—	10.50 9.5%
—	—	7.90 12.7%
—	—	1.30 76.9%
—	—	1.35 74.1%
—	—	1.32 75.8%
—	—	1.27 78.7%
—	—	1.11 90.1%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	7.10 14.1%
	1.06 94.3%
	11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 16.5	—	—	1.25 80.0%
Over 17.5	—	—	1.45 69.0%
Over 18.5	1.83 54.6%	1.81 55.3%	1.55 64.5%
Over 19.5	—	2.00 50.0%	1.53 65.4%
Over 20.5	—	—	1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 22.5	—	—	2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5	—	—	1.60 62.5%
Over 24.5	—	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 25.5	—	—	1.30 76.9%
Over 26.5	—	—	7.90 12.7%
Over 27.5	—	—	10.50 9.5%
Under 18.5	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	—
Under 19.5	—	1.80 55.6%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5	11.00 9.1%

Match center

Pegula J

L W W W L

2026-08-02 2026 Washington, USA

Pegula J Pegula J 1:2 Eala A

2026-08-01 2026 Washington, USA

Pegula J Pegula J 2:0 Shnaider D

2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA

Pegula J Pegula J 2:0 Kalinskaya A

2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA

Pegula J Pegula J 2:1 Frech M

2026-07-07 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Pegula J Pegula J 1:2 Gauff C

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.6 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Frech M

W L W L L

2026-08-02 2026 Toronto, Canada

Frech M 2:0 Jeanjean L Frech M

2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA

Pegula J 2:1 Frech M Frech M

2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA

Frech M 2:0 Li A Frech M

2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Frech M 0:2 Kalinskaya A Frech M

2026-06-21 2026 Bad Homburg, Germany

Osaka N 2:0 Frech M Frech M

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPegula J - Frech M

Pegula J

1 matches total

Frech M

Pegula J: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Frech M: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Pegula J 2:1 (2026-07-30) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2026-07-30) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA

Pegula J 2:1 Frech M