Sakkari M take on Sonmez Z on August 5, 2026 in the WTA. Toronto, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sakkari M 4-0-1, Sonmez Z 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Sakkari M — 61%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sakkari M): model 62% · market 61%Δ +1 ppmodel estimate matches the market
61%1
1 · Sakkari M ✓ Pick61.1%
market61%
2 · Sonmez Z38.9%
market39%
Model estimate: win Sakkari M 61.1%, win Sonmez Z 38.9%. Model favourite — Sakkari M.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Sakkari M (odds1.51)Score 2:1confidence 60%✓ outcome correct
•🇹🇷 (tennis)
•Sakkari M: forma PVVV (3-1)
•Sonmez Z
•🇹🇷: forma VVPPV (3-2)
•Model backs Sakkari M: probability 60% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sakkari M - Sonmez Z August 5, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sakkari M.
Line favourite Fonbet: Sakkari M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 2.46
Glicko: Sakkari M 61.1% / Sonmez Z 38.9%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.3%
4 books
1 ✓ Pick61.3%
238.7%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 11.60↓ 1.01
Winner 22.35↑ 16.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Sakkari M
61%
1.56
Sonmez Z
39%
16.00
Total
Over 21.5
49%
2.65
Under 21.5
51%
1.91
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Sakkari M
no data
Sonmez Z
5-5LWWLWLLWLW
scored 1.2conceded 1.3
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated05.08.2026 20:31 UTC
161%✓ favourite
239%
Score2:0Total games: Over 21.5Bet:1 at 1.56
Claudeupdated05.08.2026 20:34 UTC
158%✓ favourite
242%
Score2:0Total games: Over 20.5Bet:Over 20.5 games (osn.); dop. malym obemom 2 Sonmez 2.46 (EV +3.3%); 1 at 1.56 ne igrat
AI consensus:1
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
61%
39%
2:0
Over 21.5
Claude
58%
42%
2:0
Over 20.5
Over 20.5 games (osn.); dop. malym obemom 2 Sonmez 2.46 (EV +3.3%); 1 at 1.56 ne igrat
Match center
Start05.08.2026 20:15 UTC
Market1 70.9% @ 1.01 / 2 29.1% @ 2.46
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsSakkari M 60%
📐 Math modelSakkari M 61%
💹 MarketSakkari M 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Sakkari M - Sonmez Z
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H3
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score2:0
Events0
Statistics0
SetSakkari MSonmez ZResult
Set 1636:3
Set 2626:2
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
home - 61.1% fact: home
hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.302 / LogLoss 0.492
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
home - 51.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.667
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Sakkari M61.0%61.1%market and model agree
Sonmez Z39.0%38.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P261.1% / 38.9%
probabilities
Rating1,902 / 1,584
Sakkari M / Sonmez Z
RD196 / 156
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,510-2,294 / 1,272-1,896
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.44
market consensus · no value · model 38.9%
11.01
Fonbet · no value · model 61.1%
Handicap
2 -0.51.85
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.90
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.90
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.51.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.51.62
Fonbet · line only
Over 17.53.05
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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