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WTA. Toronto
WTA. Toronto International
2 round 04.08.2026 20:35 UTC Match prediction

Zhang S - Ostapenko J

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA. Toronto
WTA. Toronto 2-y krug hard 04.08.2026 20:35 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 20:35 UTC 2-y krug Finished
Zhang S
Zhang S China Seed 62
W
Ostapenko J
Ostapenko J Latvia Seed 29
L W W L W
1:0 6:0 4:0
1 2 GP
Zhang S 6 4 1
Ostapenko J 0 0 0
1 2
Odds
P1 3.25 79.4% BetBoom
P2 12.50 20.6% BetBoom
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Pervyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

China Country Latvia
- Rating -
37 Age 29
177 Height (cm) 177
65 Weight (kg) 68
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
62 Seed 29
hard Coverage hard
Posev 26 0 H2H 2

Form over the last year

Zhang S
46% 19 / 41
46% 19 / 41
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 10
grass
1 iz 4
hard
15 iz 27
Ostapenko J
53% 23 / 43
53% 23 / 43
Sintetika
no data
clay
7 iz 12
grass
5 iz 7
hard
11 iz 24

Head-to-head history

2019
WTA. Toronto
  Zhang S 0
  Ostapenko J 0
2018
WTA. Toronto
  Zhang S 0
  Ostapenko J 0

Zhang S take on Ostapenko J on August 4, 2026 in the WTA. Toronto, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Zhang S 2-0-3, Ostapenko J 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Ostapenko J — 64%

Pure model vs market (2 · Ostapenko J): model 46% · market 66% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zhang S35.7%
market34%
2 · Ostapenko J ✓ Pick64.3%
market66%

Model estimate: win Zhang S 35.7%, win Ostapenko J 64.3%. Model favourite — Ostapenko J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Ostapenko J (odds1.34) Score 1:2 confidence 68% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Chzhan Sh: forma V (1-0)
  • • Ostapenko E: forma PVPV (2)
  • • Model backs Ostapenko E: probability 68% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.34)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zhang S - Ostapenko J August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zhang S.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zhang S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 12.50
  • Glicko: Zhang S 35.7% / Ostapenko J 64.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 4 books · best price +774.1%
1 33.6%
2 ✓ Pick 66.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.20 ↓ 1.02
Winner 2 1.35 ↑ 12.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Zhang S

no data

Ostapenko J
8-2WWLWLWWWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 20:03 UTC
1 32%
2 68% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:P2
Per AI data Form:W / LWLW H2H: 2-0 Injuries:no Key:Ostapenko dominance in H2H and aggressive hardcourt style
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 32% 68% 0:2 Under 21.5 P2
Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter. Pervyy kort
Start 04.08.2026 20:35 UTC
Market 1 92.5% @ 1.02 / 2 7.5% @ 12.50
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 2
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Ostapenko J 68%
📐 Math model Ostapenko J 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Zhang S - Ostapenko J

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Chzhan Shuay - Elena Ostapenko, 04 avgusta 2026. Toronto. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Chzhan Shuay - Elena Ostapenko, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Zhang S Ostapenko J Result
Set 0 6 0 6:0
Set 1 4 0 4:0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 64.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.826 / LogLoss 1.029
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.535 / LogLoss 0.728
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zhang S 33.6% 35.7%
Ostapenko J 66.4% 64.3% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 35.7% / 64.3% probabilities
Rating 1,728 / 1,670 Chzhan Sh / Ostapenko J
RD 263 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,203-2,254 / 1,268-2,072 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 64.3%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 35.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 13.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 14.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— 2.00 50.0% —
1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% —
— — 1.42 70.4%
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.97 50.8%
— — 2.60 38.5%
— — 4.10 24.4%
— — 2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 13.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 14.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 15.5 — — 4.00 25.0%
Over 16.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 17.5 — — 1.32 75.8%
Over 18.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 19.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.84 54.4% 2.05 48.8%
Over 21.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 22.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Over 25.5 — — 3.10 32.3%
Under 13.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.97 50.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.95 33.9% 2.70 37.0% 1.02 98.0% 3.25 30.8%
1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5% 12.50 8.0% 1.33 75.2%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.3 (Betcity) · 2 1.35 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.15 1.35
Winline 3.2 1.35
Fonbet 3.15 1.35
Betcity 3.3 1.33
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Zhang S
W L L W L
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Zhang S Putintseva Y 0:2 Zhang S
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Zhang S Zhang S 1:2 Knutson G A
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Zhang S Muchova K 2:0 Zhang S
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Zhang S Andreescu B 0:2 Zhang S
2026-06-20 2026 Bad Homburg, Germany, Qualifying
Zhang S Zhang S 0:2 Ruse E G
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Ostapenko J
L W W L W
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sabalenka A 2:0 Ostapenko J Ostapenko J
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Ostapenko J 2:0 Ruzic A Ostapenko J
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Ostapenko J 2:1 Dart H Ostapenko J
2026-06-26 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Maria T 1:0 Ostapenko J Ostapenko J
2026-06-25 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Ostapenko J 2:0 Sonmez Z Ostapenko J
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZhang S - Ostapenko J

Zhang S
0 matches total
Ostapenko J
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2019 Indian-Uells (zh) hard 2-y krug Ch. Chzhan Shuay Chzhan Shuay (China) 0 2 1 22 E. Elena Ostapenko Elena Ostapenko (Latvia) 2 6
Event
2018 Rim (zh) clay 2-y krug Ch. Chzhan Shuay Chzhan Shuay (China) 0 2 5 E. Elena Ostapenko Elena Ostapenko (Latvia) 2 6 7 Taymlayn Chzhan