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WTA. Tsintsinnati
WTA. Tsintsinnati International
11.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

Iatcenko P - Liu Claire

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA. Tsintsinnati
WTA. Tsintsinnati hard 11.08.2026 18:00 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 18:00 UTC Finished
Iatcenko P
Iatcenko P
Rank #154 Elo 517
52Average Form
L W L L L W W W
Liu Claire
Liu Claire
Rank #116 Elo 692
69Average Form
W L L L W W W W
0:2 4:6 2:6
1 2 GP
Iatcenko P 4 2 0
Liu Claire 6 6 2
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Iatcenko P Liu Claire
Win % 66.3% 53.7%
Hard % 66.9% 50.3%
Clay % 52.6% 60%
Grass % 87.5% 52.6%
Deciding set % 60.3% 54.4%
Tie-breaks % 58.3% 53.2%
Titles (total) 10 3
Last 10 LWLLLWWWWW LWWLLWWWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#154 Rating #116
- Age 26
- Height (cm) 1.70m
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Iatcenko P Liu Claire
Aces per match 2.67 2.48
Double faults per match 4 2.13
Breaks per match 5.62 4.13

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Polina Iatcenko
Rank:154 Elo: 517
L W L L L W W W
Claire Liu
Rank:116 Elo: 692
W L L L W W W W
Elo favourite:Liu Claire (edge +175 Elo)

Hard

Polina IatcenkoClaire Liu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 38.9% 7 / 18 Matches 60.0% 6 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 55.0% 22 / 40 Matches 63.3% 19 / 30 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.57 4.67
Most Aces in a match 29 % 67 %

Clay

Polina IatcenkoClaire Liu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches 73.9% 17 / 23 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches 69.2% 18 / 26 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.50 1.45
Most Aces in a match 50 % 36 %

Grass

Polina IatcenkoClaire Liu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 87.5% 7 / 8 Matches 71.4% 5 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 87.5% 7 / 8 Matches 71.4% 5 / 7 Matches
Aces Per Match 3.00 2.17
Most Aces in a match 33 % 67 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 51.5% 17 / 33 Matches 69.1% 29 / 42 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 58.9% 33 / 56 Matches 66.2% 43 / 65 Matches
Current rank 154 116

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu
Prize money (career) $53,785 USD $2,128,525 USD
Rating 154 116
Age — 26
Height — 1.70m

Win percentage (match / set)

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu
Match Wins 52 % 69 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % 70 %
Wins in Straight Sets 33 % 40 %
Wins From Behind 24 % 41 %
Won At Least 1 Set 67 % 83 %
Set 1 Win 48 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 53 % 69 %
Set 3 Win 55 % 67 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st serve percentage 0% 100%
1st serve points won 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
2nd serve points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved 0/0 0/0
1st return points won 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
2nd return points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted 0/0 0/0
Service Points Won 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
Return Points Won 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Total Points Won 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Last 10 balls 0 0
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Return games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Total games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.45 9.64 9.55
Over 6.5 89 % 100 % 95 %
Over 7.5 89 % 93 % 91 %
Over 8.5 71 % 75 % 73 %
Over 9.5 50 % 53 % 52 %
Over 10.5 21 % 23 % 22 %
Over 11.5 21 % 23 % 22 %

Aces

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu Match total
Aces Per Match 2.67 2.48 5.15
Most Aces in a match 33 % 52 % N/A
1+ 83 % 70 % 96 %
2+ 75 % 52 % 87 %
3+ 50 % 48 % 72 %
4+ 33 % 26 % 62 %
5+ 8 % 17 % 43 %

Breaks

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu Match total
Breaks Per Match 5.62 4.13 9.75
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 0 % 100 %
Over 4.5 92 % 0 % 100 %
Over 5.5 25 % 0 % 100 %

Tie-breaks

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.25 0.28 0.26
Over 0.5 25 % 20 % 23 %
Over 1.5 0 % 5 % 3 %
Under 0.5 75 % 80 % 23 %
Under 1.5 100 % 95 % 3 %

Double faults

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4 2.13 6.13
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 74 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 75 % 61 % 98 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 67 % 43 % 89 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 42 % 30 % 83 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 33 % 4 % 83 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 33 % 0 % 66 %

Net points

Polina Iatcenko Claire Liu Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.9 10.17 18.07
Over 4.5 (5+) 60 % 100 % 80 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 40 % 92 % 66 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 40 % 92 % 66 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 40 % 83 % 62 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 20 % 83 % 52 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 20 % 83 % 52 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 16.00 8.5% BetBoom
P2 1.48 91.5% BetBoom

Iatcenko P go head-to-head with Liu Claire on August 11, 2026 in the WTA. Tsintsinnati, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Iatcenko P 2-0-3, Liu Claire 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Liu Claire — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Liu Claire): model 51% · market 64% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Iatcenko P37.4%
market36%
2 · Liu Claire ✓ Pick62.6%
market64%

Model estimate: win Iatcenko P 37.4%, win Liu Claire 62.6%. Model favourite — Liu Claire.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Liu Claire (odds1.43) Score 1:2 confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Yatsenko P: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Lyu Kler: probability 63% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Iatcenko P - Liu Claire August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liu Claire.

Line favourite Fonbet: Liu Claire. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Iatcenko P 37.4% / Liu Claire 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7% 5 books · best price +1.4%
1 35.8%
2 ✓ Pick 64.2%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.70 ↑ 16.00
Winner 2 1.47 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Iatcenko P
36%
16.00
Liu Claire
64%
1.48
Total
Over 21.5
49%
1.95
Under 21.5
51%
2.07

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 19:46 UTC
1 32%
2 68% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: TM 21.5 Bet:P2
Per AI data Form:WLLLL / LLWWW H2H: 0-0 Injuries:no
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 32% 68% 0:2 TM 21.5 P2
Match center
Start 11.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 27.6% @ 2.65 / 2 72.4% @ 1.01
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Liu Claire 68%
📐 Math model Liu Claire 63%
💹 Market Liu Claire 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Iatcenko P - Liu Claire

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Iatcenko P Liu Claire Result
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Metric Iatcenko P Liu Claire SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 62.6% fact: away hit / ROI 48.0% / Brier 0.280 / LogLoss 0.469
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.5% fact: away hit / ROI 48.0% / Brier 0.470 / LogLoss 0.663
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Iatcenko P 36.1% 43.9% market and model agree
Liu Claire 63.9% 56.1% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko37.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.60).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 37.4% / 62.6% probabilities
Rating 1,388 / 1,500 Iatcenko P / Lyu Kler
RD 203 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 982-1,794 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 62.6%
1 2.60 market consensus · no value · model 37.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.75 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 2.45 40.8%
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 2.25 44.4%
— — 1.92 52.1%
— — 2.75 36.4%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.09 91.7%
— — 2.80 35.7%
— — 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.40 71.4%
1.88 53.2% 1.97 50.8% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
8.00 12.5%
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
Over 19.5 — — 5.50 18.2%
Over 20.5 — 1.81 55.3% 1.65 60.6%
Over 21.5 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.67 59.9%
Over 22.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 25.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Under 18.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
Under 19.5 — — 1.10 90.9%
Under 20.5 — 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6%
Under 21.5 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-11 · Polina Yatsenko 0:2 Kler Liu
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.62 (Winline) · 2 1.5 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.55 1.5
Winline 2.62 1.48
Fonbet 2.55 1.5
Betcity 2.6 1.49
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 6
10 Dvoynye oshibki 2
3 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 5
43 Vyigrannye Points 67
25 Points na podache 36
31 Poteryannye Points na podache 18
38 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 36
8 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 16
23 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 27
2 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 9
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 12
4 Geymy na podache 7
6 Vyigrannye geymy 12
2 Maks. geymov podryad 4
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Iatcenko P
L L L W W
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Iatcenko P Pareja J 2:0 Iatcenko P
2026-07-14 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye
Iatcenko P Iatcenko P 0:2 Zvonareva V
2026-06-25 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Iatcenko P Krueger A 2:0 Iatcenko P
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Iatcenko P Iatcenko P 2:0 Bai Zhuoxuan
2026-06-23 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Iatcenko P Iatcenko P 2:0 Romero Gormaz L
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Liu Claire
L W W L L
2026-07-14 2026 Iasi, Romania
Putintseva Y 2:0 Liu Claire Liu Claire
2026-07-13 2026 Iasi, Romania, Qualifying
Liu Claire 2:0 Oz I Liu Claire
2026-07-12 2026 Iasi, Romania, Qualifying
Liu Claire 2:0 Popa M S Liu Claire
2026-07-07 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Kraus S 2:0 Liu Claire Liu Claire
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Liu Claire 1:2 Gauff C Liu Claire
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIatcenko P - Liu Claire

Iatcenko P
0 matches total
Liu Claire
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Iatcenko P vs Liu Claire?

By the PropickAI model, Liu Claire is favoured — about 63% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Iatcenko P vs Liu Claire?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Liu Claire. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Iatcenko P vs Liu Claire start?

August 11, 2026.