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WTA. Tsintsinnati
WTA. Tsintsinnati International
11.08.2026 23:15 UTC Match prediction

Korneeva A - Lepchenko V

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA. Tsintsinnati
WTA. Tsintsinnati hard 11.08.2026 23:15 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 23:15 UTC Finished
Korneeva A
Korneeva A
Rank #89 Elo 849
73Good Form
L W W W W L W L
Lepchenko V
Lepchenko V
Rank #176 Elo 449
42Struggling Form
W W L W W W L L
2:0 6:3 6:1
1 2 GP
Korneeva A 6 6 2
Lepchenko V 3 1 0
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Korneeva A Lepchenko V
Win % 73% 47.6%
Hard % 76.7% 47.5%
Clay % 53.8% 51.3%
Grass % 50% 31.1%
Deciding set % 69.6% 44.8%
Tie-breaks % 58.5% 52.2%
Titles (total) 9 0
Last 10 LWWWWLWWWL LLWLWLLWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#89 Rating #176
19 Age 40
- Height (cm) 1.80m
- Weight (kg) 70kg
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Korneeva A Lepchenko V
Aces per match 2.39 2.63
Double faults per match 4.29 2.53
Breaks per match 3.79 3.52

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Alina Korneeva
Rank:89 Elo: 849
L W W W W L W L
Varvara Lepchenko
Rank:176 Elo: 449
W W L W W W L L
Elo favourite:Korneeva A (edge +400 Elo)

Hard

Alina KorneevaVarvara Lepchenko
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 78.8% 26 / 33 Matches 42.9% 6 / 14 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 77.2% 44 / 57 Matches 46.7% 14 / 30 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.45 2.57
Most Aces in a match 73 % 50 %

Clay

Alina KorneevaVarvara Lepchenko
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 63.6% 7 / 11 Matches 43.8% 7 / 16 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 63.6% 7 / 11 Matches 50.0% 14 / 28 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.00 2.73
Most Aces in a match 45 % 67 %

Grass

Alina KorneevaVarvara Lepchenko
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Aces Per Match 3.00 2.00
Most Aces in a match 80 % 100 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 73.5% 36 / 49 Matches 41.9% 13 / 31 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 74.0% 54 / 73 Matches 47.5% 28 / 59 Matches
Current rank 89 176

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko
Prize money (career) $216,905 USD $5,289,875 USD
Rating 89 176
Age 19 40
Height — 1.80m
Weight — 70kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko
Match Wins 73 % 42 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 73 % 42 %
Wins in Straight Sets 51 % 16 %
Wins From Behind 40 % 18 %
Won At Least 1 Set 80 % 68 %
Set 1 Win 59 % 48 %
Set 2 Win 71 % 35 %
Set 3 Win 85 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.35 9.03 9.19
Over 6.5 94 % 94 % 94 %
Over 7.5 88 % 84 % 86 %
Over 8.5 65 % 58 % 62 %
Over 9.5 35 % 35 % 35 %
Over 10.5 20 % 13 % 17 %
Over 11.5 20 % 13 % 17 %

Aces

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko Match total
Aces Per Match 2.39 2.63 5.02
Most Aces in a match 66 % 60 % N/A
1+ 84 % 90 % 94 %
2+ 61 % 63 % 80 %
3+ 42 % 43 % 65 %
4+ 24 % 30 % 48 %
5+ 18 % 23 % 36 %

Breaks

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.79 3.52 7.31
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 97 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 13 % 100 %
Over 3.5 45 % 10 % 100 %
Over 4.5 45 % 7 % 99 %
Over 5.5 42 % 7 % 99 %

Tie-breaks

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.24 0.23 0.24
Over 0.5 22 % 23 % 23 %
Over 1.5 2 % 0 % 1 %
Under 0.5 78 % 77 % 23 %
Under 1.5 98 % 100 % 1 %

Double faults

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.29 2.53 6.82
Over 0.5 (1+) 97 % 93 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 89 % 60 % 99 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 71 % 30 % 94 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 61 % 27 % 83 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 37 % 17 % 71 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 32 % 13 % 61 %

Net points

Alina Korneeva Varvara Lepchenko Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.45 5.67 14.12
Over 4.5 (5+) 80 % 33 % 57 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 70 % 33 % 52 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 60 % 33 % 47 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 60 % 33 % 47 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 60 % 33 % 47 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 40 % 33 % 37 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.22 78.7% BetBoom
P2 4.50 21.3% BetBoom

Korneeva A take on Lepchenko V on August 11, 2026 in the WTA. Tsintsinnati, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Korneeva A 4-0-1, Lepchenko V 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 78% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Korneeva A — 78%

Pure model vs market (1 · Korneeva A): model 65% · market 85% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Korneeva A ✓ Pick77.6%
market85%
2 · Lepchenko V22.4%
market15%

Model estimate: win Korneeva A 77.6%, win Lepchenko V 22.4%. Model favourite — Korneeva A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Korneeva A - Lepchenko V August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Korneeva A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Korneeva A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Korneeva A 77.6% / Lepchenko V 22.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2% 6 books · best price +3.6%
1 ✓ Pick 84.6%
2 15.4%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.20 → 1.20
Winner 2 4.40 ↑ 4.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Korneeva A
84%
1.15
Lepchenko V
16%
14.00
Total
Over 19.5
47%
2.55
Under 19.5
53%
1.77

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Korneeva A
7-3LWWWLWWWLW
scored 1.5conceded 0.7
Lepchenko V
4-6WLWLLWLWLL
scored 1.2conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 11.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 93.2% @ 1.02 / 2 6.8% @ 14.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Korneeva A 78%
💹 Market Korneeva A 85%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Korneeva A - Lepchenko V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Korneeva A Lepchenko V Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 6 1 6:1
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 77.6% fact: home hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.100 / LogLoss 0.253
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.3% fact: home hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.436 / LogLoss 0.629
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Korneeva A 79.0% 69.8% model more cautious than market
Lepchenko V 21.0% 30.2%
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko77.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.33).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 77.6% / 22.4% probabilities
Rating 1,879 / 1,322 Korneeva A / Lepchenko V
RD 119 / 199 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,642-2,117 / 925-1,720 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.96 market consensus · no value · model 22.4%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 77.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
Over 15.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.13 88.5%
— — 1.15 87.0%
— — 1.19 84.0%
1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% —
2.13 47.0% — —
2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% —
1.65 60.6% — —
— — 5.10 19.6%
— — 4.70 21.3%
— — 4.15 24.1%
— — 3.45 29.0%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 11.50 8.7%
— — 8.50 11.8%
— — 1.50 66.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
12.00 8.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 16.5 — — 8.50 11.8%
Over 17.5 — — 11.50 8.7%
Over 18.5 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 2.50 40.0%
Over 19.5 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.55 39.2%
Over 20.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 21.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5 — — 3.05 32.8%
Over 23.5 — — 3.35 29.9%
Over 24.5 — — 3.50 28.6%
Under 18.5 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% —
Under 19.5 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-11 · Alina Korneeva 2:0 Varvara Lepchenko
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.22 (Betcity) · 2 4.7 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.2 4.5
Winline 1.19 4.7
Fonbet 1.2 4.5
Betcity 1.22 4.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 1
2 Dvoynye oshibki 4
11 Vsego breyk-poyntov 4
5 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 1
69 Vyigrannye Points 50
37 Points na podache 27
23 Poteryannye Points na podache 32
41 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 36
17 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 19
31 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 19
6 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 8
9 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
7 Geymy na podache 3
12 Vyigrannye geymy 4
6 Maks. geymov podryad 2
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Korneeva A
L W W W W
2026-08-09 2026 Toronto, Canada
Korneeva A Korneeva A 0:2 Gauff C
2026-08-07 2026 Toronto, Canada
Korneeva A Jovic I 0:2 Korneeva A
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Korneeva A Korneeva A 2:0 Navarro E
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Korneeva A Korneeva A 1:0 Kudermetova P
2026-08-01 2026 Toronto, Canada, Qualifying
Korneeva A Korneeva A 2:1 Stoiana M
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Lepchenko V
L L W L W
2026-08-01 2026 Toronto, Canada, Qualifying
Lepchenko V 1:2 Jones E Lepchenko V
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Kudermetova P 2:1 Lepchenko V Lepchenko V
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Ngounoue C 1:2 Lepchenko V Lepchenko V
2026-07-20 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Lepchenko V 1:2 Avanesyan E Lepchenko V
2026-07-19 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Lepchenko V 2:0 Petkovic Anna Lepchenko V
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKorneeva A - Lepchenko V

Korneeva A
0 matches total
Lepchenko V
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Korneeva A vs Lepchenko V?

By the PropickAI model, Korneeva A is favoured — about 78% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Korneeva A vs Lepchenko V?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Korneeva A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Korneeva A vs Lepchenko V start?

August 11, 2026.