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WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard
30.07.2026 17:15 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 17:15 UTC
Finished

WTA. Washington. Hard

Pegula J - Frech M

Tennis
Pegula J
Pegula J
2 : 1
Finished
Frech M
Frech M

Pegula J face Frech M on July 30, 2026 in the WTA. Washington. Hard.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pegula J - Frech M July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pegula J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 7.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9% 4 books · best price +2.3%
1 87.0%
2 13.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pegula J
7-3WLLWWWLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Frech M
2-8LLLLLLWLLW
scored 0.9conceded 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 17:15 UTC
Market 1 87.6% @ 1.08 / 2 12.4% @ 7.60
Match center

Pegula J - Frech M

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 84.1% fact: home hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.050 / LogLoss 0.173
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 54.1% fact: home hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.421 / LogLoss 0.614
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.32 75.8% —
— — 1.55 64.5% —
2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.94 51.6%
— — 2.90 34.5% —
1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% — 1.84 54.4%
— — 3.10 32.3% —
— — 2.30 43.5% —
— — 1.73 57.8% —
— — 1.35 74.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 17.5 — — 1.57 63.7% —
Over 18.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.05 48.8%
Over 19.5 — — 2.20 45.5% —
Over 20.5 — — 2.55 39.2% —
Under 17.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 18.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.75 57.1%
Under 19.5 — — 1.60 62.5% —
Under 20.5 — — 1.45 69.0% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.07 93.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7%
7.40 13.5% 6.60 15.2% 7.60 13.2% 7.00 14.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-0
2026-07-30 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:1 Magdalena Fresh
2025-04-17 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh
2023-04-28 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh
2021-09-27 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.12 (Betcity) · 2 6.7 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.11 6.7
Winline 1.11 6.5
Fonbet 1.11 6.7
Betcity 1.12 6.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

9 Eysy 6
4 Dvoynye oshibki 1
12 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
5 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 2
87 Vyigrannye Points 69
50 Points na podache 41
28 Poteryannye Points na podache 37
48 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 51
31 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 30
31 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 28
19 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 13
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
10 Geymy na podache 7
15 Vyigrannye geymy 9
7 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Frech M
W
28.07 19:25 UTC WTA - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Frech M 2:0 Li E. 🇺🇸Li E. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPegula J - Frech M

Pegula J
0 matches total
Frech M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history