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WTA. Washington. Hard

1 round 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Samsonova L - Keys M

Tennis WTA. Washington. Hard

WTA. Washington. Hard 1-y krug hard 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished

27.07.2026 20:00 UTC 1-y krug Finished

Samsonova L Russia Seed 70

Keys M USA Seed 22

2:1 3:6 6:4 6:4

1 2 3 GP

Samsonova L 3 6 6 2

Keys M 6 4 4 1

1 2 3

Odds

P1 3.80 67.8% BetBoom

P2 8.00 32.2% BetBoom

Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Russia Country USA

- Rating -

27 Age 31

182 Height (cm) 178 -

- Weight (kg) -

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

70 Seed 22

hard Coverage hard

Posev 6 1 H2H 5

Form over the last year

Samsonova L

39% 16 / 41

39% 16 / 41

Sintetika

no data

clay

3 iz 9

grass

3 iz 7

hard

10 iz 25

Keys M

64% 29 / 45

64% 29 / 45

Sintetika

no data

clay

7 iz 10

grass

9 iz 12

hard

13 iz 23

Head-to-head history

2025

WTA. Washington. Hard

Samsonova L 0

Keys M 0

2024

WTA. Washington. Hard

Samsonova L 0

Keys M 0

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Keys M — 72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Keys M): model 56% · market 12% Δ +44 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Samsonova L28.0%

market88%

2 · Keys M ✓ Pick72.0%

market12%

Model estimate: win Samsonova L 28.0%, win Keys M 72.0%. Model favourite — Keys M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Keys M (odds1.27) Score 1:2 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed

• Samsonova L
• (World) — Kiz M
• 🇺🇸 (tennis)
• Samsonova L
• (World): forma PVVPP (2-3)
• Kiz M
• 🇺🇸: forma PVVVP (3-2)
• Model backs Kiz M
• 🇺🇸: probability 57% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
• no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samsonova L - Keys M July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Samsonova L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samsonova L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 8.00
Glicko: Samsonova L 28.0% / Keys M 72.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.8%

1 88.3%

2 ✓ Pick 11.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 3.75 ↓ 1.06

Winner 2 1.27 ↑ 8.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Samsonova L

4-6WLLLLLWLWW

scored 1.1conceded 1.3

Keys M

8-2LWWLWWWWWW

scored 1.7conceded 0.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated27.07.2026 21:12 UTC

1 25%

2 75% ✓ favourite

Score0:2 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:2

Per AI data Form:LLWWL / WWWWL H2H: 1:5

Claude updated27.07.2026 21:24 UTC

1 28%

2 72% ✓ favourite

Score2:0 Total games: Over 20.5 Bet:2 (win Kiz), koef. 1.28

Qwen updated27.07.2026 21:20 UTC

1 78% ✓ favourite

2 7%

Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda

Per AI data H2H: 0-0

GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 21:39 UTC

1 26%

2 74% ✓ favourite

Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2

AI consensus:2

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	25%	75%	0:2	Under 21.5
Claude	28%	72%	2:0	Over 20.5
Qwen	78%	7%	2:0	Under 2.5	Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2	26%	74%	2:0	Over 22.5

Match center

Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium

Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 2

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Keys M 57%

📐 Math model Keys M 72%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Samsonova L - Keys M

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Lyudmila Samsonova - Medison Kiz, 28 iyulya 2026. Vashington (zh). Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Lyudmila Samsonova - Medison Kiz, kto pobedil.

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Samsonova L Keys M Result

Set 0 3 6 3:6

Set 1 6 4 6:4

Set 2 6 4 6:4

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 72.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.038 / LogLoss 1.274

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.554 / LogLoss 0.747

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Samsonova L 26.2% 28.0%

Keys M 73.8% 72.0% market and model agree

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 28.0% / 72.0% probabilities

Rating 1,538 / 1,799 Samsonova L / Keys M

RD 180 / 163 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,178-1,898 / 1,473-2,126 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.00 Fonbet · weak value +476.2% · model 72.0%

1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 28.0%

Handicap

2 -0.5 6.00 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 7.40 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 17.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Over 18.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
	—	1.05 95.2%
	—	3.00 33.3%
	—	1.01 99.0%
	—	1.18 84.8%
	1.87 53.5%	1.16 86.2%
	—	1.85 54.1%
	—	1.09 91.7%
	—	7.40 13.5%
	—	1.35 74.1%
	—	12.00 8.3%
	—	4.30 23.3%
	—	4.60 21.7%
	—	1.90 52.6%
	—	4.00 25.0%
	—	3.85 26.0%
	—	6.00 16.7%
	1.93 51.8%	—

Total

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 17.5	—	1.45 69.0%
Over 18.5	—	1.80 55.6%
Over 19.5	—	2.20 45.5%
Over 20.5	1.87 53.5%	2.20 45.5%
Over 21.5	1.97 50.8%	2.60 38.5%
Over 22.5	—	1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5	—	1.70 58.8%
Over 24.5	—	1.73 57.8%
Over 25.5	—	1.53 65.4%
Over 26.5	—	1.25 80.0%
Over 27.5	—	1.16 86.2%
Over 28.5	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 29.5	—	5.30 18.9%
Over 31.5	—	7.30 13.7%
Under 20.5	1.93 51.8%	—
Under 21.5	1.84 54.4%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	3.80 26.3%	1.06 94.3%	3.60 27.8%
	1.27 78.7%	8.00 12.5%	1.28 78.1%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

Samsonova LWLWWLWLLLL

Keys MLLWWWWWWWW

H2H 1-0-4

2026-07-27 · Lyudmila Samsonova 2:1 Medison Kiz

2025-01-10 · Lyudmila Samsonova Medison Kiz

2024-05-24 · Lyudmila Samsonova 0:2 Medison Kiz

2024-04-27 · Lyudmila Samsonova 0:2 Medison Kiz

2023-09-02 · Lyudmila Samsonova 1:2 Medison Kiz

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.2 (Betcity) · 2 1.29 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	4.05	1.25
Winline	3.6	1.29
Fonbet	4.05	1.25
Betcity	4.2	1.23

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

5 Eysy 10

14 Dvoynye oshibki 7

12 Vsego breyk-poyntov 6

3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3

95 Vyigrannye Points 99

59 Points na podache 61

38 Poteryannye Points na podache 36

70 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 79

23 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 15

45 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 51

14 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 10

5 Maks. ochkov podryad 11

12 Geymy na podache 11

15 Vyigrannye geymy 14

4 Maks. geymov podryad 5

0 Tay-breyk 0

Source: ruscore

Samsonova L

28.07.2026 Championat

Samsonova L WC E. Eshlin Kryuger Eshlin Kryuger 🇺🇸 2 3 6 LD K. Keti Bulter (Velikobritaniya) 1 6 2 1-y krug

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Keys M

D D

28.07.2026 Championat

D. Dzhaniche Chen (Indonesia) 2 6 Q R. Rebekka Shramkova (Slovakia) 0 4 2 1-y krug Keys M

28.07.2026 Championat

L. Lyudmila Samsonova (Russia) 2 3 6 — M. Medison Keys M

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySamsonova L - Keys M

Samsonova L

0 matches total

Keys M

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2025 Adelaida (zh) hard 1/2 finala M. Medison Kiz Medison Kiz 🇺🇸 2 5 7 3 L. Lyudmila Samsonova Lyudmila Samsonova (Russia) 1 7 5 0 Rt

Event

2024 Strasburg clay 1/2 finala 4 M. Medison Kiz Medison Kiz 🇺🇸 2 6 5 L. Lyudmila Samsonova Lyudmila Samsonova (Russia)