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American University Games. Columbia
American University Games. Columbia International
30.07.2026 13:55 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 13:55 UTC
Finished

American University Games. Columbia

International

Colombia (univ) - Peru (univ)

International Volleyball
Colombia (univ)
Colombia (univ)
2 : 0
25:20 25:19
Finished
Peru (univ)
Peru (univ)

Colombia (univ) face Peru (univ) on July 30, 2026 in the American University Games. Columbia, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 41% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Peru (univ) — 59%

1 · Colombia (univ)40.9%
market91%
2 · Peru (univ) ✓ Pick59.1%
market9%

Model estimate: win Colombia (univ) 40.9%, win Peru (univ) 59.1%. Model favourite — Peru (univ).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Peru (univ) (odds2.20) Score 2:3 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Peru (Zh): forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Model backs Peru (Zh): probability 59% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
  • • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colombia (univ) - Peru (univ) July 30, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Colombia (univ).

Line favourite Fonbet: Colombia (univ). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Colombia (univ) 40.9% / Peru (univ) 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 90.7%
2 ✓ Pick 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.60 → 1.60
Winner 2 2.20 → 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Peru (w)
Last 5: 4W · 1L · sets 12:5 · 80%
3:1AVenezuela (zh)
3:1AVenezuela (Zh)
3:0HEcuador (Zh)
3:0HBolivia (Zh)
0:3HBrazil U23 (Zh)

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 13:55 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.02 / 2 9.3% @ 10.00
Form 3 matches
Match center

Colombia (univ) - Peru (univ)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Colombia (univ) Peru (univ) Result
Set 1 25 20 25:20
Set 2 25 19 25:19
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 59.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.698 / LogLoss 0.894
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 52.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.556 / LogLoss 0.749
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Colombia (univ) 57.9% 40.9% market favourite
Peru (univ) 42.1% 59.1% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 40.9% / 59.1% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,575 Colombia (univ) / Peru (univ)
RD 350 / 170 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,235-1,914 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · weak value +490.8% · model 59.1%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 131.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
2.05 48.8%
2.13 47.0%
2.40 41.7%
2.10 47.6%
2.23 44.8%
2.70 37.0%
4.20 23.8%
2.20 45.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
2.05 48.8%
2.07 48.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
2.20 45.5%
2.70 37.0%
1.85 54.1%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 131.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 132.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 133.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 134.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 135.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 136.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 137.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 138.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 139.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 140.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 141.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 142.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 143.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 145.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 146.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 147.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 149.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 152.5 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Colombia (univ)
W W W
26.07 19:55 UTC+0 Cup Yuzhnoy Ameriki. Women
Colombia (univ) 3:1 Venezuela (zh)
26.07 18:00 UTC+0 South AMERIKA: Copa América Women - 5-8 mesta
Colombia (univ) 3:1 Venezuela (Zh)
25.07 22:00 UTC+0 South AMERIKA: Copa América Women - 5-8 mesta
Colombia (univ) 3:0 Ecuador (Zh)
3 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Peru (univ)
W W W W L
26.07 19:55 UTC+0 Cup Yuzhnoy Ameriki. Women
Peru (univ) 3:1 Venezuela (zh)
26.07 18:00 UTC+0 South AMERIKA: Copa América Women - 5-8 mesta
Peru (univ) 3:1 Venezuela (Zh)
25.07 22:00 UTC+0 South AMERIKA: Copa América Women - 5-8 mesta
Peru (univ) 3:0 Ecuador (Zh)
24.07 21:00 UTC+0 South AMERIKA: Copa América Women
Peru (univ) 3:0 Bolivia (Zh)
23.07 21:00 UTC+0 South AMERIKA: Copa América Women
Peru (univ) 0:3 Brazil U23 (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage