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Brazil. U19. Paulista
Brazil. U19. Paulista International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 22:25 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U19. Paulista

Volei Mania Praia U19 - Sesi SP U19

International Volleyball
Volei Mania Praia U19
Volei Mania Praia U19
0 : 2
16:25 22:25
Finished
Sesi SP U19
Sesi SP U19

Volei Mania Praia U19 take on Sesi SP U19 on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil. U19. Paulista, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Volei Mania Praia U1963%

Pure model vs market (1 · Volei Mania Praia U19): model 50% · market 52% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Volei Mania Praia U19 ✓ Pick62.7%
market52%
2 · Sesi SP U1937.3%
market48%

Model estimate: win Volei Mania Praia U19 62.7%, win Sesi SP U19 37.3%. Model favourite — Volei Mania Praia U19.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Volei Mania Praia U19 (odds1.45) Score 3:2 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Voley Mania Prayya U19: probability 59% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volei Mania Praia U19 - Sesi SP U19 August 5, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sesi SP U19.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sesi SP U19. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.30 / 2 1.55
  • Glicko: Volei Mania Praia U19 62.7% / Sesi SP U19 37.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 2 books · best price +23.0%
1 ✓ Pick 52.3%
2 47.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.45 → 1.45
Winner 2 2.55 → 2.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 22:25 UTC
Market 1 40.3% @ 2.30 / 2 59.7% @ 1.55
Match center

Volei Mania Praia U19 - Sesi SP U19

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Volei Mania Praia U19 Sesi SP U19 Result
Set 1 16 25 16:25
Set 2 22 25 22:25
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 62.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.785 / LogLoss 0.985
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 53.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.579 / LogLoss 0.772
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Volei Mania Praia U19 64.1% 62.7% market and model agree
Sesi SP U19 36.0% 37.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 62.7% / 37.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Volei Mania Praia U19 / Sesi SP U19
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 37.3%
1 2.30 Fonbet · value +44.1% · model 62.7%
Total
Over 131.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.72 58.1%
2.10 47.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.30 43.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.22 82.0%
2.20 45.5%
3.30 30.3%
3.30 30.3%
3.30 30.3%
2.55 39.2%
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.03 49.3%
1.95 51.3%
2.05 48.8%
2.05 48.8%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.30 43.5% 1.44 69.4%
1.55 64.5% 2.60 38.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 131.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 132.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 133.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 134.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 135.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 136.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 137.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 138.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 139.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 140.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 142.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 144.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 146.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 148.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 167.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 171.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 172.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 173.5 2.10 47.6%