Brazil. Superleague C
A.A. Nilton Lins AM (w) - Forte Alianca RO (w)
A.A. Nilton Lins AM (w) meet Forte Alianca RO (w) on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil. Superleague C, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 21% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Forte Alianca RO (w) — 79%
Pure model vs market (2 · Forte Alianca RO (w)): model 50% · market 49% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win A.A. Nilton Lins AM (w) 20.6%, win Forte Alianca RO (w) 79.4%. Model favourite — Forte Alianca RO (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction A.A. Nilton Lins AM (w) - Forte Alianca RO (w) August 5, 2026
Volleyball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like A.A. Nilton Lins AM (w).
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.10
- Glicko: A.A. Nilton Lins AM (w) 20.6% / Forte Alianca RO (w) 79.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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A.A. Nilton Lins AM (w) - Forte Alianca RO (w)
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 4.70 21.3% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.87 53.5% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 19.2% | 1.09 91.7% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | 6.10 16.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 126.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 127.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Over 128.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Over 129.5 | 4.00 25.0% |
| Over 130.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Over 131.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| Over 133.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 135.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 146.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 161.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 166.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 167.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 168.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 170.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 172.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 173.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 174.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
Full head-to-head historyA.A. Nilton Lins AM (w) - Forte Alianca RO (w)
Match history
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The A.A. Nilton Lins AM (w) - Forte Alianca RO (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form