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Brazil. Superleague C
Brazil. Superleague C International
05.08.2026 20:55 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 20:55 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Superleague C

Arena Sports - Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w)

International Volleyball
Arena Sports
Arena Sports
1 : 2
22:25 26:24 17:25
Finished
Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w)
Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w)

Arena Sports meet Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w) on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil. Superleague C, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 73% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Arena Sports — 73%

Pure model vs market (1 · Arena Sports): model 51% · market 53% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Arena Sports ✓ Pick72.7%
market53%
2 · Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w)27.3%
market47%

Model estimate: win Arena Sports 72.7%, win Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w) 27.3%. Model favourite — Arena Sports.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Arena Sports (odds1.21) Score 3:1 confidence 73% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Arena Sports: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Arena Sports: probability 73% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arena Sports - Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w) August 5, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / 2 1.33
  • Glicko: Arena Sports 72.7% / Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w) 27.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8% 2 books · best price +42.9%
1 ✓ Pick 52.9%
2 47.1%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.22 → 1.22
Winner 2 3.70 → 3.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Arena Sports
75%
3.00
Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w)
25%
3.73

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Arena Sports
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 2:1 · 100%
2:1ASalvador Voley

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 20:55 UTC
Market 1 30.7% @ 3.00 / 2 69.3% @ 1.33
Form 1 matches
Match center

Arena Sports - Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Arena Sports Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w) Result
Set 1 22 25 22:25
Set 2 26 24 26:24
Set 3 17 25 17:25
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 72.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.056 / LogLoss 1.297
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 56.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.645 / LogLoss 0.839
Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 56.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.645 / LogLoss 0.839
Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 56.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.645 / LogLoss 0.839
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Arena Sports 75.1% 72.7% market and model agree
Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w) 24.9% 27.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 72.7% / 27.3% probabilities
Rating 1,608 / 1,500 Arena Sports / Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w)
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,026-2,189 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 Fonbet · no value · model 27.3%
1 3.00 Fonbet · weak value +118.0% · model 72.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 174.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 175.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.55 64.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.80 35.7%
1.77 56.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.07 48.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.77 56.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.20 83.3% 3.00 33.3% —
3.60 27.8% 1.33 75.2% 3.73 26.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 174.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 175.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 176.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 177.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 178.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 179.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 180.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 181.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 182.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 183.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 184.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 185.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 186.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 187.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 188.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 189.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 190.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 191.5 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Arena Sports
W
31.07 16:55 UTC+0 Brazil. Superliga S
Arena Sports 2:1 Salvador Voley
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w)
W
31.07 16:55 UTC+0 Brazil. Superliga S
Desportivo Rio Grande RN (w) 2:1 Salvador Voley
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage