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Brazil. Superleague C
Brazil. Superleague C International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 21:25 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Superleague C

Azul Mania EC RR (w) - Ferroviario A.C. RO (w)

International Volleyball
Azul Mania EC RR (w)
Azul Mania EC RR (w)
2 : 0
25:14 25:22
Finished
Ferroviario A.C. RO (w)
Ferroviario A.C. RO (w)

Azul Mania EC RR (w) meet Ferroviario A.C. RO (w) on August 6, 2026 in the Brazil. Superleague C, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 59% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Azul Mania EC RR (w)59%

1 · Azul Mania EC RR (w) ✓ Pick59.0%
market21%
2 · Ferroviario A.C. RO (w)41.0%
market79%

Model estimate: win Azul Mania EC RR (w) 59.0%, win Ferroviario A.C. RO (w) 41.0%. Model favourite — Azul Mania EC RR (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Azul Mania EC RR (w) (odds1.85) Score 3:2 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Azul Maniya (zh): probability 59% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
  • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Azul Mania EC RR (w) - Ferroviario A.C. RO (w) August 6, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ferroviario A.C. RO (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Ferroviario A.C. RO (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.15
  • Glicko: Azul Mania EC RR (w) 59.0% / Ferroviario A.C. RO (w) 41.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 ✓ Pick 20.7%
2 79.3%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.85 → 1.85
Winner 2 1.85 → 1.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 21:25 UTC
Market 1 20.7% @ 4.40 / 2 79.3% @ 1.15
Match center

Azul Mania EC RR (w) - Ferroviario A.C. RO (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Azul Mania EC RR (w) Ferroviario A.C. RO (w) Result
Set 1 25 14 25:14
Set 2 25 22 25:22
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 59.0% fact: home hit / ROI 85.0% / Brier 0.336 / LogLoss 0.527
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 52.7% fact: home hit / ROI 85.0% / Brier 0.447 / LogLoss 0.640
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Azul Mania EC RR (w) 50.0% 59.0% market and model agree
Ferroviario A.C. RO (w) 50.0% 41.0%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 59.0% / 41.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Azul Mania EC RR (w) / Ferroviario A.C. RO (w)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 41.0%
1 4.40 Fonbet · weak value +159.7% · model 59.0%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 126.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 127.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.80 55.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.25 44.4%
3.80 26.3%
1.70 58.8%
2.13 47.0%
2.03 49.3%
1.60 62.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.94 51.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.83 54.6%
2.05 48.8%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
4.40 22.7%
1.15 87.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 126.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 127.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 128.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 129.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 130.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 131.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 132.5 3.70 27.0%
Over 133.5 7.30 13.7%
Over 134.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 135.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 136.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 138.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 141.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 142.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 144.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 155.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 159.5 2.10 47.6%