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Brazil. Superleague C
Brazil. Superleague C International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 20:55 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Superleague C

CLUBE MATENSE BA - Banese (w)

International Volleyball
CLUBE MATENSE BA
CLUBE MATENSE BA
2 : 0
25:19 25:20
Finished
Banese (w)
Banese (w)

CLUBE MATENSE BA take on Banese (w) on August 6, 2026 in the Brazil. Superleague C, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 CLUBE MATENSE BA54%

Pure model vs market (1 · CLUBE MATENSE BA): model 50% · market 54% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · CLUBE MATENSE BA53.9%
2 · Banese (w)46.1%

Model estimate: win CLUBE MATENSE BA 53.9%, win Banese (w) 46.1%. Model favourite — CLUBE MATENSE BA.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1CLUBE MATENSE BA (odds1.68) Score 3:2 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Matense (zh): probability 54% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CLUBE MATENSE BA - Banese (w) August 6, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CLUBE MATENSE BA.

Line favourite Fonbet: CLUBE MATENSE BA. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.45
  • Glicko: CLUBE MATENSE BA 53.9% / Banese (w) 46.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.2% 3 books · best price +1.8%
1 54.3%
2 45.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.70 → 1.70
Winner 2 2.02 → 2.02

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
CLUBE MATENSE BA
54%
1.69
Banese (w)
46%
3.45

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 20:55 UTC
Market 1 73.4% @ 1.25 / 2 26.6% @ 3.45
Match center

CLUBE MATENSE BA - Banese (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set CLUBE MATENSE BA Banese (w) Result
Set 1 25 19 25:19
Set 2 25 20 25:20
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 53.9% fact: home hit / ROI 70.0% / Brier 0.426 / LogLoss 0.619
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 51.2% fact: home hit / ROI 70.0% / Brier 0.477 / LogLoss 0.670
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
CLUBE MATENSE BA 54.3% 53.9% market and model agree
Banese (w) 45.7% 46.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 53.9% / 46.1% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 CLUBE MATENSE BA / Banese (w)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 Fonbet · weak value +59.2% · model 46.1%
1 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 53.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 130.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 131.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
2.03 49.3%
2.07 48.3%
2.05 48.8%
2.65 37.7%
2.10 47.6%
2.70 37.0%
3.00 33.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.72 58.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
2.03 49.3%
2.03 49.3%
1.83 54.6%
2.03 49.3%
1.95 51.3%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2% 1.25 80.0%
1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 3.45 29.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 130.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 131.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 132.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 133.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 134.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 135.5 4.70 21.3%
Over 136.5 3.70 27.0%
Over 137.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 138.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 139.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 140.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 141.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 143.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 145.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 151.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 159.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 169.5 2.13 47.0%