Brazil. Superleague C
CLUBE MATENSE BA - Banese (w)
CLUBE MATENSE BA take on Banese (w) on August 6, 2026 in the Brazil. Superleague C, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 CLUBE MATENSE BA — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · CLUBE MATENSE BA): model 50% · market 54% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win CLUBE MATENSE BA 53.9%, win Banese (w) 46.1%. Model favourite — CLUBE MATENSE BA.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Matense (zh): probability 54% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.68)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction CLUBE MATENSE BA - Banese (w) August 6, 2026
Volleyball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CLUBE MATENSE BA.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.45
- Glicko: CLUBE MATENSE BA 53.9% / Banese (w) 46.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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CLUBE MATENSE BA - Banese (w)
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.95 51.3% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.97 50.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 3.45 29.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 130.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 131.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 132.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 133.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Over 134.5 | 3.00 33.3% |
| Over 135.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Over 136.5 | 3.70 27.0% |
| Over 137.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 138.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 139.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 140.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 141.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 143.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| Over 145.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 159.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 167.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| Over 169.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
Full head-to-head historyCLUBE MATENSE BA - Banese (w)
Match history
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The CLUBE MATENSE BA - Banese (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form