Brazil. Superleague C
Sampaio Correa MA (w) meet Parnaiba (w) on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil. Superleague C, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 81% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Sampaio Correa MA (w) — 81%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sampaio Correa MA (w)): model 50% · market 84% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sampaio Correa MA (w) 80.6%, win Parnaiba (w) 19.4%. Model favourite — Sampaio Correa MA (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parnaiba (w).
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.76 56.8% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.76 56.8% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.94 51.6% | |
| 1.87 53.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.07 93.5% | 1.09 91.7% | 9.00 11.1% | 1.10 90.9% | |
| 5.70 17.5% | 5.70 17.5% | 1.03 97.1% | 5.80 17.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 128.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 129.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 130.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 131.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 132.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 133.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 134.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 135.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 136.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 137.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 138.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 139.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 140.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| Over 141.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 142.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 143.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 144.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 148.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
Full head-to-head historySampaio Correa MA (w) - Parnaiba (w)
The Sampaio Correa MA (w) - Parnaiba (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
