Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia
Chinese Taipei - Macau
Chinese Taipei face Macau on August 5, 2026 in the Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 85% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Chinese Taipei — 85%
Pure model vs market (1 · Chinese Taipei): model 50% · market 89% Δ −39 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Chinese Taipei 85.4%, win Macau 14.6%. Model favourite — Chinese Taipei.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chinese Taipei - Macau August 5, 2026
Volleyball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chinese Taipei.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 8.50
- Glicko: Chinese Taipei 85.4% / Macau 14.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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Chinese Taipei - Macau
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 2.13 47.0% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| 2.90 34.5% | |
| 7.30 13.7% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 1.80 55.6% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | 8.80 11.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 118.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 119.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 120.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 121.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 122.5 | 3.00 33.3% |
| Over 123.5 | 7.30 13.7% |
| Over 124.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Over 125.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Over 126.5 | 3.70 27.0% |
| Over 127.5 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Over 128.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 129.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 130.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 131.5 | 2.52 39.7% |
| Over 132.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 134.5 | 2.52 39.7% |
| Over 138.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 143.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Full head-to-head historyChinese Taipei - Macau
Match history
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The Chinese Taipei - Macau breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form