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Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia
Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 05:25 UTC
Finished

Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia

Chinese Taipei - Macau

International Volleyball
Chinese Taipei
Chinese Taipei
2 : 0
25:14 25:16
Finished
Macau
Macau

Chinese Taipei face Macau on August 5, 2026 in the Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 85% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Chinese Taipei85%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chinese Taipei): model 50% · market 89% Δ −39 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Chinese Taipei ✓ Pick85.4%
market89%
2 · Macau14.6%
market11%

Model estimate: win Chinese Taipei 85.4%, win Macau 14.6%. Model favourite — Chinese Taipei.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chinese Taipei - Macau August 5, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chinese Taipei.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chinese Taipei. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: Chinese Taipei 85.4% / Macau 14.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 2 books
1 ✓ Pick 89.3%
2 10.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.13 ↓ 1.03
Winner 2 5.10 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Chinese Taipei
89%
1.04
Macau
11%
8.80
Total
Over 143.5
50%
1.85
Under 143.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 05:25 UTC
Market 1 89.2% @ 1.03 / 2 10.8% @ 8.50
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Chinese Taipei 85%
💹 Market Chinese Taipei 89%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Chinese Taipei - Macau

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Chinese Taipei Macau Result
Set 1 25 14 25:14
Set 2 25 16 25:16
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 85.4% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.043 / LogLoss 0.158
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 60.6% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.310 / LogLoss 0.501
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chinese Taipei 89.3% 85.4% market and model agree
Macau 10.7% 14.6%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 85.4% / 14.6% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Chinese Taipei / Macau
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 14.6%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 85.4%
Total
Over 118.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 119.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.80 55.6%
2.13 47.0%
2.05 48.8%
2.90 34.5%
7.30 13.7%
3.00 33.3%
2.15 46.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.80 55.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%
8.50 11.8% 8.80 11.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 118.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 119.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 120.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 121.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 122.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 123.5 7.30 13.7%
Over 124.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 125.5 4.70 21.3%
Over 126.5 3.70 27.0%
Over 127.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 128.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 129.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 130.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 131.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 132.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 134.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 138.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5 1.85 54.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChinese Taipei - Macau

Chinese Taipei
0 matches total
Macau
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history