Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia
Hong Kong take on Mongolia on August 5, 2026 in the Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Mongolia — 60%
Pure model vs market (2 · Mongolia): model 50% · market 63% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Hong Kong 39.6%, win Mongolia 60.4%. Model favourite — Mongolia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mongolia.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.87 53.5% | — | |
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.96 51.0% | 2.00 50.0% | — | |
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | — | |
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| — | — | 1.87 53.5% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.50 40.0% | 10.00 10.0% | 2.24 44.6% | |
| 1.46 68.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 132.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 133.5 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 134.5 | — | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 135.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 136.5 | — | — | 3.70 27.0% |
| Over 137.5 | — | — | 3.70 27.0% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 181.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Over 182.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 181.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 182.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
Full head-to-head historyHong Kong - Mongolia
The Hong Kong - Mongolia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
