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Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia
Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia International
05.08.2026 08:25 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 08:25 UTC
Finished

Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia

South Korea - Japan

International Volleyball
South Korea
South Korea
2 : 1
25:20 23:25 25:21
Finished
Japan
Japan

South Korea take on Japan on August 5, 2026 in the Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 70% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 South Korea — 70%

Pure model vs market (1 · South Korea): model 56% · market 81% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · South Korea ✓ Pick69.8%
market81%
2 · Japan30.2%
market19%

Model estimate: win South Korea 69.8%, win Japan 30.2%. Model favourite — South Korea.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1South Korea (odds1.30) Score 3:1 confidence 69% ✓ outcome correct
  • • South Korea: forma PV (1)
  • • Japan: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Model backs South Korea: probability 69% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction South Korea - Japan August 5, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like South Korea.

Line favourite Fonbet: South Korea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: South Korea 69.8% / Japan 30.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8% 2 books · best price +10.7%
1 ✓ Pick 80.5%
2 19.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.30 → 1.30
Winner 2 3.15 → 3.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

South Korea
Last 2: 1W · 1L · sets 4:4 · 50%
1:3HBrazil V
3:1AQatar
Japan
Last 3: 1W · 2L · sets 6:6 · 33%
1:2HSlovenia
2:3HUSA
3:1HChina

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 08:25 UTC
Market 1 89.1% @ 1.04 / 2 10.9% @ 8.50
Form 5 matches
Match center

South Korea - Japan

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set South Korea Japan Result
Set 1 25 20 25:20
Set 2 23 25 23:25
Set 3 25 21 25:21
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 69.8% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.183 / LogLoss 0.360
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.581
Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.581
Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.581
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
South Korea 71.4% 69.8% market and model agree
Japan 28.6% 30.2%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 69.8% / 30.2% probabilities
Rating 1,555 / 1,505 South Korea / Japan
RD 260 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,034-2,075 / 1,066-1,944 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 30.2%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 69.8%
Total
Over 138.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 140.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
1.37 73.0%
1.43 69.9%
1.40 71.4%
3.20 31.3%
1.67 59.9%
1.65 60.6%
1.43 69.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.75 57.1%
2.85 35.1%
2.65 37.7%
2.70 37.0%
1.30 76.9%
2.07 48.3%
2.10 47.6%
2.65 37.7%
2.30 43.5%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.04 96.2% 1.29 77.5%
8.50 11.8% 3.31 30.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 138.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 140.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 141.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 147.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 148.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 149.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 150.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 153.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 154.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 155.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 171.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 173.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 174.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 175.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 177.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 178.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 179.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 180.5 1.62 61.7%
Match center
South Korea
L W
25.07 05:55 UTC+0 Sbornye. Friendlies
South Korea 1:3 Brazil V
26.06 09:25 UTC+0 Fonbet volleyball live
South Korea 3:1 QatarQatar
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Japan
L L W
02.08 07:35 UTC+0 Nations League
Japan 1:2 SloveniaSlovenia
01.08 11:25 UTC+0 Nations League. China. 1/2 finala
Japan 2:3 USAUSA
29.07 11:25 UTC+0 Nations League
Japan 3:1 ChinaChina
1 Wins
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySouth Korea - Japan

South Korea
0 matches total
Japan
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history