AI verdict

AI pick Latvia win probability ~59% confidence Medium best odds 10.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Latvia. Full breakdown below.

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National teams. Friendly
National teams. Friendly International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2026 15:25 UTC
Finished

National teams. Friendly

Latvia - Denmark

International Volleyball
Latvia
Latvia
0 : 2
17:25 30:32
Finished
Denmark
Denmark

Latvia face Denmark on August 26, 2026 in the National teams. Friendly, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 59% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Latvia59%

1 · Latvia ✓ Pick59.1%
market 9%
2 · Denmark40.9%
market 91%

Model estimate: win Latvia 59.1%, win Denmark 40.9%. Model favourite — Latvia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Denmark

Model confidence 91% ~91% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Latvia - Denmark August 26, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Denmark.

Line favourite Fonbet: Denmark. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Latvia 59.1% / Denmark 40.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 9.3%
2 90.7%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.45 ↓ 2.05
Winner 2 1.25 ↑ 1.68

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 15:25 UTC
Market 1 9.3% @ 10.00 / 2 90.7% @ 1.02
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Latvia 59%
💹 Market Denmark 91%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Latvia - Denmark

Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Latvia Denmark Result
Set 1 17 25 17:25
Set 2 30 32 30:32
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 59.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.698 / LogLoss 0.893
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal home - 52.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.556 / LogLoss 0.749
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Latvia 45.0% 59.1% Glicko contrarian
Denmark 55.0% 40.9% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 59.1% / 40.9% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Latvia / Denmark
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%
1 10.00 Fonbet · weak value +490.7% · model 59.1%
Total
Over 139.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 141.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.25 44.4%
1.83 54.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.83 54.6%
1.37 73.0%
3.55 28.2%
2.07 48.3%
2.20 45.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.05 48.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.58 63.3%
1.47 68.0%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
10.00 10.0%
1.02 98.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 139.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 141.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 145.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 146.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 148.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 150.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 151.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 152.5 6.80 14.7%
Over 153.5 6.80 14.7%
Over 154.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 156.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 158.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 160.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 162.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 173.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 175.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 176.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 177.5 1.65 60.6%

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Latvia vs Denmark?

By the PropickAI model, Denmark is favoured — about 59% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Latvia vs Denmark?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Denmark. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Latvia vs Denmark start?

August 26, 2026.