Who is the favourite in Costa Rica vs Curacao?

By the PropickAI model, Costa Rica is favoured — about 70% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Costa Rica vs Curacao?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Costa Rica. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Costa Rica win probability ~70% confidence High best odds 1.04

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Costa Rica. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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Pan American Cup

14.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

14.08.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

Pan American Cup

Costa Rica - Curacao

Volleyball

Costa Rica

2 : 1

23:25 25:13 25:13

Finished

Curacao

Costa Rica face Curacao on August 14, 2026 in the Pan American Cup.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 70% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Costa Rica — 70%

1 · Costa Rica ✓ Pick69.8%

market 71%

2 · Curacao30.2%

market 29%

Model estimate: win Costa Rica 69.8%, win Curacao 30.2%. Model favourite — Costa Rica.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Costa Rica (odds1.33) Score 3:1 confidence 68% ✓ outcome correct

• Costa Rica: forma PPVP (1-3)
• Kyurasao: forma PPPP (0-4)
• Model backs Costa Rica: probability 68% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Costa Rica - Curacao August 14, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Costa Rica.

Line favourite Fonbet: Costa Rica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50
Glicko: Costa Rica 69.8% / Curacao 30.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 4 books · best price +2.7%

1 ✓ Pick 70.5%

2 29.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.35 ↓ 1.22

Winner 2 2.90 ↑ 3.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Costa Rica

71%

1.35

Curacao

29%

8.50

Total

Over 177.5

50%

1.93

Under 177.5

50%

1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Costa Rica

3-7WLLLLLWLLW

sets for 1.3sets against 2.2

Curacao

4-6LLLLWLWLWW

sets for 1.6sets against 2.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Costa Rica

Last 4: 1W · 3L · sets 2:8 · 25%

0:3APuerto-Riko

0:2HCanada

2:0ATrinidad i Tobago

0:3AUSA

Curacao

Last 4: 0W · 4L · sets 1:9 · 0%

0:2ADominican Republic

1:2AGvatemala

0:2ACuba

0:3AMexico

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center

Start 14.08.2026 20:00 UTC

Market 1 89.1% @ 1.04 / 2 10.9% @ 8.50

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Costa Rica 70%

💹 Market Costa Rica 71%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Costa Rica - Curacao

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/4 recent games

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Set Costa Rica Curacao Result

Set 1 23 25 23:25

Set 2 25 13 25:13

Set 3 25 13 25:13

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 69.8% fact: home hit / ROI 35.0% / Brier 0.183 / LogLoss 0.360

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 35.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.581

Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 35.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.581

Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 35.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.581

Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Costa Rica 70.5% 69.8% market and model agree

Curacao 29.5% 30.2%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model

P1 / P2 69.8% / 30.2% probabilities

Rating 1,223 / 1,132 Costa Rica / Curacao

RD 196 / 180 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 832-1,615 / 772-1,492 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 30.2%

1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 69.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 165.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only

Over 166.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.05 48.8%
	1.85 54.1%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.07 48.3%
	1.87 53.5%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.15 46.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.87 53.5%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.35 42.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
	1.04 96.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.28 78.1%
	8.50 11.8%	2.95 33.9%	2.95 33.9%	3.37 29.7%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 165.5	1.13 88.5%
Over 166.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 167.5	3.70 27.0%
Over 168.5	7.30 13.7%
Over 169.5	5.80 17.2%
Over 170.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 171.5	3.30 30.3%
Over 172.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 173.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 174.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 175.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 176.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 177.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 178.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 179.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 180.5	2.07 48.3%
Over 181.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 182.5	1.62 61.7%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

Costa RicaWLLWL

CuracaoLLLLL

H2H 1-0-0

2026-08-14 · Costa Rica 3:1 Kyurasao

Source: ruscore

Costa Rica

L L W L

12.08 22:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Costa Rica 0:3 Puerto-Riko

11.08 20:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Costa Rica 0:2 Canada

10.08 20:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Costa Rica 2:0 Trinidad i Tobago

09.08 22:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Costa Rica 0:3 USA

1 Wins

3 Losses

0.5 Scored

2.0 Conceded

25% Win percentage

Curacao

L L L L

13.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Curacao 0:2 Dominican Republic

12.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Curacao 1:2 Gvatemala

11.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Curacao 0:2 Cuba

10.08 02:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Curacao 0:3 Mexico

0 Wins

4 Losses

0.3 Scored

2.3 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Costa Rica - Curacao

Costa Rica

0 matches total

Curacao

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Costa Rica - Curacao

AI match prediction Costa Rica - Curacao August 14, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market