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Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage
Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage
11.08.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
11.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage

Cuba - Curacao

Volleyball
Cuba
Cuba
2 : 0
25:18 25:16
Finished
Curacao
Curacao

Cuba face Curacao on August 11, 2026 in the Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cuba 0-0-1, Curacao 0-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 89% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cuba — 89%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cuba): model 57% · market 92% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cuba ✓ Pick88.7%
market92%
2 · Curacao11.3%
market8%

Model estimate: win Cuba 88.7%, win Curacao 11.3%. Model favourite — Cuba.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cuba - Curacao August 11, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cuba.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cuba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 10.50
  • Glicko: Cuba 88.7% / Curacao 11.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 2 books
1 ✓ Pick 91.7%
2 8.3%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.01 → 1.01
Winner 2 10.50 → 10.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Cuba
92%
1.01
Curacao
8%
11.90
Total
Over 124.5
50%
1.85
Under 124.5
50%
2.80

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Cuba
#3GP 10-1
Curacao
#5GP 20-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Cuba
6-4WWLLWWWLWL
sets for 2.4sets against 1.5
Curacao

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Cuba
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 12:7 · 60%
2:3HDominican Republic
2:0AMexico
2:3AColombia
3:1HDominican Republic
3:0AVenezuela
Curacao
Last 1: 0W · 1L · sets 0:3 · 0%
0:3AMexico

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 91.2% @ 1.01 / 2 8.8% @ 10.50
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Cuba 89%
💹 Market Cuba 92%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Cuba - Curacao

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Cuba Curacao Result
Set 1 25 18 25:18
Set 2 25 16 25:16
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 88.7% fact: home hit / ROI 1.0% / Brier 0.026 / LogLoss 0.120
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 61.6% fact: home hit / ROI 1.0% / Brier 0.295 / LogLoss 0.484
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cuba 92.2% 88.7% market and model agree
Curacao 7.8% 11.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 88.7% / 11.3% probabilities
Rating 1,523 / 1,301 Cuba / Curacao
RD 108 / 259 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,307-1,739 / 784-1,819 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 88.7%
Total
Over 121.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 122.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.63 61.4%
— — 1.33 75.2%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.62 61.7%
— — 2.50 40.0%
1.85 54.1% — —
— 1.83 54.6% —
1.85 54.1% — —
— 1.83 54.6% —
— — 2.13 47.0%
— — 3.00 33.3%
— — 1.72 58.1%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.90 52.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0%
10.50 9.5% 11.90 8.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 121.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 122.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 123.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
Over 124.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
Over 125.5 — 1.83 54.6% 1.50 66.7%
Over 126.5 1.85 54.1% — 1.47 68.0%
Over 127.5 — — 1.13 88.5%
Over 128.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 129.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Over 130.5 — — 5.80 17.2%
Over 131.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 132.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Under 121.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 122.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 125.5 — 1.83 54.6% —
Under 126.5 1.85 54.1% — —
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-11 · Cuba 3:0 Kyurasao
Source: ruscore
Cuba
L
10.08 00:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup
Cuba 2:3 Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Curacao
L
10.08 02:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup
Curacao 0:3 MexicoMexico
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCuba - Curacao

Cuba
0 matches total
Curacao
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history