Who is the favourite in Dominican Republic vs Guatemala?

By the PropickAI model, Guatemala is favoured — about 74% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Dominican Republic vs Guatemala?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Guatemala. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Dominican Republic win probability ~74% confidence High best odds 4.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Dominican Republic. Full breakdown below.

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Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage

13.08.2026 21:55 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

13.08.2026 21:55 UTC

Finished

Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage

Dominican Republic - Guatemala

Volleyball

Dominican Republic

2 : 1

26:24 21:25 25:21

Finished

Guatemala

Dominican Republic meet Guatemala on August 13, 2026 in the Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dominican Republic 2-0-1, Guatemala 2-0-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 74% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dominican Republic — 74%

1 · Dominican Republic ✓ Pick74.3%

market 75%

2 · Guatemala25.7%

market 25%

Model estimate: win Dominican Republic 74.3%, win Guatemala 25.7%. Model favourite — Dominican Republic.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dominican Republic - Guatemala August 13, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Guatemala.

Line favourite Fonbet: Guatemala. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / 2 1.16
Glicko: Dominican Republic 74.3% / Guatemala 25.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 6 books · best price +262.9%

1 ✓ Pick 74.9%

2 25.1%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.25 ↓ 1.20

Winner 2 3.45 ↑ 3.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Dominican Republic

76%

4.50

Guatemala

24%

4.80

Total

Over 177.5

50%

1.85

Under 177.5

50%

1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Dominican Republic

#3GP 32-1

Guatemala

#4GP 31-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

8Wins6

1.9Sets on average1.9

Head-to-head matches: 14 · average total 3.8 (sets)

Team form

Dominican Republic

5-5WLLLWWWLWL

sets for 2.2sets against 2.0

Guatemala

4-6WLLLLWLWLW

sets for 1.6sets against 2.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Dominican Republic

Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 9:6 · 60%

2:0HKyurasao

1:2AMexico

3:2ACuba

0:1AVenezuela

3:1AGvatemala

Guatemala

Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 8:7 · 60%

2:1ACuba

2:1HKyurasao

0:2AMexico

3:0ASurinam

1:3HDominican Republic

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center

Start 13.08.2026 21:55 UTC

Market 1 20.5% @ 4.50 / 2 79.5% @ 1.16

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Dominican Republic 74%

💹 Market Dominican Republic 75%

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Match center

Dominican Republic - Guatemala

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/1 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Set Dominican Republic Guatemala Result

Set 1 26 24 26:24

Set 2 21 25 21:25

Set 3 25 21 25:21

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 74.3% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.132 / LogLoss 0.297

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 57.3% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.365 / LogLoss 0.557

Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 57.3% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.365 / LogLoss 0.557

Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 57.3% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.365 / LogLoss 0.557

Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Dominican Republic 75.6% 74.3% market and model agree

Guatemala 24.4% 25.7%

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model

P1 / P2 74.3% / 25.7% probabilities

Rating 1,386 / 1,299 Dominican Republic / Guatemala

RD 125 / 140 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,136-1,636 / 1,018-1,580 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 25.7%

1 4.50 Fonbet · weak value +234.5% · model 74.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 143.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Over 144.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	—
—	—	1.87 53.5%
—	—	2.00 50.0%
1.77 56.5%	1.76 56.8%	—
—	—	1.87 53.5%
—	—	1.30 76.9%
—	—	1.87 53.5%
—	—	1.80 55.6%
—	—	1.55 64.5%
—	—	4.70 21.3%
—	—	1.70 58.8%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.80 55.6%
—	—	2.20 45.5%
—	—	1.93 51.8%
—	—	1.87 53.5%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
	1.20 83.3%	1.13 88.5%	4.50 22.2%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.23 81.3%
	3.80 26.3%	4.80 20.8%	1.16 86.2%	3.65 27.4%	3.65 27.4%	3.77 26.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 143.5	—	—	1.62 61.7%
Over 144.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 147.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 151.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 161.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 166.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 169.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 170.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 171.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 173.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 174.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 176.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 177.5	1.84 54.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%
Over 178.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
Under 177.5	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	—

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-1

2026-08-13 · Dominican Republic 2:3 Gvatemala

2026-07-29 · Dominican Republic 3:1 Gvatemala

2018-08-01 · Dominican Republic 3:0 Gvatemala

Source: ruscore

Dominican Republic

W L W

13.08 00:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup

Dominican Republic 2:0 Kyurasao

12.08 02:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup

Dominican Republic 1:2 Mexico

10.08 00:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup

Dominican Republic 3:2 Cuba

2 Wins

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.3 Conceded

67% Win percentage

Guatemala

2026-08-11 Pan American Cup 2026

Mexico 3:0 Guatemala Guatemala

0 Wins

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDominican Republic - Guatemala

Dominican Republic

2 matches total

Guatemala

Dominican Republic: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Guatemala: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Dominican Republic 0:3 (2018-08-01) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 2026-07-29) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 6

Match history

2026-07-29 Pan American Cup 2026

Guatemala 1:3 Dominican Republic

2018-08-01 Pan American Cup 2026

Guatemala 0:3 Dominican Republic

Dominican Republic - Guatemala

AI match prediction Dominican Republic - Guatemala August 13, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

League table