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Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage
Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage
10.08.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
10.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage

Mexico - Curacao

Volleyball
Mexico
Mexico
3 : 0
25:22 25:17 25:14
Finished
Curacao
Curacao

Mexico take on Curacao on August 10, 2026 in the Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 86% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico — 86%

1 · Mexico ✓ Pick85.7%
market91%
2 · Curacao14.3%
market9%

Model estimate: win Mexico 85.7%, win Curacao 14.3%. Model favourite — Mexico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - Curacao August 10, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Mexico 85.7% / Curacao 14.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 5 books · best price +2.0%
1 ✓ Pick 90.6%
2 9.4%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.07 ↓ 1.03
Winner 2 6.20 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Mexico
92%
1.03
Curacao
8%
18.00
Total
Over 123.5
50%
1.90
Under 123.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Mexico
#1GP 22-0
Curacao
#5GP 30-3

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mexico
5-5LLLWWWLLWW
sets for 2.0sets against 1.7
Curacao

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Mexico
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 10:7 · 60%
0:2HCuba
1:3APuerto-Riko
3:1HVenezuela
3:1HDominican Republic
3:0HSurinam

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

MexicoCuracao
  • Match started
  • Match ended 3-0 Mexico

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 10.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 89.7% @ 1.03 / 2 10.3% @ 9.00
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Mexico 86%
💹 Market Mexico 91%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Mexico - Curacao

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Mexico Curacao Result
Set 1 25 22 25:22
Set 2 25 17 25:17
Set 3 25 14 25:14
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 85.7% fact: home hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.041 / LogLoss 0.154
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 60.7% fact: home hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.309 / LogLoss 0.499
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico 89.7% 85.7% market and model agree
Curacao 10.3% 14.3%
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 85.7% / 14.3% probabilities
Rating 1,484 / 1,500 Mexico / Curacao
RD 148 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,188-1,780 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 14.3%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 85.7%
Total
Over 121.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Over 123.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
— 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% — 1.85 54.1%
— 1.83 54.6% — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.85 54.1% —

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
9.70 10.3% 9.00 11.1% 18.00 5.6% 18.00 5.6% 8.90 11.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM
Over 121.5 — 1.75 57.1% — —
Over 123.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% —
Over 129.5 — — — 1.81 55.3%
Over 130.5 — — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 133.5 — — 1.85 54.1% 2.25 44.4%
Over 134.5 — — 1.85 54.1% —
Over 135.5 — — 1.87 53.5% —
Under 121.5 — 1.91 52.4% — —
Under 123.5 1.85 54.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 129.5 — — — 1.89 52.9%
Under 133.5 — — 1.85 54.1% —
Under 134.5 — — 1.85 54.1% —
Under 135.5 — — 1.83 54.6% —
Match center

Form & head-to-head

MexicoWLLWWWLLWW
CuracaoL
H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-10 · Mexico 3:0 Kyurasao
Source: ruscore
Mexico
L L W W W
30.07 19:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Mexico 0:2 CubaCuba
29.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Mexico 1:3 Puerto-RikoPuerto-Riko
28.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Mexico 3:1 VenezuelaVenezuela
27.07 22:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico 3:1 Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
26.07 18:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico 3:0 Surinam
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Curacao
L L W
30.07 19:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Curacao 0:2 CubaCuba
29.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Curacao 1:3 Puerto-RikoPuerto-Riko
28.07 20:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games - Playoff
Curacao 3:1 VenezuelaVenezuela
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico - Curacao

Mexico
0 matches total
Curacao
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mexico vs Curacao?

By the PropickAI model, Mexico is favoured — about 86% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Mexico vs Curacao?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mexico. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Mexico vs Curacao start?

August 10, 2026.