AI verdict

AI pick Puerto-Rico win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 2.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Puerto-Rico. Full breakdown below.

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Panamerikanskiy Cup
Panamerikanskiy Cup International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
29.08.2026 21:55 UTC
Finished

Panamerikanskiy Cup

Mexico vs Puerto-Rico — Volleyball prediction

International Volleyball
Mexico
Mexico
2 : 1
25:21 25:18 21:25
Finished
Puerto-Rico
Puerto-Rico

Mexico go head-to-head with Puerto-Rico in volleyball, in Panamerikanskiy Cup, on 29 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Puerto-Rico as the favourite at around 56%. Sportsbook prices (5 books) put that result at roughly 56%.

There is little recent-form data for this fixture, so the read leans first on the ratings. On the Glicko scale it is 1500 for Mexico against 1583 for Puerto-Rico - a gap of 83 points. The game is part of Panamerikanskiy Cup.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 83 Glicko rating points, the model's 56% for Puerto-Rico. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Puerto-Rico56%

1 · Mexico44.4%
2 · Puerto-Rico ✓ Pick55.6%

Model estimate: win Mexico 44.4%, win Puerto-Rico 55.6%. Model favourite — Puerto-Rico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - Puerto-Rico August 29, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.72 / 2 2.00
  • Glicko: Mexico 44.4% / Puerto-Rico 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 5 books · best price +21.2%
1 43.8%
2 ✓ Pick 56.2%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.85 ↑ 2.30
Winner 2 1.85 ↓ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Mexico
44%
2.26
Puerto-Rico
56%
2.00
Total
Over 183.5
50%
1.85
Under 183.5
50%
2.07

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mexico

no data

Puerto-Rico
7-3LWWWWLWWLW
sets for 2.3sets against 1.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Puerto-Rico
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 9:8 · 60%
1:3HUSA
2:1HGvatemala
1:2HMexico
2:1HCanada
3:1HDominican Republic

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 29.08.2026 21:55 UTC
Market 1 53.8% @ 1.72 / 2 46.2% @ 2.00
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Puerto-Rico 56%
💹 Market Puerto-Rico 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Mexico - Puerto-Rico

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Mexico Puerto-Rico Result
Set 1 25 21 25:21
Set 2 25 18 25:18
Set 3 21 25 21:25
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 55.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.619 / LogLoss 0.813
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 51.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.534 / LogLoss 0.728
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico 43.8% 44.4%
Puerto-Rico 56.2% 55.6% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 44.4% / 55.6% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,583 Mexico / Puerto-Rico
RD 350 / 106 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,370-1,795 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 Fonbet · value +11.3% · model 55.6%
1 1.72 Fonbet · no value · model 44.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 134.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 135.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.79 55.9%
1.87 53.5%
1.88 53.2% 2.40 41.7%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
2.25 44.4%
2.03 49.3%
1.58 63.3%
1.67 59.9%
2.52 39.7%
2.03 49.3%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
2.00 50.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.37 73.0%
1.55 64.5%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.82 55.0% 1.72 58.1% 2.12 47.2% 2.12 47.2% 2.26 44.3%
1.82 55.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 134.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 135.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 136.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 137.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 139.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 141.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 142.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 143.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 144.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 145.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 146.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 147.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 149.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 166.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 172.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 173.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 182.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 182.5 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Mexico
L W L
28.08 01:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup Final Six
Mexico 1:3 USAUSA
27.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup Final Six
Mexico 2:1 GvatemalaGvatemala
26.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup Final Six
Mexico 1:2
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Puerto-Rico
L W L W W
28.08 01:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup Final Six
Puerto-Rico 1:3 USAUSA
27.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup Final Six
Puerto-Rico 2:1 GvatemalaGvatemala
26.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup Final Six
Puerto-Rico 1:2 MexicoMexico
25.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup Final Six
Puerto-Rico 2:1 CanadaCanada
24.08 00:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup Final Six
Puerto-Rico 3:1 Dominican RepublicDominican Republic
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mexico vs Puerto-Rico?

By the PropickAI model, Mexico is favoured — about 56% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Mexico vs Puerto-Rico?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mexico. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Mexico vs Puerto-Rico?

Live odds for Mexico vs Puerto-Rico from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Mexico vs Puerto-Rico start?

August 29, 2026.