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AI verdict

AI pick Augustow win probability ~59% confidence Medium best odds 8.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Augustow. Full breakdown below.

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Poland. Friendly Tournament
Poland. Friendly Tournament International
29.08.2026 11:55 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
29.08.2026 11:55 UTC
Finished

Poland. Friendly Tournament

KPS Plock vs Augustow — Volleyball prediction

International Volleyball
KPS Plock
KPS Plock
2 : 0
25:21 25:19
Finished
Augustow
Augustow

KPS Plock host Augustow in volleyball, in Poland. Friendly Tournament, on 29 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Augustow the favourite, with a win probability of about 59%. The bookmaker consensus (1 book) implies about 34% for the same outcome.

There is little recent-form data for this fixture, so the read leans first on the ratings. On the Glicko scale it is 1377 for KPS Plock against 1500 for Augustow - a gap of 123 points. The game is part of Poland. Friendly Tournament.

Our model is notably more confident in the favourite than the market. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 25-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 123 Glicko rating points, the model's 59% for Augustow. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Augustow — 59%

1 · KPS Plock40.9%
market 89%
2 · Augustow ✓ Pick59.1%
market 11%

Model estimate: win KPS Plock 40.9%, win Augustow 59.1%. Model favourite — Augustow.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — KPS Plock

Model confidence 85% ~91% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction KPS Plock - Augustow August 29, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like KPS Plock.

Line favourite Fonbet: KPS Plock. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: KPS Plock 40.9% / Augustow 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 ✓ Pick 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.40 → 1.40
Winner 2 2.70 → 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

KPS Plock
Last 2: 0W · 2L · sets 2:4 · 0%
1:2ASparta Grodzisk-Mazovetskiy
1:2AAnioly Torun

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 29.08.2026 11:55 UTC
Market 1 89.1% @ 1.04 / 2 10.9% @ 8.50
Form 2 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Augustow 59%
💹 Market KPS Plock 89%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

KPS Plock - Augustow

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set KPS Plock Augustow Result
Set 1 25 21 25:21
Set 2 25 19 25:19
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 59.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.700 / LogLoss 0.895
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 52.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.556 / LogLoss 0.750
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
KPS Plock 65.9% 40.9% market favourite
Augustow 34.2% 59.1% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 40.9% / 59.1% probabilities
Rating 1,377 / 1,500 KPS Plock / Augustow
RD 262 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 852-1,901 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +402.8% · model 59.1%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 136.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
1.35 74.1%
1.02 98.0%
2.23 44.8%
2.03 49.3%
2.03 49.3%
2.90 34.5%
10.00 10.0%
1.58 63.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.07 48.3%
2.03 49.3%
2.05 48.8%
2.10 47.6%
1.87 53.5%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
8.50 11.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 136.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 137.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 138.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 139.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 140.5 5.10 19.6%
Over 141.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 142.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 143.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 145.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 147.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 149.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 152.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 153.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 161.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 171.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 172.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 173.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 174.5 2.50 40.0%
Match center
KPS Plock
L L
23.08 09:55 UTC Poland. Tovarischeskiy Tournament
KPS Plock 1:2 Sparta Grodzisk-Mazovetskiy
22.08 12:25 UTC Poland. Tovarischeskiy Tournament
KPS Plock 1:2 Anioly TorunAnioly Torun
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Augustow
L L
23.08 09:55 UTC+0 Poland. Tovarischeskiy Tournament
Augustow 1:2 Sparta Grodzisk-Mazovetskiy
22.08 12:25 UTC+0 Poland. Tovarischeskiy Tournament
Augustow 1:2 Anioly TorunAnioly Torun
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KPS Plock vs Augustow?

By the PropickAI model, KPS Plock is favoured — about 59% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for KPS Plock vs Augustow?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to KPS Plock. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for KPS Plock vs Augustow?

Live odds for KPS Plock vs Augustow from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does KPS Plock vs Augustow start?

August 29, 2026.