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Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Russia. Women. Liga Pro International
30.07.2026 05:10 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 05:10 UTC
Finished

Russia. Women. Liga Pro

International

Malahit-pro (w) - Sapfir-pro (w)

International Volleyball
Malahit-pro (w)
Malahit-pro (w)
3 : 2
20:25 25:19 25:16 17:25 16:14
Finished
Sapfir-pro (w)
Sapfir-pro (w)

Malahit-pro (w) meet Sapfir-pro (w) on July 30, 2026 in the Russia. Women. Liga Pro, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Malahit-pro (w) 1-0-2, Sapfir-pro (w) 2-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sapfir-pro (w) — 50%

Pure model vs market (2 · Sapfir-pro (w)): model 51% · market 14% Δ +37 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Malahit-pro (w)49.9%
2 · Sapfir-pro (w)50.1%

Model estimate: win Malahit-pro (w) 49.9%, win Sapfir-pro (w) 50.1%. Model favourite — Sapfir-pro (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sapfir-pro (w) (odds2.08) Score 2:3 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Malakhit-pro (zh): forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Sapfir-pro (zh): probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Malahit-pro (w) - Sapfir-pro (w) July 30, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malahit-pro (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Malahit-pro (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.50
  • Glicko: Malahit-pro (w) 49.9% / Sapfir-pro (w) 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 85.8%
2 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.85 → 1.85
Winner 2 1.85 → 1.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Alyans-pro
Last 1: 0W · 1L · sets 0:3 · 0%
0:3AGranat-pro (zh)

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 05:10 UTC
Market 1 85.8% @ 1.08 / 2 14.2% @ 6.50
Form 1 matches
Match center

Malahit-pro (w) - Sapfir-pro (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Malahit-pro (w) Sapfir-pro (w) Result
Set 1 20 25 20:25
Set 2 25 19 25:19
Set 3 25 16 25:16
Set 4 17 25 17:25
Set 5 16 14 16:14
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 50.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.695
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 50.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.500 / LogLoss 0.694
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Malahit-pro (w) 50.0% 49.9% market favourite
Sapfir-pro (w) 50.0% 50.1% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 49.9% / 50.1% probabilities
Rating 1,320 / 1,500 Malahit-pro (w) / Sapfir-pro (w)
RD 292 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 736-1,905 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · weak value +225.4% · model 50.1%
1 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 49.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 128.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 129.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.93 51.8%
2.20 45.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.80 35.7%
2.10 47.6%
1.52 65.8%
2.20 45.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.77 56.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.23 44.8%
2.35 42.6%
1.30 76.9%
1.30 76.9%
2.00 50.0%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.08 92.6% 1.85 54.1%
6.50 15.4% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 128.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 129.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 130.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 131.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 132.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 133.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 134.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 135.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 136.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 137.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 138.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 139.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 140.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 141.5 4.70 21.3%
Over 142.5 4.70 21.3%
Over 143.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 144.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 145.5 2.50 40.0%
Match center
Malahit-pro (w)
L W L
23.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Malahit-pro (w) 0:3 Sapfir-pro (zh)
20.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Malahit-pro (w) 3:2 Sapfir-pro (zh)
07.07 08:55 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Malahit-pro (w) 0:3 Granat-pro (zh)
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Sapfir-pro (w)
L W W L L
28.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Sapfir-pro (w) 0:3 Granat-pro (zh)
24.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Sapfir-pro (w) 3:0 Granat-pro (zh)
23.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Sapfir-pro (w) 3:0 Malakhit-pro (zh)
21.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Sapfir-pro (w) 1:3 Granat-pro (zh)
20.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Sapfir-pro (w) 2:3 Malakhit-pro (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMalahit-pro (w) - Sapfir-pro (w)

Malahit-pro (w)
2 matches total
Sapfir-pro (w)
Malahit-pro (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sapfir-pro (w): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Sapfir-pro (zh) 0:3 (23.07 05:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 20.07 05:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Malakhit-pro (zh)
0:3
Sapfir-pro (zh)
20.07 05:10 UTC Russia. Women. Liga Pro
Malakhit-pro (zh)
3:2
Sapfir-pro (zh)