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South American Cup. Women. Peru. 5th place
South American Cup. Women. Peru. 5th place International
05.08.2026 16:55 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 16:55 UTC
Finished

South American Cup. Women. Peru. 5th place

Belgium (w) - Hungary (w)

International Volleyball
Belgium (w)
Belgium (w)
2 : 0
25:22 25:20
Finished
Hungary (w)
Hungary (w)

Belgium (w) take on Hungary (w) on August 5, 2026 in the South American Cup. Women. Peru. 5th place, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 82% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Belgium (w) — 82%

Pure model vs market (1 · Belgium (w)): model 16% · market 88% Δ −72 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Belgium (w) ✓ Pick81.8%
market88%
2 · Hungary (w)18.2%
market12%

Model estimate: win Belgium (w) 81.8%, win Hungary (w) 18.2%. Model favourite — Belgium (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Belgium (w) - Hungary (w) August 5, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Belgium (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Belgium (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.40
  • Glicko: Belgium (w) 81.8% / Hungary (w) 18.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.6% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 87.6%
2 12.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.13 ↓ 1.03
Winner 2 4.70 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Belgium (w)
Last 5: 2W · 3L · sets 7:13 · 40%
0:3HUkraine (Zh)
0:3HItaly (zh)
1:3HCanada (Zh)
3:2HDominican Republic (Zh)
3:2HDominican Republic (Zh)
Hungary (w)
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 12:7 · 60%
1:3ASweden (Zh)
3:1HCroatia (Zh)
3:0AEstonia (Zh)
3:0ANorth Macedonia (Zh)
2:3AGreece (Zh)

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:55 UTC
Market 1 87.6% @ 1.05 / 2 12.4% @ 7.40
Form 6 matches
Match center

Belgium (w) - Hungary (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Belgium (w) Hungary (w) Result
Set 1 25 22 25:22
Set 2 25 20 25:20
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 81.8% fact: home hit / ROI 6.0% / Brier 0.066 / LogLoss 0.201
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 59.5% fact: home hit / ROI 6.0% / Brier 0.327 / LogLoss 0.518
Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 59.5% fact: home hit / ROI 6.0% / Brier 0.327 / LogLoss 0.518
Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 59.5% fact: home hit / ROI 6.0% / Brier 0.327 / LogLoss 0.518
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Belgium (w) 89.2% 81.8% market and model agree
Hungary (w) 10.8% 18.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 81.8% / 18.2% probabilities
Rating 1,223 / 1,712 Belgium (w) / Hungary (w)
RD 154 / 186 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 914-1,531 / 1,339-2,084 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.40 Fonbet · no value · model 18.2%
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 81.8%
Total
Over 124.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 125.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 1.57 63.7%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 1.55 64.5%
1.90 52.6% —
1.80 55.6% —
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.30 43.5%
— 2.30 43.5%
— 2.55 39.2%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 3.00 33.3%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 2.05 48.8%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 1.77 56.5%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 2.03 49.3%
— 1.83 54.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3%
7.00 14.3% 7.40 13.5% 7.50 13.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 124.5 — 1.58 63.3%
Over 125.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 126.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 127.5 — 1.68 59.5%
Over 128.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 129.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 130.5 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 131.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 132.5 — 3.00 33.3%
Over 133.5 — 4.50 22.2%
Over 134.5 — 3.00 33.3%
Over 135.5 — 3.40 29.4%
Over 136.5 — 2.85 35.1%
Over 137.5 — 2.65 37.7%
Over 138.5 — 2.55 39.2%
Over 139.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Over 142.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 142.5 1.85 54.1% —
Match center
Belgium (w)
L L L W W
12.07 01:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Belgium (w) 0:3 Ukraine (Zh)Ukraine (Zh)
10.07 10:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Belgium (w) 0:3 Italy (zh)Italy (zh)
09.07 07:00 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Belgium (w) 1:3 Canada (Zh)Canada (Zh)
08.07 03:25 UTC+0 Nations League. Women
Belgium (w) 3:2 Dominican Republic (Zh)Dominican Republic (Zh)
08.07 01:30 UTC+0 World: Voleybolnaya Nations League - Women
Belgium (w) 3:2 Dominican Republic (Zh)Dominican Republic (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Hungary (w)
L W W W L
01.07 14:00 UTC+0 Europe: Evropeyskaya Liga - Women - Finalnaya Group
Hungary (w) 1:3 Sweden (Zh)Sweden (Zh)
14.06 13:30 UTC+0 Europe: Evropeyskaya Liga - Women
Hungary (w) 3:1 Croatia (Zh)Croatia (Zh)
12.06 13:30 UTC+0 Europe: Evropeyskaya Liga - Women
Hungary (w) 3:0 Estonia (Zh)Estonia (Zh)
06.06 14:00 UTC+0 Europe: Evropeyskaya Liga - Women
Hungary (w) 3:0 North Macedonia (Zh)North Macedonia (Zh)
29.05 14:00 UTC+0 World: Tovarischeskie Games - Women
Hungary (w) 2:3 Greece (Zh)Greece (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBelgium (w) - Hungary (w)

Belgium (w)
0 matches total
Hungary (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history