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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
04.08.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women

Mexico (w) - Colombia (w)

Volleyball
Mexico (w)
Mexico (w)
1 : 0
Finished
Colombia (w)
Colombia (w)

Mexico (w) take on Colombia (w) on August 4, 2026 in the North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mexico (w) 2-0-0, Colombia (w) 2-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico (w) — 63%

1 · Mexico (w) ✓ Pick63.0%
market65%
2 · Colombia (w)37.0%
market35%

Model estimate: win Mexico (w) 63.0%, win Colombia (w) 37.0%. Model favourite — Mexico (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (w) (odds1.59) Score 3:1 confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Mexico (Zh): forma VVV (3-0)
  • • Colombia (Zh): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Mexico (Zh): probability 63% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico (w) - Colombia (w) August 4, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.37 / 2 2.85
  • Glicko: Mexico (w) 63.0% / Colombia (w) 37.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5% 4 books · best price +91.5%
1 ✓ Pick 64.9%
2 35.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Mexico (w)
Last 3: 3W · 0L · sets 9:2 · 100%
3:2APuerto-Riko (Zh)
3:0HCosta Rica (Zh)
3:0ACuba (Zh)
Colombia (w)
Last 5: 4W · 1L · sets 12:4 · 80%
0:3HBrazil U23 (Zh)
3:0HChile (Zh)
3:1AArgentina (univ)
3:0HEcuador (Zh)
3:0HVenezuela (Zh)

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 67.5% @ 1.37 / 2 32.5% @ 2.85
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mexico (w) - Colombia (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, odds
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 63.0% fact: home hit / Brier 0.273 / LogLoss 0.461
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 53.9% fact: home hit / Brier 0.425 / LogLoss 0.618
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico (w) - 63.0% model pick
Colombia (w) - 37.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 63.0% / 37.0% probabilities
Rating 1,861 / 1,839 Mexico (w) / Colombia (w)
RD 244 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,373-2,350 / 1,461-2,216 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.85 Fonbet · no value · model 37.0%
1 1.37 Fonbet · no value · model 63.0%
Total
Over 176.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Over 177.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.88 53.2% —
— 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1% — 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1% — — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.82 55.0% —
— — 1.90 52.6% —
— — — 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.85 54.1% —
— 1.83 54.6% — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.83 54.6% —

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.45 69.0% 2.70 37.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0%
2.40 41.7% 1.39 71.9% 2.85 35.1% 2.85 35.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 176.5 — — 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
Over 177.5 — 1.83 54.6% — —
Over 178.5 1.85 54.1% — 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 179.5 — — 1.87 53.5% —
Under 176.5 — — 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 177.5 — 1.83 54.6% — —
Under 178.5 1.85 54.1% — 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 179.5 — — 1.83 54.6% —
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-1
2025-08-27 · Mexico (Zh) 3:2 Colombia (Zh)
2023-10-21 · Mexico (Zh) 3:0 Colombia (Zh)
2018-07-25 · Mexico (Zh) 1:3 Colombia (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Mexico (w)
W W
03.08 22:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico (w) 3:0 Venezuela (Zh)Venezuela (Zh)
02.08 18:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico (w) 2:0 Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Colombia (w)
W W
03.08 18:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Colombia (w) 2:0 Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)Trinidad i Tobago (Zh)
02.08 22:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Colombia (w) 3:2 Venezuela (Zh)Venezuela (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico (w) - Colombia (w)

Mexico (w)
0 matches total
Colombia (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history