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AI verdict

AI pick Bohemios win probability ~70% confidence High best odds 5.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Bohemios. Full breakdown below.

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Uruguay. Premier league
Uruguay. Premier league International
16.08.2026 19:55 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
16.08.2026 19:55 UTC
Finished

Uruguay. Premier league

Bohemios - Parada 6

International Volleyball
Bohemios
Bohemios
1 : 2
25:22 20:25 19:25
Finished
Parada 6
Parada 6

Bohemios take on Parada 6 on August 16, 2026 in the Uruguay. Premier league, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bohemios 1-0-0, Parada 6 0-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 70% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bohemios — 70%

1 · Bohemios ✓ Pick69.7%
market 71%
2 · Parada 630.3%
market 29%

Model estimate: win Bohemios 69.7%, win Parada 6 30.3%. Model favourite — Bohemios.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bohemios (odds1.28) Score 3:1 confidence 70% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Bogemios: forma V (1-0)
  • • Parada-6: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Bogemios: probability 70% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bohemios - Parada 6 August 16, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parada 6.

Line favourite Fonbet: Parada 6. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / 2 1.11
  • Glicko: Bohemios 69.7% / Parada 6 30.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.8% 4 books · best price +324.7%
1 ✓ Pick 70.9%
2 29.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.28 ↑ 1.30
Winner 2 3.20 ↓ 3.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Bohemios
71%
5.50
Parada 6
29%
3.20
Total
Over 174.5
50%
1.85
Under 174.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Bohemios
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 2:0 · 100%
2:0ALagomar
Parada 6
Last 1: 0W · 1L · sets 1:3 · 0%
1:3AKBR A

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 16.08.2026 19:55 UTC
Market 1 16.8% @ 5.50 / 2 83.2% @ 1.11
Form 2 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Bohemios 70%
💹 Market Bohemios 71%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Bohemios - Parada 6

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Bohemios Parada 6 Result
Set 1 25 22 25:22
Set 2 20 25 20:25
Set 3 19 25 19:25
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 69.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.972 / LogLoss 1.195
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 55.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.625 / LogLoss 0.819
Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 55.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.625 / LogLoss 0.819
Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 55.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.625 / LogLoss 0.819
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bohemios 70.9% 69.7% market and model agree
Parada 6 29.1% 30.3%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 69.7% / 30.3% probabilities
Rating 1,714 / 1,366 Bohemios / Parada 6
RD 291 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,132-2,296 / 782-1,949 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 30.3%
1 5.50 Fonbet · weak value +283.5% · model 69.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 173.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 174.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.87 53.5%
2.00 50.0%
3.40 29.4%
2.90 34.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.94 51.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.76 56.8%
1.76 56.8%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1% 5.50 18.2% 1.31 76.3%
3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 1.11 90.1% 3.17 31.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 173.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 174.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 175.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 176.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 177.5 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.62 61.7%
Over 178.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 179.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 180.5 — — 1.28 78.1%
Over 181.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 182.5 — — 1.33 75.2%
Under 174.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 177.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% —
Match center
Bohemios
W
02.08 22:55 UTC Uruguay. Premier League
Bohemios 2:0 Lagomar
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Parada 6
L
25.07 23:55 UTC Uruguay. Premier League
Parada 6 1:3 KBR A
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Bohemios - Parada 6

Bohemios
0 matches total
Parada 6
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bohemios vs Parada 6?

By the PropickAI model, Parada 6 is favoured — about 70% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Bohemios vs Parada 6?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Parada 6. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Bohemios vs Parada 6 start?

August 16, 2026.