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AI verdict

AI pick Udelar win probability ~60% confidence Medium best odds 6.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Udelar. Full breakdown below.

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Uruguay. Premier league
Uruguay. Premier league International
15.08.2026 19:55 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
15.08.2026 19:55 UTC
Finished

Uruguay. Premier league

Udelar - Olimpia

International Volleyball
Udelar
Udelar
2 : 1
24:26 25:22 25:20
Finished
Olimpia
Olimpia

Udelar meet Olimpia on August 15, 2026 in the Uruguay. Premier league, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Udelar — 60%

1 · Udelar59.5%
market 61%
2 · Olimpia40.5%
market 39%

Model estimate: win Udelar 59.5%, win Olimpia 40.5%. Model favourite — Udelar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Olimpia (odds2.35) Score 2:3 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Olimpiya: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Olimpiya: probability 59% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
  • • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Udelar - Olimpia August 15, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olimpia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Olimpia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / 2 1.08
  • Glicko: Udelar 59.5% / Olimpia 40.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.6% 4 books · best price +327.6%
1 60.6%
2 39.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.50 ↑ 1.53
Winner 2 2.40 ↓ 2.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Udelar
61%
6.50
Olimpia
39%
2.35
Total
Over 180.5
50%
1.85
Under 180.5
50%
1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Olimpia
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 3:2 · 100%
3:2HKBR L

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2026 19:55 UTC
Market 1 14.2% @ 6.50 / 2 85.8% @ 1.08
Form 1 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Udelar 60%
💹 Market Udelar 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Udelar - Olimpia

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Udelar Olimpia Result
Set 1 24 26 24:26
Set 2 25 22 25:22
Set 3 25 20 25:20
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 59.5% fact: home hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.327 / LogLoss 0.518
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 52.9% fact: home hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.444 / LogLoss 0.637
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Udelar 60.6% 59.5% market and model agree
Olimpia 39.4% 40.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 59.5% / 40.5% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,564 Udelar / Olimpia
RD 350 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 981-2,147 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 40.5%
1 6.50 Fonbet · weak value +287.0% · model 59.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 143.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 149.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.87 53.5% —
— 2.85 35.1%
— 2.85 35.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.10 47.6%
1.83 54.6% —
— 2.03 49.3%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.72 58.1%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.35 74.1%
— 2.70 37.0%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 2.40 41.7%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.63 61.4%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.49 67.1% 1.51 66.2% 6.50 15.4% 1.53 65.4%
2.30 43.5% 2.33 42.9% 1.08 92.6% 2.35 42.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 143.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 149.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 151.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 152.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 170.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 174.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 175.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 176.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 177.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 179.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 181.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 182.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 183.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Under 181.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
Match center
Udelar
W
26.07 20:00 UTC+0 Uruguay. Division B
Udelar 3:2 KBR L
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Olimpia
W
26.07 20:00 UTC+0 Uruguay. Division B
Olimpia 3:2 KBR L
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Udelar - Olimpia

Udelar
0 matches total
Olimpia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udelar vs Olimpia?

By the PropickAI model, Olimpia is favoured — about 60% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Udelar vs Olimpia?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Olimpia. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Udelar vs Olimpia start?

August 15, 2026.