Who is the favourite in Guatemala vs Mexico?

By the PropickAI model, Mexico is favoured — about 87% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Guatemala vs Mexico?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mexico. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Guatemala vs Mexico?

Live odds for Guatemala vs Mexico from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Mexico win probability ~87% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mexico. Full breakdown below.

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World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

27.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

27.08.2026 23:00 UTC

Finished

World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Guatemala vs Mexico — Volleyball prediction

Volleyball

Guatemala

1 : 2

29:27 22:25 23:25

Finished

Mexico

Guatemala meet Mexico on August 27, 2026 in the World: Pan-American Cup Final Six.

Recent form (W-D-L): Guatemala 0-0-4, Mexico 2-0-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 13% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mexico — 87%

1 · Guatemala13.2%

market 11%

2 · Mexico ✓ Pick86.8%

market 89%

Model estimate: win Guatemala 13.2%, win Mexico 86.8%. Model favourite — Mexico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner — Mexico

Model confidence 88% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Guatemala - Mexico August 27, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
Glicko: Guatemala 13.2% / Mexico 86.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.8% 4 books

1 10.5%

2 ✓ Pick 89.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 9.00 ↓ 4.40

Winner 2 1.03 ↑ 1.17

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Guatemala

11%

11.00

Mexico

89%

1.06

Total

Over 138.5

50%

1.86

Under 138.5

50%

1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

7Wins1

2.6Sets on average0.5

Head-to-head matches: 8 · average total 3.1 (sets)

Team form

Guatemala

4-6LWLWWWLLLL

sets for 1.6sets against 2.2

Mexico

5-5WWWLLLLWWL

sets for 1.8sets against 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Guatemala

Last 5: 1W · 4L · sets 3:11 · 20%

1:2APuerto-Riko

0:2HDominican Republic

0:3AUSA

0:3HCanada

2:1ACosta Rica

Mexico

Last 5: 2W · 3L · sets 7:9 · 40%

0:3ACanada

2:1APuerto-Riko

3:0HDominican Republic

1:3AUSA

1:2ACanada

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center

Start 27.08.2026 23:00 UTC

Market 1 8.4% @ 11.00 / 2 91.6% @ 1.01

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Mexico 87%

💹 Market Mexico 89%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Guatemala - Mexico

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/4 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Set Guatemala Mexico Result

Set 1 29 27 29:27

Set 2 22 25 22:25

Set 3 23 25 23:25

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 86.8% fact: away hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.035 / LogLoss 0.141

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 61.1% fact: away hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.303 / LogLoss 0.493

Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Guatemala 10.9% 13.2%

Mexico 89.1% 86.8% market and model agree

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model

P1 / P2 13.2% / 86.8% probabilities

Rating 1,270 / 1,470 Guatemala / Mexico

RD 110 / 104 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,049-1,491 / 1,262-1,677 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 86.8%

1 8.73 market consensus · no value · model 13.2%

Total

Over 131.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Over 132.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.07 48.3%
	1.58 63.3%
	1.67 59.9%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.67 59.9%
	2.23 44.8%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.25 44.4%
	1.93 51.8%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.16 86.2%
	2.25 44.4%
	1.80 55.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
	11.00 9.1%	9.00 11.1%	9.00 11.1%	8.20 12.2%
	1.01 99.0%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%	1.04 96.2%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 131.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 132.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 133.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 134.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 135.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 136.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 137.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 138.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 139.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 140.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 141.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 143.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 145.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 146.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 147.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 148.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 150.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 151.5	1.85 54.1%

Match center

Guatemala

L L L L

27.08 00:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Guatemala 1:2 Puerto-Riko

25.08 20:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Guatemala 0:2 Dominican Republic

24.08 20:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Guatemala 0:3 USA

23.08 22:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Guatemala 0:3 Canada

0 Wins

4 Losses

0.3 Scored

2.5 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Mexico

L W W L

26.08 22:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Mexico 0:3 Canada

26.08 00:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Mexico 2:1 Puerto-Riko

24.08 22:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Mexico 3:0 Dominican Republic

23.08 20:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup Final Six

Mexico 1:3 USA

2 Wins

2 Losses

1.5 Scored

1.8 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Guatemala - Mexico

Guatemala

2 matches total

Mexico

Guatemala: 0 (0%)

Mexico: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Mexico 0:2 (11.08 02:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 sets (1:3, 13.06 00:00 UTC+0) most sets in a game

Overall statistics

0 Sets scored 0

0 Sets conceded 0

Match history

11.08 02:00 UTC+0 World: Pan-American Cup

Gvatemala

0:2

Mexico

13.06 00:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: NORCECA Final Four

Gvatemala

1:3

Mexico

Guatemala vs Mexico — Volleyball prediction

AI match prediction Guatemala - Mexico August 27, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Form by set

Unlock the full AI analysis

Guatemala - Mexico

Match markets

Handicap

Match winner (volleyball)

Total

Overall statistics

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions