FreeMatch preview

Piratas — Guerreros

Basketball 26.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Favourite Guerreros best odds 1.20

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Ecuador. LBP
Ecuador. LBP International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. LBP

Piratas vs Guerreros — Basketball prediction

International Basketball
Piratas
Piratas
67 : 66
Finished
Guerreros
Guerreros

Piratas take on Guerreros on August 26, 2026 in the Ecuador. LBP, International.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner Guerreros

Model confidence 74% ~81% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Piratas - Guerreros August 26, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Guerreros. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 12.3%
1 25.8%
2 74.2%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Market 1 25.8% @ 3.45 / 2 74.2% @ 1.20
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Piratas - Guerreros

Form 2/0 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.505 / LogLoss 0.699
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.502 / LogLoss 0.695
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 159.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 160.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
1.92 52.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.78 56.2%
2.02 49.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.78 56.2%
1.85 54.1%
1.73 57.8%
1.78 56.2%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 159.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 161.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 164.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 165.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 166.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 167.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 168.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 170.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 171.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 172.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 173.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 174.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 175.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 176.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 177.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 178.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.45 29.0%
1.20 83.3%
Match center
Piratas
L W
22.08 00:30 UTC Ecuador. LBP
Piratas 62:63 Importadora Alvarado
12.08 01:00 UTC Ecuador. LBP
Piratas 59:45 Importadora Alvarado
1 Wins
1 Losses
60.5 Scored
54.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Piratas vs Guerreros?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Guerreros. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Piratas vs Guerreros?

Live odds for Piratas vs Guerreros from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Piratas vs Guerreros start?

August 26, 2026.