AI verdict

AI pick Levicki Patrioti win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 2.35

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Levicki Patrioti. Full breakdown below.

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Friendly games
Friendly games International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
27.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Friendly games

Pardubice vs Levicki Patrioti — Basketball prediction

International Basketball
Pardubice
Pardubice
71 : 77
Finished
Levicki Patrioti
Levicki Patrioti

Pardubice take on Levicki Patrioti on August 27, 2026 in the Friendly games, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Levicki Patrioti56%

1 · Pardubice44.1%
2 · Levicki Patrioti55.9%

Model estimate: win Pardubice 44.1%, win Levicki Patrioti 55.9%. Model favourite — Levicki Patrioti.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pardubice - Levicki Patrioti August 27, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pardubice.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pardubice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.35
  • Glicko: Pardubice 44.1% / Levicki Patrioti 55.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 4 books · best price +19.4%
1 51.8%
2 48.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.57 ↑ 2.65
Winner 2 2.25 ↓ 1.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Pardubice
45%
2.19
Levicki Patrioti
55%
2.35
Handicap
Pardubice (-2.5)
50%
1.85
Levicki Patrioti (-2.5)
50%
1.85
Total
Over 166.5
50%
1.88
Under 166.5
50%
2.15

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pardubice
7-3WWWWLLWWLW
points for 84.8points against 81.2
Levicki Patrioti

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 27.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Market 1 61.0% @ 1.50 / 2 39.0% @ 2.35
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Levicki Patrioti 56%
💹 Market Pardubice 52%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Pardubice - Levicki Patrioti

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 71:77
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 55.9% fact: away hit / Brier 0.389 / LogLoss 0.581
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.4% fact: away hit / Brier 0.454 / LogLoss 0.647
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pardubice 43.6% 44.1%
Levicki Patrioti 56.4% 55.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 44.1% / 55.9% probabilities
Rating 1,524 / 1,500 Pardubice / Levicki Patrioti
RD 229 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,067-1,981 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · value +31.4% · model 55.9%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 44.1%
Total
Over 158.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
2.18 45.9%
2.00 50.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.62 61.7%
1.60 62.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.58 63.3%
1.73 57.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 158.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 159.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 160.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 161.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 162.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 163.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 164.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 165.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 166.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 167.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 168.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 169.5 1.86 53.8% 1.65 60.6%
Over 170.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 171.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 172.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 173.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 169.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon Pinnacle
1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 2.11 47.4% 2.19 45.7%
2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.63 61.5%
Match center
Pardubice
W L W W L
13.06 13:00 UTC+0 Czechia: NBL - Playoff
Pardubice 86:57 NimburkNimburk
11.06 13:15 UTC+0 Czechia: NBL - Playoff
Pardubice 71:92 NimburkNimburk
08.06 14:00 UTC+0 Czechia: NBL - Playoff
Pardubice 101:100 NimburkNimburk
25.05 13:30 UTC+0 Czechia: NBL - Playoff
Pardubice 90:75 BrnoBrno
18.05 13:30 UTC+0 Czechia: NBL - Playoff
Pardubice 89:92 BrnoBrno
3 Wins
2 Losses
87.4 Scored
83.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Levicki Patrioti
W L W
13.06 13:00 UTC+0 Czechia: NBL - Playoff
Levicki Patrioti 86:57 NimburkNimburk
11.06 13:15 UTC+0 Czechia: NBL - Playoff
Levicki Patrioti 71:92 NimburkNimburk
08.06 14:00 UTC+0 Czechia: NBL - Playoff
Levicki Patrioti 101:100 NimburkNimburk
2 Wins
1 Losses
86.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pardubice vs Levicki Patrioti?

By the PropickAI model, Pardubice is favoured — about 56% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Pardubice vs Levicki Patrioti?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Pardubice. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Pardubice vs Levicki Patrioti?

Live odds for Pardubice vs Levicki Patrioti from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Pardubice vs Levicki Patrioti start?

August 27, 2026.