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Surgut — Kurgan

Basketball 15.08.2026 23:05 UTC
Favourite Kurgan best odds 1.09

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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IPBL
IPBL International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.08.2026 23:05 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Surgut - Kurgan

International Basketball
Surgut
Surgut
89 : 125
Finished
Kurgan
Kurgan

Surgut face Kurgan on August 15, 2026 in the IPBL, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Surgut 3-0-2, Kurgan 2-0-3. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Surgut - Kurgan August 15, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kurgan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 15.2%
2 84.8%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2026 23:05 UTC
Market 1 15.2% @ 6.10 / 2 84.8% @ 1.09
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Match center

Surgut - Kurgan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 187.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 188.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.93 51.8%
2.07 48.3%
1.77 56.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
2.07 48.3%
2.30 43.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.76 56.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 187.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 188.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 189.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 190.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 191.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 192.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 193.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 194.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 195.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 196.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 197.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 198.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 199.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 200.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 201.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 202.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 203.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 204.5 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.10 16.4%
1.09 91.7%
Match center
Surgut
L W L W W
15.08 22:05 UTC IPBL
Surgut 70:75 Adler
08.08 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 113:96 Kurgan
08.08 22:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 103:110 Adler
08.08 01:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 112:109 Yakutsk
02.08 01:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 96:81 Yakutsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
98.8 Scored
94.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Kurgan
W W L L L
15.08 21:00 UTC IPBL
Kurgan 87:75 Yakutsk
15.08 02:00 UTC IPBL
Kurgan 108:100 Adler
09.08 02:00 UTC IPBL
Kurgan 108:116 Adler
08.08 23:00 UTC IPBL
Kurgan 96:113 Surgut
08.08 21:00 UTC IPBL
Kurgan 99:103 Yakutsk
2 Wins
3 Losses
99.6 Scored
101.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySurgut - Kurgan

Surgut
3 matches total
Kurgan
Surgut: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kurgan: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Surgut 113:96 (08.08 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 283 goals (141:142, 31.07 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.08 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut
113:96
Kurgan
31.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut
141:142
Kurgan
24.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut
107:105
Kurgan

Frequently asked questions

When does Surgut vs Kurgan start?

August 15, 2026.