Who is the favourite in Olimpia vs Tabare?

By the PropickAI model, Olimpia is favoured — about 73% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Olimpia vs Tabare?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Olimpia. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Olimpia win probability ~73% confidence High best odds 1.02

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Olimpia. Full breakdown below.

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League de Assenso International

26.08.2026 23:15 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

26.08.2026 23:15 UTC

Finished

League de Assenso

Olimpia - Tabare

International Basketball

Olimpia

85 : 62

Finished

Tabare

Olimpia face Tabare on August 26, 2026 in the League de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Olimpia 3-0-2, Tabare 1-0-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 73% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Olimpia — 73%

1 · Olimpia ✓ Pick73.0%

market 74%

2 · Tabare27.0%

market 26%

Model estimate: win Olimpia 73.0%, win Tabare 27.0%. Model favourite — Olimpia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner — Olimpia

Model confidence 89% ~91% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olimpia - Tabare August 26, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olimpia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Olimpia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50
Glicko: Olimpia 73.0% / Tabare 27.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.6% 7 books · best price +1.6%

1 ✓ Pick 73.7%

2 26.3%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.30 ↓ 1.19

Winner 2 3.20 ↑ 4.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Olimpia

74%

1.27

Tabare

26%

8.50

Total

Over 155

50%

1.87

Under 155

50%

1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Olimpia

#2GP 87-1PPG 90.2OPP 79.2

Tabare

#3GP 86-2PPG 84.8OPP 74.6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins3

77.0Points on average79.0

Head-to-head matches: 5 · average total 156.0 (points)

Team form

Olimpia

9-1WWWLWWWWWW

points for 86.6points against 65.1

Tabare

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 26.08.2026 23:15 UTC

Market 1 89.3% @ 1.02 / 2 10.7% @ 8.50

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Olimpia 73%

💹 Market Olimpia 74%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Olimpia - Tabare

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 85:62

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 73.0% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.146 / LogLoss 0.315

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.2% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.333 / LogLoss 0.524

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Olimpia 73.7% 73.0% market and model agree

Tabare 26.3% 27.0%

1X2: 7 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 73.0% / 27.0% probabilities

Rating 1,944 / 1,363 Olimpia / Tabare

RD 128 / 135 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,688-2,200 / 1,093-1,633 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 27.0%

1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 73.0%

Total

Over 139.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Over 140.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	—
1.79 55.9%	1.81 55.3%	—
1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	—
1.88 53.2%	1.90 52.6%	—
1.88 53.2%	1.90 52.6%	—
1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	—
—	—	2.08 48.1%
—	—	2.40 41.7%
—	—	2.15 46.5%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	2.35 42.6%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 139.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 140.5	—	—	1.55 64.5%
Over 141.5	—	—	1.68 59.5%
Over 142.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 144.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 145.5	—	—	1.92 52.1%
Over 146.5	—	—	2.00 50.0%
Over 147.5	—	—	2.45 40.8%
Over 148.5	—	—	1.77 56.5%
Over 149.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 150.5	—	—	2.05 48.8%
Over 151.5	—	—	2.35 42.6%
Over 152.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 155.5	1.88 53.2%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 155.5	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon	Pinnacle
	1.26 79.4%	1.27 78.7%	1.02 98.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%
	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	8.50 11.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.85 26.0%	3.62 27.6%

Match center

Olimpia

W W L W L

2026-08-21 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Olimpia Stockolmo 66:83 Olimpia

2026-08-18 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Olimpia Olimpia 76:63 Sayago

2026-08-13 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Olimpia Trouville 75:73 Olimpia

2026-08-10 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Olimpia Olimpia 97:63 Urupan De Pando

2026-08-07 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Olimpia Verdirrojo 84:75 Olimpia

3 Wins

2 Losses

80.8 Scored

70.2 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Tabare

L W L L L

2026-08-22 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Tabare 68:71 Sayago Tabare

2026-08-18 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Urupan De Pando 65:89 Tabare Tabare

2026-08-14 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Tabare 61:67 Lagomar Tabare

2026-08-11 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Stockolmo 84:72 Tabare Tabare

2026-08-08 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Tabare 79:92 Trouville Tabare

1 Wins

4 Losses

73.8 Scored

75.8 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Olimpia - Tabare

Olimpia

1 matches total

Tabare

Olimpia: 0 (0%)

Tabare: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Tabare 66:68 (14.07 23:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 134 points (66:68, 14.07 23:15 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Olimpiya

66:68

Tabare

Olimpia - Tabare

AI match prediction Olimpia - Tabare August 26, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

League table

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Unlock the full AI analysis

Olimpia - Tabare

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions