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El Calor de Cancun — Astros Jalisco

Basketball 26.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Favourite Astros Jalisco best odds 1.25

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Finished

Mexico. LNBP

El Calor de Cancun vs Astros Jalisco — Basketball prediction

Basketball
E
El Calor de Cancun
79 : 88
Finished
Astros Jalisco
Astros Jalisco

El Calor de Cancun meet Astros Jalisco on August 26, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): El Calor de Cancun 1-0-4, Astros Jalisco 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Astros Jalisco

Model confidence 77% ~88% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction El Calor de Cancun - Astros Jalisco August 26, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Astros Jalisco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.30 / 2 1.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 5 books · best price +3.3%
1 23.7%
2 76.3%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
El Calor de Cancun
24%
4.30
Astros Jalisco
76%
1.25
Total
Over 166.5
50%
1.90
Under 166.5
50%
1.89

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

El Calor de Cancun
#618 ptsGP 144-10
Astros Jalisco
#224 ptsGP 1410-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins4
70.8Points on average88.8

Head-to-head matches: 4 · average total 159.5 (points)

Team form

El Calor de Cancun
3-7WLLLWWLLLL
points for 79.2points against 85.2
Astros Jalisco
7-3WLWWWWLLWW
points for 87.5points against 76.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

El Calor de CancunAstros Jalisco
  • 1' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 2' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 3' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 4' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 4' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 4' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 5' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 5' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 6' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 6' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 7' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 7' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 7' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 7' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 7' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 8' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 8' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 8' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 9' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 9' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 9' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 11' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 12' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 12' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 12' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 12' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 13' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 13' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 14' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 15' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 15' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 15' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 15' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 15' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 16' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 17' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 17' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 17' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 18' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 18' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 19' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 20' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 20' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 21' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 22' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 23' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 23' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 23' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 24' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 24' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 24' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 24' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 25' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 25' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 26' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 26' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 26' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 27' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 27' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 28' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 28' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 28' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 29' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 29' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 31' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 31' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 32' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 32' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 33' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 33' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 33' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 34' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 34' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 34' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 34' Goal Astros Jalisco
  • 35' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 38' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 38' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 38' Goal El Calor de Cancun
  • 38' Goal El Calor de Cancun

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Market 1 22.5% @ 4.30 / 2 77.5% @ 1.25
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

El Calor de Cancun - Astros Jalisco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 75.4% fact: away hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.121 / LogLoss 0.282
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 60.2% fact: away hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.317 / LogLoss 0.508
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 60.2% fact: away hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.317 / LogLoss 0.508
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 60.2% fact: away hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.317 / LogLoss 0.508
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 market consensus · line only
1 3.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 165.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Over 166.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.89 52.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.89 52.9%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 165.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
Over 166.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0%
Over 167.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Over 169.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 165.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%
Under 166.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 167.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 169.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 4.30 23.3%
1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-5
2026-08-26 · El Kalor de Kankun 79:88 Astros de Khalisko
2026-08-25 · El Kalor de Kankun 50:89 Astros de Khalisko
2025-08-03 · El Kalor de Kankun 85:95 Astros de Khalisko
2025-08-03 · El Kalor de Kankun 78:94 Astros de Khalisko
2024-08-01 · El Kalor de Kankun 70:77 Astros de Khalisko
Source: ruscore
El Calor de Cancun
L L L L W
2026-08-25 LNBP 2026
El Calor de Cancun El Calor de Cancun 50:89 Astros Jalisco
2026-08-12 LNBP 2026
El Calor de Cancun El Calor de Cancun 67:78 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-08-11 LNBP 2026
El Calor de Cancun El Calor de Cancun 69:76 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026
El Calor de Cancun El Calor de Cancun 85:95 Abejas de Leon
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026
El Calor de Cancun El Calor de Cancun 80:76 Abejas de Leon
1 Wins
4 Losses
70.2 Scored
82.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Astros Jalisco
W L L W W
2026-08-25 LNBP 2026
El Calor de Cancun 50:89 Astros Jalisco Astros Jalisco
2026-08-17 LNBP 2026
Mineros de Zacatecas 89:83 Astros Jalisco Astros Jalisco
2026-08-16 LNBP 2026
Mineros de Zacatecas 94:88 Astros Jalisco Astros Jalisco
2026-08-07 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon 83:95 Astros Jalisco Astros Jalisco
2026-08-06 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon 90:103 Astros Jalisco Astros Jalisco
3 Wins
2 Losses
91.6 Scored
81.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: El Calor de Cancun - Astros Jalisco

El Calor de Cancun
3 matches total
Astros Jalisco
El Calor de Cancun: 0 (0%)
Astros Jalisco: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Astros Jalisco 50:89 (2026-08-25) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 180 points (95:85, 2025-08-03) most points in a game

Match history

2026-08-25 LNBP 2026
El Calor de Cancun 50:89 Astros Jalisco
2025-08-03 LNBP 2026
Astros Jalisco 95:85 El Calor de Cancun
2025-08-03 LNBP 2026
Astros Jalisco 94:78 El Calor de Cancun

Recent form

El Calor de Cancun LLLLWW
Astros Jalisco WWLLWW

Standings

# PWL+/-Pts
1Soles de Mexicali1411313625
2Astros Jalisco1410412824
3Mineros de Zacatecas14865922
4Diablos Rojos Del Mexico1459-1019
5Gambusinos De Fresnillo1459-6419
6El Calor de Cancun14410-8618

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Team form & streaks

El Calor de Cancun LLLLWW
Astros Jalisco WWLLWW

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for El Calor de Cancun vs Astros Jalisco?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Astros Jalisco. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for El Calor de Cancun vs Astros Jalisco?

Live odds for El Calor de Cancun vs Astros Jalisco from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does El Calor de Cancun vs Astros Jalisco start?

August 26, 2026.