When does Connecticut vs NY Liberty start?

AI verdict

AI pick NY Liberty win probability ~74% confidence High best odds 1.30

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to NY Liberty. Full breakdown below.

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WNBA. Outrights

15.08.2026 17:00 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

15.08.2026 17:00 UTC

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WNBA. Outrights

Connecticut - NY Liberty

Basketball

Connecticut

- : -

Not started

NY Liberty

Connecticut face NY Liberty on August 15, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Connecticut 1-0-4, NY Liberty 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 NY Liberty — 74%

1 · Connecticut26.0%

market 26%

2 · NY Liberty ✓ Pick74.0%

market 74%

Model estimate: win Connecticut 26.0%, win NY Liberty 74.0%. Model favourite — NY Liberty.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2NY Liberty (odds1.26) Score 76:84 confidence 74%

• Konnektikut San (Zh): forma PVPPP (1-4)
• Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): forma VPVVV (4-1)
• ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
• Model backs Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): probability 74% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut - NY Liberty August 15, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: NY Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / 2 1.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 4.7% 5 books

1 26.4%

2 ✓ Pick 73.6%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Connecticut

26%

3.80

NY Liberty

74%

1.30

Total

Over 13.5

50%

1.84

Under 13.5

50%

1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Connecticut

#7GP 318-23

NY Liberty

#4GP 3420-14

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

62Wins52

74.6Points on average72.3

Head-to-head matches: 114 · average total 146.9 (points)

Team form

Connecticut

3-7LWWLLLLLWL

points for 78.0points against 88.9

NY Liberty

8-2WWWLWWWWLW

points for 97.5points against 92.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 15.08.2026 17:00 UTC

Market 1 25.5% @ 3.80 / 2 74.5% @ 1.30

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model NY Liberty 74%

💹 Market NY Liberty 74%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Connecticut - NY Liberty

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Connecticut 25.1% 26.0%

NY Liberty 75.0% 74.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 26.0% / 74.0% probabilities

Rating 1,392 / 1,799 Connecticut / NY Liberty

RD 119 / 102 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,154-1,629 / 1,595-2,003 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 74.0%

1 3.65 market consensus · no value · model 26.0%

Total

Over 13.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Over 16.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	—	—
1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—	—
—	—	1.82 55.0%	—
—	—	1.83 54.6%	—
—	—	1.84 54.4%	—
—	—	1.92 52.1%	1.92 52.1%
—	—	1.93 51.8%	1.93 51.8%
1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	—	1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.98 50.5%	1.98 50.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Kambi BetMGM
Over 13.5	—	—	1.84 54.4%
Over 16.5	—	—	1.79 55.9%
Over 173.5	1.90 52.6%	—	—
Over 174.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—
Over 175.5	1.90 52.6%	—	—
Over 176.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—
Over 177.5	1.90 52.6%	1.93 51.8%	—
Under 173.5	1.90 52.6%	—	—
Under 174.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 175.5	1.90 52.6%	—	—
Under 176.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 177.5	1.90 52.6%	1.87 53.5%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.67 27.3%
	1.29 77.5%	1.27 78.7%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-7

2026-06-08 · Konnektikut San (Zh) 80:89 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

2026-05-08 · Konnektikut San (Zh) 75:106 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

2026-05-03 · Konnektikut San (Zh) 67:79 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

2025-08-25 · Konnektikut San (Zh) 79:81 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

2025-08-03 · Konnektikut San (Zh) 78:87 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

Source: ruscore

Connecticut

L W L L L

13.08 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Connecticut 69:104 Atlanta Drim (Zh)

07.08 23:30 UTC USA: VNBA

Connecticut 75:72 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)

02.08 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Connecticut 63:83 Dallas Vings (Zh)

30.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Connecticut 88:94 Chikago Skay (Zh)

28.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA

Connecticut 84:92 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)

1 Wins

4 Losses

75.8 Scored

89.0 Conceded

20% Win percentage

NY Liberty

W L W W W

14.08 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA

NY Liberty 85:81 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

11.08 23:30 UTC USA: VNBA

NY Liberty 92:106 Indiana Fiver (Zh)

09.08 16:30 UTC USA: VNBA

NY Liberty 111:71 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)

05.08 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA

NY Liberty 92:86 Siettl Storm (Zh)

03.08 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA

NY Liberty 95:83 Siettl Storm (Zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

95.0 Scored

85.4 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyConnecticut - NY Liberty

Connecticut

1 matches total

NY Liberty

Connecticut: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

NY Liberty: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Nyu-York Liberti (Zh) 80:89 (08.06 21:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 169 goals (80:89, 08.06 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.06 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA

Konnektikut San (Zh)

80:89

Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

Connecticut - NY Liberty

AI match prediction Connecticut - NY Liberty August 15, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Forecast by market

League table

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Buy the full AI analysis

Connecticut - NY Liberty

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Form & head-to-head

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions