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AI verdict

AI pick Washington win probability ~69% confidence High best odds 1.40

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Washington. Full breakdown below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
15.08.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
15.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Washington - LA Sparks

Basketball
Washington
Washington
80 : 70
Finished
LA Sparks
LA Sparks

Washington take on LA Sparks on August 15, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Washington 3-0-2, LA Sparks 1-0-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 69% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Washington — 69%

1 · Washington ✓ Pick68.8%
market 69%
2 · LA Sparks31.2%
market 31%

Model estimate: win Washington 68.8%, win LA Sparks 31.2%. Model favourite — Washington.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Washington (odds1.36) Score 83:77 confidence 69% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Vashington Mistiks (Zh): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh): forma PPPVP (1-4)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Vashington Mistiks (Zh): probability 69% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.36)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington - LA Sparks August 15, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Washington.

Line favourite market consensus: Washington. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / 2 3.20
  • Glicko: Washington 68.8% / LA Sparks 31.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0% 6 books
1 ✓ Pick 69.2%
2 30.8%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Washington
69%
1.40
LA Sparks
31%
3.20
Total
Over 171.5
50%
1.90
Under 171.5
50%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Washington
#4GP 3420-14
LA Sparks
#7GP 3412-22

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

36Wins27
78.5Points on average77.9

Head-to-head matches: 63 · average total 156.4 (points)

Team form

Washington
8-2WWWWWWWLLW
points for 86.5points against 82.0
LA Sparks
2-8LLLWLWLLLL
points for 87.2points against 91.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 69.6% @ 1.40 / 2 30.4% @ 3.20
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Washington 69%
💹 Market Washington 69%
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Match center

Washington - LA Sparks

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 80:70
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 68.8% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.195 / LogLoss 0.375
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 57.5% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.361 / LogLoss 0.553
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Washington 69.2% 68.8% market and model agree
LA Sparks 30.8% 31.2%
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 68.8% / 31.2% probabilities
Rating 1,791 / 1,389 Washington / LA Sparks
RD 99 / 109 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,593-1,989 / 1,171-1,608 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.08 market consensus · no value · model 31.2%
1 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 68.8%
Total
Over 12.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Over 13.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.94 51.6%
— 1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
— 1.95 51.3% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.88 53.2%
— — 1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 169.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 170.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
Over 171.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 172.5 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8%
Over 173.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 174.5 1.87 53.5% —
Over 175.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 169.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 170.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 171.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 172.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 173.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 174.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 175.5 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon Pinnacle
1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.7%
3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 2.95 33.9% 2.95 33.9% 3.17 31.6% 3.11 32.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-6
2026-08-15 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 80:70 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
2026-05-29 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 87:92 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
2025-09-01 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 78:81 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
2025-08-17 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 95:86 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
2025-07-22 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 86:93 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Match stats

55 Ball possession 45
51 2-kh broskov vsego 35
30 2-kh realizovano 15
21 3-kh broskov vsego 26
4 3-kh realizovano 9
12 Shtrafnykh broskov vsego 16
8 Shtrafnykh broskov realizovano 13
43 Vsego podborov 27
11 Podbory v napadenii 3
32 Podbory v zaschite 24
23 Rezultativnye peredachi 20
4 Blok-shoty 2
12 Poteri 14
10 Perekhvaty 11
17 Fouls 18
4 Half-auty 4
0 Komandnye poteri myacha 0
5 Komandnye podbory 7
1232 Vremya v liderstve 947
3 Komanda lidiruet 3
10 Maksimalnoe preimuschestvo 9
Source: ruscore
Washington
L L W W W
14.08 02:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Washington 76:83 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
12.08 02:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Washington 76:86 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
09.08 19:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Washington 95:75 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
07.08 23:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Washington 79:74 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
05.08 23:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Washington 95:92 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
84.2 Scored
82.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
LA Sparks
L L W L
14.08 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 81:85 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
12.08 02:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 87:94 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
07.08 01:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 89:82 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
06.08 01:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 88:95 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
1 Wins
3 Losses
86.3 Scored
89.0 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Washington - LA Sparks

Washington
1 matches total
LA Sparks
Washington: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
LA Sparks: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) 87:92 (29.05 21:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 179 goals (87:92, 29.05 21:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

29.05 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
87:92
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

More predictions

Connecticut – LA Sparks 18.08 Washington – Toronto (w) 19.08 LA Sparks – Atlanta 21.08 Washington – Minnesota 21.08 Toronto (w) – Indiana 18.08 Las Vegas Aces – Atlanta 19.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Washington vs LA Sparks?

By the PropickAI model, Washington is favoured — about 69% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Washington vs LA Sparks?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Washington. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Washington vs LA Sparks start?

August 15, 2026.