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Indiana — Connecticut

Basketball 22.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Favourite Indiana best odds 1.23

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Indiana - Connecticut

Basketball
Indiana
Indiana
123 : 88
Finished
Connecticut
Connecticut

Indiana take on Connecticut on July 22, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Indiana 4-0-1, Connecticut 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Indiana

Model confidence 78% ~88% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Indiana (odds1.53) Score 82:78 confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct
  • Indiana Fiver (Zh): forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • Konnektikut San (Zh): forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • Model backs Indiana Fiver (Zh): probability 65% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.53)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indiana - Connecticut July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Indiana. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1% 3 books
1 78.0%
2 22.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Indiana
#1GP 3724-13
Connecticut
#7GP 359-26

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Indiana
7-3WWLLWWWWWL
points for 97.6points against 92.9
Connecticut
2-8LLLLLWLLWL
points for 76.8points against 90.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 80% ✓ favourite
2 20%
Score95:84 Total points: Over 172.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (-8.5)
Claude updated22.07.2026 23:16 UTC
1 79% ✓ favourite
2 21%
Score93:81 Total points: Under 178.5 Bet:Under 178.5
Qwen updated22.07.2026 23:14 UTC
1 47% ✓ favourite
2 24%
Score2:1 Total points: Over 2.5 Bet:Double chance 1X (Leksington ne proigraet)
Kimi updated22.07.2026 23:18 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 22%
Score92:78 Total points: Over 179.5 Bet:1 Indiana Fiver
Per AI data Form:W 108:88 vs NYL, W 110:107 vs SEA, L 75:88 vs GSV, W 109:75 @ LVA, W 92:89 @ PHX / L 63:72 @ PHX, W 96:83 @ PHX, W 90:87 vs POR, L 64:79 vs GSV, L 80:86 vs MIN
GLM 5.2 updated22.07.2026 23:20 UTC
1 80% ✓ favourite
2 20%
Score88:82 Total points: Over 180.5 Bet:1 -10.5
Per AI data Form:W L W W W / W L L L L H2H: IND win 87-83

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 80% 20% 95:84 Over 172.5 Handicap 1 (-8.5)
Claude 79% 21% 93:81 Under 178.5 Under 178.5
Qwen 47% 24% 2:1 Over 2.5 Double chance 1X (Leksington ne proigraet)
Kimi 78% 22% 92:78 Over 179.5
GLM 5.2 80% 20% 88:82 Over 180.5

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Match center
Start 22.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 78.2% @ 1.23 / 2 21.8% @ 4.40
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Indiana - Connecticut

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 123:88
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 77.0% fact: home hit / ROI 23.0% / Brier 0.106 / LogLoss 0.261
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 60.8% fact: home hit / ROI 23.0% / Brier 0.307 / LogLoss 0.497
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 60.8% fact: home hit / ROI 23.0% / Brier 0.307 / LogLoss 0.497
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 60.8% fact: home hit / ROI 23.0% / Brier 0.307 / LogLoss 0.497
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.32 market consensus · line only
1 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 176.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 177 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 176.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 177.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Over 178.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Over 179.5 1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6%
Over 180.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
Under 176.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 177.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
Under 178.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6%
Under 179.5 1.93 51.8% 1.86 53.8%
Under 180.5 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.23 81.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.35 23.0%
Match center
Indiana
W W W W
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 108:88 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 110:107 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
12.07 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 109:75 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
10.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 92:89 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
4 Wins
0 Losses
104.8 Scored
89.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Connecticut
W W W L
19.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 96:83 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
18.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 96:83 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
14.07 13:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 90:87 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
08.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 80:86 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Losses
90.5 Scored
84.8 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Indiana - Connecticut

Indiana
1 matches total
Connecticut
Indiana: 0 (0%)
Connecticut: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Indiana Fiver (Zh) 85:75 (13.06 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 160 points (85:75, 13.06 20:00 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

13.06 20:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
85:75
Konnektikut San (Zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does Indiana vs Connecticut start?

July 22, 2026.