WNBA. Outrights
Toronto (w) vs Las Vegas Aces — Basketball prediction
Toronto (w) meet Las Vegas Aces on August 23, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.
Recent form (W-D-L): Toronto (w) 0-0-5, Las Vegas Aces 2-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Match winner — Las Vegas Aces
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Las Vegas Aces August 23, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 5.75 / 2 1.18
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Play-by-play
Match timeline
- 1' Goal Toronto (w)
- 1' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 2' Goal Toronto (w)
- 3' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 3' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 4' Goal Toronto (w)
- 4' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 4' Goal Toronto (w)
- 4' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 6' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 6' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 6' Goal Toronto (w)
- 7' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 7' Goal Toronto (w)
- 7' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 7' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 7' Goal Toronto (w)
- 8' Goal Toronto (w)
- 8' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 9' Goal Toronto (w)
- 10' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 10' Goal Toronto (w)
- 11' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 11' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 12' Goal Toronto (w)
- 12' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 13' Goal Toronto (w)
- 13' Goal Toronto (w)
- 13' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 14' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 15' Goal Toronto (w)
- 15' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 16' Goal Toronto (w)
- 16' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 18' Goal Toronto (w)
- 19' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 19' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 20' Goal Toronto (w)
- 20' Goal Toronto (w)
- 20' Goal Toronto (w)
- 20' Goal Toronto (w)
- 21' Goal Toronto (w)
- 22' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 23' Goal Toronto (w)
- 23' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 24' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 24' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 25' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 25' Goal Toronto (w)
- 25' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 26' Goal Toronto (w)
- 26' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 26' Goal Toronto (w)
- 26' Goal Toronto (w)
- 26' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 27' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 27' Goal Toronto (w)
- 28' Goal Toronto (w)
- 29' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 29' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 30' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 32' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 32' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 32' Goal Toronto (w)
- 33' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 33' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 34' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 34' Goal Toronto (w)
- 34' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 34' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 34' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 35' Goal Toronto (w)
- 35' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 36' Goal Toronto (w)
- 36' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 36' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 37' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 37' Goal Las Vegas Aces
- 37' Goal Toronto (w)
- 38' Goal Toronto (w)
Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.
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Toronto (w) - Las Vegas Aces
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.94 51.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 178.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 179.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 181.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 182.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 183.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 178.5 | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 179.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 180.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 181.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 182.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 183.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.20 19.2% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.20 19.2% | 5.34 18.7% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.7% |
Form & head-to-head
Match stats
Toronto (w)
Full head-to-head history: Toronto (w) - Las Vegas Aces
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Toronto (w) - Las Vegas Aces breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
What does PropickAI predict for Toronto (w) vs Las Vegas Aces?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Las Vegas Aces. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Toronto (w) vs Las Vegas Aces?
Live odds for Toronto (w) vs Las Vegas Aces from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Toronto (w) vs Las Vegas Aces start?
August 23, 2026.