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Las Vegas Aces — Connecticut

Basketball 21.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Favourite Las Vegas Aces best odds 1.12 Venue: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Las Vegas Aces - Connecticut

Basketball
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
101 : 78
Finished
Connecticut
Connecticut

Las Vegas Aces meet Connecticut on August 21, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Las Vegas Aces 3-0-2, Connecticut 0-0-5. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Las Vegas Aces

Model confidence 88% ~88% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Vegas Aces - Connecticut August 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.12 / 2 8.39

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 6 books · best price +1.8%
1 86.8%
2 13.2%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Injuries and absences
Barker, Dzhania — Raund

Source: gismo_stats

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Las Vegas Aces
87%
1.12
Connecticut
13%
8.39
Total
Over 168.5
50%
1.98
Under 168.5
50%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Las Vegas Aces
#3GP 3825-13
Connecticut
#7GP 349-25

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

29Wins29
77.7Points on average78.4

Head-to-head matches: 58 · average total 156.1 (points)

Team form

Las Vegas Aces
5-5LWWLLWWLLW
points for 87.5points against 88.3
Connecticut
2-8LLLLLWLLWL
points for 76.8points against 90.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Absences

Injuries and absences

Las Vegas Aces
  • Dzhania BarkerOut
Connecticut
No absences

Injury and absence data - for reference.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 88.2% @ 1.12 / 2 11.8% @ 8.39
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
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Match center

Las Vegas Aces - Connecticut

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.27 market consensus · line only
1 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 14.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Over 155.5 1.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%
1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.64 61.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.64 61.0%
1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 163.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 164.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 165.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Over 166.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 168.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 169.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 170.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 163.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 164.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 165.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 166.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 167.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 168.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 169.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 170.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon Pinnacle
1.12 89.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 91.2%
6.30 15.9% 7.40 13.5% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 8.39 11.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 10-0-0
2026-08-21 · Las Vegas Eyses (Zh) 101:78 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2026-05-15 · Las Vegas Eyses (Zh) 101:94 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2026-05-14 · Las Vegas Eyses (Zh) 98:69 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2025-08-11 · Las Vegas Eyses (Zh) 94:86 Konnektikut San (Zh)
2025-07-06 · Las Vegas Eyses (Zh) 86:68 Konnektikut San (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Match stats

50% Ball possession 50%
50 2-kh broskov vsego 42
28 2-kh realizovano 23
25 3-kh broskov vsego 22
9 3-kh realizovano 6
22 Shtrafnykh broskov vsego 18
18 Shtrafnykh broskov realizovano 14
40 Vsego podborov 23
12 Podbory v napadenii 5
28 Podbory v zaschite 18
23 Rezultativnye peredachi 18
2 Blok-shoty 3
11 Poteri 18
7 Perekhvaty 7
17 Fouls 23
2 Half-auty 4
0 Komandnye poteri myacha 1
6 Komandnye podbory 12
31:12 Vremya v liderstve 7:08
6 Komanda lidiruet 6
24 Maksimalnoe preimuschestvo 4
Source: ruscore
Connecticut
L L L L L
2026-08-02 WNBA 2026
Dallas 83:63 Connecticut Connecticut
2026-07-31 WNBA 2026
Chicago 94:88 Connecticut Connecticut
2026-07-28 WNBA 2026
Washington 92:84 Connecticut Connecticut
2026-07-23 WNBA 2026
Indiana 123:88 Connecticut Connecticut
2026-07-19 WNBA 2026
Phoenix 72:63 Connecticut Connecticut
0 Wins
5 Losses
77.2 Scored
92.8 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Las Vegas Aces - Connecticut

Las Vegas Aces
3 matches total
Connecticut
Las Vegas Aces: 3 (100%)
Connecticut: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Las Vegas Aces 69:98 (2026-05-14) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 195 points (94:101, 2026-05-15) most points in a game

Match history

2026-05-15 WNBA 2026
Connecticut 94:101 Las Vegas Aces
2026-05-14 WNBA 2026
Connecticut 69:98 Las Vegas Aces
2025-08-11 WNBA 2026
Las Vegas Aces 94:86 Connecticut

Recent form

Las Vegas Aces WLLWWL
Connecticut LWLLWL

Standings

# PWL+/-
1Minnesota37307327
2Golden State352510216
3Las Vegas Aces382513133
4Indiana372413206
5Atlanta362313197
6Washington352114-14
7NY Liberty372215112
8Dallas37211680
9Portland Fire351520-154
10Chicago361422-75
11Phoenix361323-128
12LA Sparks361224-202
13Toronto Tempo351025-231
14Connecticut35926-279
15Seattle37730-188

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Team form & streaks

Las Vegas Aces WLLWWL
Connecticut LWLLWL

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Standings around this match WNBA 2026

# PWL+/-
3Las Vegas Aces382513133
14Connecticut Sun35926-279

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 1 Stadium: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

When does Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut start?

August 21, 2026.