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Las Vegas Aces — NY Liberty

Basketball 31.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Favourite Las Vegas Aces best odds 1.60

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
31.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Las Vegas Aces vs NY Liberty — Basketball prediction

Basketball
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
104 : 99
Finished
NY Liberty
NY Liberty

Las Vegas Aces face NY Liberty on July 31, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Las Vegas Aces 3-0-2, NY Liberty 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Las Vegas Aces (odds1.66) Score 81:79 confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct
  • Las Vegas Eyses (Zh): forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Las Vegas Eyses (Zh): probability 57% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.66)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las Vegas Aces - NY Liberty July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Las Vegas Aces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / 2 2.46

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.9% 3 books · best price +1.3%
1 60.9%
2 39.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Las Vegas Aces
#3GP 3926-13
NY Liberty
#3GP 3823-15

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

27Wins47
75.8Points on average79.6

Head-to-head matches: 74 · average total 155.4 (points)

Team form

Las Vegas Aces
6-4WWLLWWLLWW
points for 88.0points against 87.7
NY Liberty
7-3WWWWLWWLWL
points for 90.6points against 86.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 60.6% @ 1.60 / 2 39.4% @ 2.46
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Match center

Las Vegas Aces - NY Liberty

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 60.2% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.317 / LogLoss 0.508
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.1% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.422 / LogLoss 0.615
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 market consensus · line only
1 1.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 176.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Over 177.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%
1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 176.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 177.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 180.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 181 1.87 53.5%
Over 181.5 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9%
Over 182.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 176.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 177.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 180.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 181.5 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1%
Under 182.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.60 62.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.58 63.3%
2.35 42.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.46 40.7%
Match center
Las Vegas Aces
W L W L W
29.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 98:83 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
22.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 99:100 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 109:83 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
12.07 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
11.07 20:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 106:58 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
97.4 Scored
86.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
NY Liberty
W W W L L
29.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 113:109 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
22.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 95:94 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 99:98 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 88:108 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
12.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 91:93 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
97.2 Scored
100.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Las Vegas Aces vs NY Liberty?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Las Vegas Aces. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Las Vegas Aces vs NY Liberty?

Live odds for Las Vegas Aces vs NY Liberty from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Las Vegas Aces vs NY Liberty start?

July 31, 2026.