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Phoenix Mercury (w) — Atlanta Dream (w)

Basketball 23.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Favourite Atlanta Dream (w) best odds 1.01

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA
WNBA International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Atlanta Dream (w)

International Basketball
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)
70 : 76
Finished
Atlanta Dream (w)
Atlanta Dream (w)

Phoenix Mercury (w) face Atlanta Dream (w) on August 23, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Phoenix Mercury (w) 1-0-4, Atlanta Dream (w) 4-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Atlanta Dream (w)

Model confidence 92% ~88% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Atlanta Dream (w) August 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atlanta Dream (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 7.8%
2 92.2%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Phoenix Mercury (w)
#6GP 3813-25
Atlanta Dream (w)
#6GP 2313-10PPG 87.7OPP 84.4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

27Wins19
81.4Points on average81.3

Head-to-head matches: 46 · average total 162.6 (points)

Team form

Phoenix Mercury (w)
3-7WLWLLLWLLL
points for 87.0points against 91.8
Atlanta Dream (w)
7-3WLWLWWLWWW
points for 97.7points against 87.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 7.8% @ 12.00 / 2 92.2% @ 1.01
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Atlanta Dream (w)

H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 168.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Over 169.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.98 50.5%
2.85 35.1%
2.75 36.4%
2.80 35.7%
2.40 41.7%
2.25 44.4%
2.45 40.8%
2.55 39.2%
2.10 47.6%
2.30 43.5%
1.50 66.7%
2.50 40.0%
1.43 69.9%
1.45 69.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.33 75.2%
1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 168.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 169.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 170.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 171.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 172.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 173.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 174.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 176.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 177.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 178.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 179.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 180.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 181.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 182.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 183.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 184.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 185.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Phoenix Mercury (w) - Atlanta Dream (w)

Phoenix Mercury (w)
2 matches total
Atlanta Dream (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w): 0 (0%)
Atlanta Dream (w): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Atlanta (zh) 68:84 (05.08 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 178 points (96:82, 2026-08-05) most points in a game

Match history

2026-08-05 WNBA 2026
Atlanta Dream (w) 96:82 Phoenix Mercury (w)
05.08 23:00 UTC ZhNBA
Finiks (zh)
68:84
Atlanta (zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Atlanta Dream (w) start?

August 23, 2026.