FreeMatch preview

Portland (w) — Indiana

Basketball 01.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Favourite Indiana best odds 1.32

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Portland (w) - Indiana

Basketball
Portland (w)
Portland (w)
98 : 112
Finished
Indiana
Indiana

Portland (w) face Indiana on August 1, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Portland (w) 1-0-4, Indiana 4-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Indiana (odds1.26) Score 76:84 confidence 74% ✓ outcome correct
  • Portlend (Zh): forma PPPVV (2-3)
  • Indiana Fiver (Zh): forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • ochnye 1 (za 2)
  • Model backs Indiana Fiver (Zh): probability 74% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland (w) - Indiana August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Indiana. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.52 / 2 1.32

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 3 books
1 28.0%
2 72.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Portland (w)
#5GP 3414-20
Indiana
#1GP 3422-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Portland (w)
4-6WLLLLLWWLW
points for 90.9points against 91.7
Indiana
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
points for 102.1points against 91.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 27.3% @ 3.52 / 2 72.7% @ 1.32
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Match center

Portland (w) - Indiana

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 71.1% fact: away hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.167 / LogLoss 0.341
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 58.4% fact: away hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.345 / LogLoss 0.537
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.32 market consensus · line only
1 3.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 183.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Over 184.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 183.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 185.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
Over 186.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Over 187.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 188.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%
Under 183.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 184.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 185.5 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
Under 186.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
Under 187.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 188.5 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.52 28.4%
1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Portland (w)
L L L W L
29.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 83:98 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
23.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 97:101 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 93:101 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
16.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 75:56 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
14.07 13:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 87:90 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
87.0 Scored
89.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Indiana
W W W W
28.07 23:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 105:95 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
22.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 123:88 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 108:88 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 110:107 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
4 Wins
0 Losses
111.5 Scored
94.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Portland (w) - Indiana

Portland (w)
2 matches total
Indiana
Portland (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Indiana: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Indiana Fiver (Zh) 73:90 (20.05 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 184 goals (100:84, 30.05 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

30.05 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portlend (Zh)
100:84
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
20.05 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portlend (Zh)
73:90
Indiana Fiver (Zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does Portland (w) vs Indiana start?

August 1, 2026.